Premier League · resolved market
Manchester City FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7bd70019869b8c10b38e97588a07f00aead4fb1742ed95e5fd76e6cba181881b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $278,908
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $300,095
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $278,908 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 275 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d11…c449backed Over | 43c | 68,860$29,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,375.49 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +7.1wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 55c | 67,103$37,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,003.44 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c4…6f95backed Over | 48c | 30,134$14,377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,376.6 | 160 | 40.6%65 W · 95 L | -12.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Under | 51c | 19,415$9,821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,594.17 | 107 | 65.4%70 W · 37 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5634…d81abacked Under | 53c | 17,417$9,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,111.82 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Over | 48c | 13,542$6,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,499.99 | 133 | 53.4%71 W · 62 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 52c | 12,048$6,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,802.55 | 768 | 42.6%327 W · 441 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36a7…b6e9backed Over | 48c | 11,028$5,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,284.95 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -33%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd54a…f538backed Under | 54c | 11,018$5,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,068.28 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +3.0wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Under | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,800 | 133 | 48.9%65 W · 68 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 52c | 9,615$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,615.38 | 406 | 55.2%224 W · 182 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1171…98dcbacked Over | 47c | 7,960$3,761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,761 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 35cpaid | +72.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 39c | 7,443$2,917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,916.65 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b75…433bbacked Over | 49c | 5,102$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 52c | 4,808$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,307.69 | 167 | 53.3%89 W · 78 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 52c | 4,645$2,403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,242.29 | 489 | 50.1%245 W · 244 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under | 45c | 4,568$2,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,533.6 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd881…af24backed Over | 56c | 4,031$2,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,257.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61e8…b283backed Over | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,920 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Under | 52c | 3,846$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,846.15 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f16…5fe7backed Under | 52c | 3,755$1,961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,794.02 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb15…8393backed Over | 30c | 3,333$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.98 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +18%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d95…fe91backed Under | 38c | 3,156$1,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,971 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.29per pick | 41cpaid | +71.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 47c | 2,943$1,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,383.22 | 136 | 30.9%42 W · 94 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 48c | 2,612$1,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,253.54 | 145 | 53.1%77 W · 68 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x454b…5b8bbacked Under | 53c | 2,475$1,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,163.25 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Over | 70c | 2,421$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 123 | 45.5%56 W · 67 L | -10.3wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd181…5136backed Over | 42c | 2,400$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed Over | 50c | 2,368$1,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,184 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 50c | 2,290$1,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,134.4 | 418 | 50.7%212 W · 206 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9db8…2effbacked Under | 50c | 2,021$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,016.71 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed Over | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 79 | 59.5%47 W · 32 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa374…9709backed Under | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,099.99 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +11.0wins | +0.18per pick | 40cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 53c | 1,849$971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$877.6 | 1,662 | 34.9%580 W · 1,082 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 53c | 1,759$927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$831.84 | 886 | 35.8%317 W · 569 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 60c | 1,623$971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.53 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed Over | 50c | 1,600$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 144 | 59%85 W · 59 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 55c | 1,544$853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$853.43 | 1,012 | 33.2%336 W · 676 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8987…02f3backed Over | 49c | 1,386$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.36 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 61cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3a…ccbebacked Under | 36c | 1,314$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$845.71 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…3d6abacked Under | 52c | 1,207$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.94 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +3.9wins | +0.35per pick | 56cpaid | +71.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9905…add3backed Over | 47c | 1,156$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +157.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1c…5f43backed Over | 46c | 1,121$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 51c | 1,118$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.77 | 356 | 52.8%188 W · 168 L | +15.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f21…3d6ebacked Over | 46c | 1,089$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 49c | 1,071$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.38 | 1,220 | 49.8%607 W · 613 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Over | 50c | 1,040$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 138 | 55.1%76 W · 62 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 47c | 1,002$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.82 | 543 | 40.5%220 W · 323 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29fe…2ebfbacked Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fd…89debacked Over | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2fe…7558backed Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -44%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Over | 51c | 995.52$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.6 | 136 | 33.8%46 W · 90 L | -9.9wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Over | 52c | 983.9$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.65 | 173 | 27.2%47 W · 126 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7793…33a6backed Under | 52c | 930.09$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.21 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Over | 55c | 903.98$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.23 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf90d…3515backed Over | 43c | 896.57$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.55 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Under | 59c | 777$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.57 | 292 | 50%146 W · 146 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Over | 48c | 745.07$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.63 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -4.6wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 52c | 735.57$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.63 | 698 | 51.1%357 W · 341 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57c3…44b8backed Over | 71c | 704.23$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97a5…cb58backed Over | 53c | 700$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb8c…6a99backed Under | 53c | 695.46$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.46 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 53c | 627.97$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.15 | 758 | 50%379 W · 379 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbab…d156backed Over | 53c | 613.96$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95c5…d5d3backed Over | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.25per pick | 53cpaid | -48%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 53c | 591.61$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.51 | 809 | 53.6%434 W · 375 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Over | 78c | 588.3$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.06 | 697 | 72.6%506 W · 191 L | +83.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 52c | 585.97$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.65 | 335 | 51.3%172 W · 163 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Over | 46c | 571.77$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.28 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 57c | 554.14$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.78 | 140 | 55%77 W · 63 L | +18.4wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Over | 48c | 546.88$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.5 | 173 | 39.9%69 W · 104 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Over | 49c | 538.33$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.77 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 53c | 531.39$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.67 | 746 | 44.8%334 W · 412 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Over | 48c | 500.09$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.04 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48ec…8f36backed Over | 31c | 482.99$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.73 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +4.5wins | +0.18per pick | 26cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 49c | 454.99$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.16 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 48c | 447.14$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.65 | 964 | 43.7%421 W · 543 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 47c | 440.6$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.98 | 226 | 44.2%100 W · 126 L | +12.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Under | 48c | 430.96$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.49 | 144 | 63.2%91 W · 53 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa021…d5c9backed Over | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x206b…3c33backed Over | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Over | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 192 | 44.3%85 W · 107 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 105 | 58.1%61 W · 44 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Under | 68c | 393.79$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.24 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under | 51c | 372.96$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.54 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Over | 61c | 340$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.4 | 102 | 32.4%33 W · 69 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed Over | 49c | 333$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.17 | 152 | 33.6%51 W · 101 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa494…4a1fbacked Over | 50c | 320$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 72 | 61.1%44 W · 28 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked Over | 48c | 312.5$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…2909backed Over | 54c | 300.2$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.11 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Under | 17c | 289.55$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.06 | 212 | 50%106 W · 106 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba1b…82fdbacked Under | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.46 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 63c | 276.3$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.01 | 193 | 56%108 W · 85 L | +21.4wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x46fb…8eaebacked Over | 52c | 275$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12df…090dbacked Over | 49c | 274.83$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.67 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 44c | 265.92$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 69c | 264.7$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.64 | 188 | 51.6%97 W · 91 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd130…5863backed Under | 30c | 258.19$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.51 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed Under | 51c | 254.34$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.55 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.17per pick | 36cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Over | 46c | 250$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 135 | 54.8%74 W · 61 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Manchester City FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Manchester City FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Manchester City FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Manchester City FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Manchester City FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Manchester City FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Manchester City FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Aston Villa FC (-1.5)Manchester City FC won
- Spread: Aston Villa FC (-2.5)Manchester City FC won
- Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)Aston Villa FC won
- Spread: Manchester City FC (-2.5)Aston Villa FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.