Tweets · resolved market
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 23 to February 25, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc548630f327f5d36eeda72bd936aaaf1b8b4ae95a9eb0fea3ebadd013b97e8cf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $439,562
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $512,832
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $439,562 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 374 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x849c…4009backed No | 24c | 13,969$3,338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,338.4 | 1,782 | 7.4%132 W · 1,650 L | -23.2wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c27…2132backed No | 15c | 12,501$1,910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,910.2 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +6.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6d…d7dcbacked Yes | 66c | 7,925$5,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,699.74 | 140 | 25.7%36 W · 104 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d5…87cfbacked No | 26c | 7,624$1,985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,985.15 | 564 | 29.8%168 W · 396 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked No | 20c | 6,464$1,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,312.82 | 62 | 16.1%10 W · 52 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -66.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05e1…4c1ebacked Yes | 73c | 5,227$3,798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,428.95 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5c…6d2abacked No | 11c | 4,730$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.94 | 625 | 39.5%247 W · 378 L | +48.1wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked Yes | 76c | 4,586$3,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,121.93 | 61 | 14.8%9 W · 52 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -64.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe130…2f27backed Yes | 38c | 4,517$1,717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,800.06 | 241 | 15.4%37 W · 204 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes | 73c | 4,300$3,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,174.57 | 634 | 14.8%94 W · 540 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c29…8c43backed Yes | 77c | 4,177$3,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$976.92 | 465 | 21.3%99 W · 366 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7e…1cc7backed Yes | 41c | 3,918$1,594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,323.94 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34a6…558bbacked No | 41c | 3,694$1,506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,506.41 | 181 | 23.8%43 W · 138 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb8…d906backed No | 25c | 3,202$803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$802.9 | 234 | 64.5%151 W · 83 L | +23.0wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x771d…b0ffbacked Yes | 54c | 3,027$1,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,396.55 | 186 | 18.3%34 W · 152 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Yes | 62c | 2,961$1,831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,129.49 | 388 | 28.6%111 W · 277 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87c0…71a0backed No | 21c | 2,834$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97ff…d095backed No | 59c | 2,781$1,630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,630.45 | 546 | 75.1%410 W · 136 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…c453backed Yes | 51c | 2,733$1,382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350.67 | 461 | 37.5%173 W · 288 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8aa…a2ccbacked Yes | 42c | 2,599$1,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,497.98 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe6d…0446backed No | 17c | 2,400$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.99 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +4.9wins | +0.13per pick | 28cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8cac…1f4cbacked No | 17c | 2,293$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.45 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed No | 13c | 2,071$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.7 | 455 | 11.6%53 W · 402 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | +104.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x898f…23f0backed No | 12c | 2,019$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.21 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked Yes | 38c | 2,000$768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,231.87 | 188 | 22.3%42 W · 146 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf657…d8cebacked Yes | 57c | 1,992$1,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$856.11 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b0…64f3backed Yes | 78c | 1,872$1,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.94 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x740f…a3a6backed No | 28c | 1,836$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.88 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92a0…5fdcbacked Yes | 68c | 1,804$1,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.75 | 212 | 33%70 W · 142 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01a4…4967backed No | 62c | 1,565$964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$963.54 | 160 | 56.9%91 W · 69 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a8…6abdbacked Yes | 62c | 1,430$887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.93 | 121 | 36.4%44 W · 77 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf46…8c1dbacked Yes | 75c | 1,367$1,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.33 | 627 | 13.2%83 W · 544 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8080…8a7ebacked No | 64c | 1,318$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849.85 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc3…4972backed Yes | 70c | 1,305$908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.71 | 212 | 42.5%90 W · 122 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9057…c12cbacked No | 15c | 1,300$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 124 | 24.2%30 W · 94 L | +11.3wins | +0.09per pick | 15cpaid | +100.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcb8c…69b1backed Yes | 41c | 1,252$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.28 | 179 | 19%34 W · 145 L | -10.0wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2cd…c66abacked Yes | 70c | 1,250$869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.11 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x038b…afc4backed Yes | 46c | 1,218$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660.55 | 335 | 27.8%93 W · 242 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f02…5f35backed No | 17c | 1,207$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.78 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 35c | 1,146$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.24 | 2,552 | 13.1%335 W · 2,217 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf328…2b78backed Yes | 67c | 1,145$762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.25 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98b4…5d76backed Yes | 77c | 1,141$873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.69 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -28%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6282…c9f0backed Yes | 68c | 1,078$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.8 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x252f…bfc1backed Yes | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 66 | 30.3%20 W · 46 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x017b…301dbacked Yes | 66c | 999.59$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.6 | 87 | 24.1%21 W · 66 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecb5…f779backed No | 49c | 991.08$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.03 | 165 | 32.7%54 W · 111 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 25c | 988.1$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.11 | 439 | 33%145 W · 294 L | -19.0wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x474c…37d3backed No | 64c | 945.44$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.99 | 410 | 17.8%73 W · 337 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe398…01d9backed Yes | 37c | 899.92$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.39 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x717e…ca8bbacked No | 11c | 888.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 65 | 26.2%17 W · 48 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 67c | 861.59$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.01 | 195 | 50.3%98 W · 97 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f39…d0e7backed No | 14c | 837.91$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ca1…825fbacked Yes | 32c | 822$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.96 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f6d…b4c7backed No | 66c | 817.07$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.13 | 124 | 29.8%37 W · 87 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aae…d563backed Yes | 48c | 800$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.79 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x478e…a576backed No | 68c | 794.95$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.7 | 96 | 16.7%16 W · 80 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c0…d656backed Yes | 55c | 782.56$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.22 | 880 | 17.3%152 W · 728 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a0…7e4fbacked Yes | 33c | 750.18$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.39 | 133 | 18%24 W · 109 L | -7.7wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked No | 10c | 750$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 125 | 28%35 W · 90 L | +10.0wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb13…2de9backed No | 19c | 722.16$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.21 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +4.9wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2789…ed4fbacked Yes | 62c | 715.95$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.36 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9255…6e3bbacked No | 55c | 699.89$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.13 | 509 | 13.8%70 W · 439 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b8…5a0fbacked Yes | 70c | 696.2$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.46 | 601 | 27.3%164 W · 437 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0431…fcb4backed No | 3c | 689.21$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.15 | 25 | 0%0 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe130…4006backed Yes | 32c | 659.99$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.4 | 1,045 | 13.6%142 W · 903 L | +37.8wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8a…edf9backed No | 69c | 653.81$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.87 | 51 | 74.5%38 W · 13 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c4…8129backed No | 31c | 650.56$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.28 | 94 | 23.4%22 W · 72 L | -16.1wins | -0.17per pick | 41cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…5be3backed No | 29c | 650$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.4 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…28a8backed No | 19c | 630.05$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.71 | 103 | 39.8%41 W · 62 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6232…f92abacked Yes | 74c | 627.42$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.89 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa806…74cbbacked No | 35c | 600.47$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x729e…e23ebacked Yes | 70c | 599.99$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178 | 238 | 31.1%74 W · 164 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6503…09f6backed Yes | 33c | 599.97$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.98 | 89 | 23.6%21 W · 68 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 60c | 575.41$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.76 | 315 | 65.1%205 W · 110 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa713…4485backed Yes | 33c | 569.99$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.3 | 342 | 15.8%54 W · 288 L | +20.9wins | +0.06per pick | 10cpaid | +32%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a0…36aabacked Yes | 35c | 560.04$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.17 | 81 | 27.2%22 W · 59 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d0a…c96fbacked Yes | 72c | 559.12$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.82 | 285 | 26.7%76 W · 209 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcd…cbfbbacked No | 13c | 555.06$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.91 | 64 | 35.9%23 W · 41 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…0861backed Yes | 40c | 552.39$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.84 | 880 | 18.6%164 W · 716 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0489…ddf7backed Yes | 45c | 541.02$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.56 | 199 | 27.6%55 W · 144 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7279…4612backed No | 24c | 529.52$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.79 | 273 | 16.8%46 W · 227 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 76c | 525.61$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.26 | 996 | 19.8%197 W · 799 L | -15.9wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d4…c1b8backed Yes | 63c | 523.45$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.63 | 177 | 28.2%50 W · 127 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc933…8527backed No | 19c | 519.12$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.82 | 159 | 21.4%34 W · 125 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3cb…ef82backed No | 17c | 500$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 89 | 16.9%15 W · 74 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | +85.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeff9…05fdbacked Yes | 33c | 499.98$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.99 | 164 | 27.4%45 W · 119 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8949…5e21backed No | 67c | 451.73$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.66 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f2c…6da7backed No | 71c | 438.15$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.49 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…378ebacked No | 13c | 436.07$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d3…9af1backed Yes | 44c | 429$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.29 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe380…70e2backed No | 15c | 427.85$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.24 | 61 | 8.2%5 W · 56 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -81.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe22…7aabbacked Yes | 79c | 427.15$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.14 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3a7…d045backed No | 25c | 408$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07cf…a9fabacked Yes | 46c | 400.11$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.97 | 327 | 16.8%55 W · 272 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…f80dbacked No | 23c | 400$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.62 | 186 | 31.7%59 W · 127 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x354d…eb8fbacked Yes | 31c | 400$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276 | 104 | 22.1%23 W · 81 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec6…20d4backed Yes | 65c | 400$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 83 | 25.3%21 W · 62 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 64c | 395.76$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.39 | 518 | 45.9%238 W · 280 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22af…399abacked No | 12c | 393.39$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.64 | 69 | 20.3%14 W · 55 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | +207.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e6d…2b09backed Yes | 37c | 362.78$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.55 | 250 | 23.2%58 W · 192 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 23 to February 25, 2026?this page
- Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 23 to February 25, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from February 23 to February 25, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from February 23 to February 25, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from February 23 to February 25, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from February 23 to February 25, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from February 23 to February 25, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 23 to February 25, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 23 to February 25, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 23 to February 25, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.