Tweets · resolved market
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 23 to February 25, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x16b871a33fa756dff56a4be1437a74e74f722124eea664351353af129cc87778
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $557,955
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $393,000
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $557,955 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 363 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2c96…1959backed Yes | 8c | 27,000$2,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,277.48 | 52 | 28.8%15 W · 37 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x849c…4009backed Yes | 13c | 25,434$3,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,365.1 | 1,782 | 7.4%132 W · 1,650 L | -23.2wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x689a…779ebacked Yes | 5c | 25,217$1,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,310.98 | 225 | 9.8%22 W · 203 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -79.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c27…2132backed Yes | 12c | 21,950$2,639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,638.57 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +6.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes | 12c | 21,092$2,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,610.45 | 634 | 14.8%94 W · 540 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6964…ef53backed Yes | 16c | 19,964$3,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,171.39 | 662 | 22.2%147 W · 515 L | -34.7wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93fd…7e2fbacked Yes | 15c | 12,485$1,828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,827.81 | 572 | 22%126 W · 446 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -42%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce4…9ebbbacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Yes | 11c | 8,656$915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$915.23 | 455 | 11.6%53 W · 402 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | +104.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f23…90dbbacked Yes | 5c | 7,500$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.4 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -76.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b8…5a0fbacked Yes | 19c | 7,085$1,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,355.91 | 601 | 27.3%164 W · 437 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6be9…3493backed Yes | 5c | 6,920$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.04 | 1,067 | 8.3%89 W · 978 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x571a…3315backed Yes | 13c | 6,000$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -71.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x779a…b689backed Yes | 14c | 5,350$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Yes | 6c | 4,998$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.86 | 541 | 22.7%123 W · 418 L | +16.6wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked Yes | 27c | 4,913$1,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,319.27 | 61 | 14.8%9 W · 52 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -64.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97ff…d095backed No | 66c | 4,748$3,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,608.66 | 546 | 75.1%410 W · 136 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f00…487fbacked Yes | 6c | 4,518$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.28 | 280 | 16.4%46 W · 234 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe130…2f27backed Yes | 36c | 4,500$1,607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,607.47 | 241 | 15.4%37 W · 204 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedc8…a743backed Yes | 17c | 4,494$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767.63 | 248 | 15.3%38 W · 210 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfc6…ce6bbacked Yes | 1c | 4,409$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.51 | 342 | 3.5%12 W · 330 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | +15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe243…af59backed Yes | 9c | 4,319$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.81 | 364 | 11%40 W · 324 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6d…d7dcbacked Yes | 31c | 3,926$1,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,223.29 | 140 | 25.7%36 W · 104 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7e…1cc7backed Yes | 38c | 3,920$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470.41 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Yes | 22c | 3,694$798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$797.53 | 62 | 16.1%10 W · 52 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -66.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x037b…47f4backed Yes | 1c | 3,465$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 416 | 5.3%22 W · 394 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 3cpaid | +158.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf46…8c1dbacked Yes | 5c | 3,223$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.29 | 627 | 13.2%83 W · 544 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d5…87cfbacked Yes | 10c | 3,166$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.75 | 564 | 29.8%168 W · 396 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c29…8c43backed Yes | 19c | 3,013$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.99 | 465 | 21.3%99 W · 366 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90f1…72c6backed Yes | 2c | 3,000$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 624 | 12.3%77 W · 547 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8cf…819ebacked Yes | 4c | 2,940$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.27 | 326 | 13.8%45 W · 281 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f6…9404backed Yes | 20c | 2,755$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.62 | 48 | 25%12 W · 36 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed No | 73c | 2,746$2,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.77 | 388 | 28.6%111 W · 277 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…8e51backed Yes | 15c | 2,700$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.19 | 161 | 10.6%17 W · 144 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 10c | 2,697$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.99 | 768 | 21.7%167 W · 601 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x616d…dd1bbacked Yes | 25c | 2,632$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663.61 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 38cpaid | -83.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef24…a44dbacked Yes | 27c | 2,545$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678 | 171 | 26.9%46 W · 125 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x760e…119ebacked Yes | 10c | 2,504$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.12 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x474c…37d3backed No | 69c | 2,225$1,531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693.72 | 410 | 17.8%73 W · 337 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5364…c64dbacked No | 71c | 2,218$1,572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.46 | 151 | 64.9%98 W · 53 L | +10.2wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c5c…ef81backed Yes | 10c | 2,191$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.14 | 42 | 14.3%6 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ad…32e4backed Yes | 1c | 2,100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 132 | 29.5%39 W · 93 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +29%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a0…7e4fbacked Yes | 36c | 2,100$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755.23 | 133 | 18%24 W · 109 L | -7.7wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked Yes | 33c | 2,000$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665.85 | 188 | 22.3%42 W · 146 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf32f…eef8backed Yes | 5c | 1,848$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.32 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ef5…4969backed No | 77c | 1,820$1,409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.95 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 71cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x740f…a3a6backed Yes | 19c | 1,755$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.68 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…5ab8backed Yes | 15c | 1,609$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.03 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e6d…2b09backed Yes | 14c | 1,487$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.35 | 250 | 23.2%58 W · 192 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5357…a8f8backed Yes | 3c | 1,338$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.44 | 144 | 13.2%19 W · 125 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x771d…b0ffbacked Yes | 14c | 1,335$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.82 | 186 | 18.3%34 W · 152 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9df3…ddfcbacked Yes | 23c | 1,310$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 348 | 33.3%116 W · 232 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f66…b986backed Yes | 11c | 1,300$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.64 | 568 | 17.4%99 W · 469 L | +18.3wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce0…5f11backed Yes | 2c | 1,300$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 427 | 19.2%82 W · 345 L | +23.3wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3488…d6fdbacked Yes | 29c | 1,264$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.39 | 207 | 35.3%73 W · 134 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2cd…c66abacked Yes | 24c | 1,250$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.19 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 79c | 1,236$973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.15 | 439 | 33%145 W · 294 L | -19.0wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8cac…1f4cbacked Yes | 18c | 1,228$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.14 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc3…4972backed Yes | 26c | 1,215$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.65 | 212 | 42.5%90 W · 122 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9c7…1488backed Yes | 1c | 1,195$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.62 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3454…333bbacked Yes | 10c | 1,125$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.73 | 72 | 16.7%12 W · 60 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7076…7e6cbacked Yes | 6c | 1,118$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.56 | 104 | 14.4%15 W · 89 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204b…8ca3backed Yes | 10c | 1,113$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.79 | 187 | 22.5%42 W · 145 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19ad…2dbbbacked Yes | 17c | 1,107$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.95 | 154 | 30.5%47 W · 107 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x387c…2423backed Yes | 22c | 1,035$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.41 | 176 | 28.4%50 W · 126 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f0…25d2backed Yes | 6c | 1,022$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.82 | 384 | 4.7%18 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7007…8624backed Yes | 5c | 1,000$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28a0…9884backed Yes | 6c | 999.99$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c6…ed71backed Yes | 35c | 999.99$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 38 | 15.8%6 W · 32 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x774d…5cdabacked Yes | 10c | 999.97$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 148 | 18.2%27 W · 121 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe130…4006backed Yes | 28c | 975.84$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.68 | 1,045 | 13.6%142 W · 903 L | +37.8wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbe…91d6backed Yes | 18c | 911.55$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.15 | 227 | 18.5%42 W · 185 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 77c | 910.89$698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.6 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b01…24a9backed Yes | 40c | 910.62$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.13 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92a0…5fdcbacked Yes | 28c | 904.55$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.42 | 212 | 33%70 W · 142 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe398…01d9backed Yes | 39c | 900.17$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.46 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb97c…a418backed Yes | 11c | 899.64$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 57 | 17.5%10 W · 47 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…5be3backed Yes | 21c | 891.28$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.83 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa713…4485backed Yes | 22c | 880$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.6 | 342 | 15.8%54 W · 288 L | +20.9wins | +0.06per pick | 10cpaid | +32%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d09…71ffbacked Yes | 10c | 877.02$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.1 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d3…f535backed No | 80c | 875.62$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.26 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x878a…a429backed Yes | 11c | 868.54$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.16 | 317 | 22.4%71 W · 246 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83ad…f1c0backed Yes | 2c | 858$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.02 | 47 | 19.1%9 W · 38 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55bf…9ee3backed Yes | 15c | 844.26$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 85 | 27.1%23 W · 62 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x017b…1ef4backed Yes | 2c | 842.42$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.85 | 78 | 20.5%16 W · 62 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a8…6abdbacked Yes | 31c | 832.59$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.7 | 121 | 36.4%44 W · 77 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa26…643ebacked Yes | 22c | 806$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.94 | 93 | 28%26 W · 67 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec6…20d4backed Yes | 22c | 778.05$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.21 | 83 | 25.3%21 W · 62 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed Yes | 8c | 767.09$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.18 | 122 | 16.4%20 W · 102 L | +9.3wins | +0.08per pick | 9cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4a…4896backed Yes | 10c | 705.1$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.51 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbce8…b49bbacked Yes | 21c | 700$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.5 | 71 | 15.5%11 W · 60 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98b4…5d76backed Yes | 26c | 699.98$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -28%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6640…e07abacked No | 60c | 676.7$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.31 | 781 | 11.3%88 W · 693 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee76…8fcebacked Yes | 18c | 667.29$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 45 | 17.8%8 W · 37 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7279…4612backed Yes | 13c | 651.1$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.33 | 273 | 16.8%46 W · 227 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9528…64bcbacked Yes | 17c | 649.74$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x685e…232bbacked Yes | 22c | 643.02$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.87 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac32…6e3bbacked Yes | 16c | 636.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 49 | 20.4%10 W · 39 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 14cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf640…bc3ebacked Yes | 42c | 596.63$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 105 | 23.8%25 W · 80 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -23%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb556…ca63backed Yes | 19c | 579.98$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.7 | 78 | 30.8%24 W · 54 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 23 to February 25, 2026?this page
- Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 23 to February 25, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from February 23 to February 25, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from February 23 to February 25, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from February 23 to February 25, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from February 23 to February 25, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from February 23 to February 25, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 23 to February 25, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 23 to February 25, 2026?Yes won
- Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 23 to February 25, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.