CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x49417d9889fa2158645be5899adfdd3ef40ef9e78320c43bb5cc4d3d0f769956
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FURIAof Aurora Gaming, FURIA
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $234,351
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $263,080
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $234,351 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 217 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x56c9…0d9ebacked FURIA | 79c | 41,899$33,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,633.3 | 224 | 68.8%154 W · 70 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 72cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Aurora Gaming | 35c | 35,235$12,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,454.25 | 3,256 | 50.3%1,637 W · 1,619 L | +97.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed FURIA | 55c | 12,388$6,873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,515.14 | 461 | 49.9%230 W · 231 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Aurora Gaming | 35c | 11,076$3,924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,924.19 | 248 | 46.8%116 W · 132 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Aurora Gaming | 35c | 10,310$3,618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,617.89 | 598 | 39.6%237 W · 361 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3532…3711backed FURIA | 59c | 10,107$5,918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,189.92 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +5.6wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked FURIA | 61c | 8,997$5,514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,483.13 | 757 | 58.3%441 W · 316 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9027…4e9ebacked Aurora Gaming | 46c | 6,528$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x515b…18c4backed FURIA | 62c | 6,196$3,842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,354.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbeda…c417backed Aurora Gaming | 38c | 6,196$2,354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,354.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked FURIA | 62c | 6,000$3,747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,253.28 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7635…63f6backed Aurora Gaming | 38c | 5,924$2,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,229.93 | 175 | 48%84 W · 91 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked FURIA | 58c | 4,668$2,703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,965.14 | 1,054 | 49%516 W · 538 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked FURIA | 55c | 4,547$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,047.31 | 817 | 51.7%422 W · 395 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc36b…a540backed FURIA | 74c | 4,380$3,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,143.85 | 93 | 37.6%35 W · 58 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc736…7255backed Aurora Gaming | 50c | 4,144$2,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,052.62 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf9…5b10backed Aurora Gaming | 30c | 3,691$1,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,093.63 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…a6f3backed FURIA | 55c | 3,350$1,842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,507.85 | 469 | 49.7%233 W · 236 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Aurora Gaming | 26c | 3,318$863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$862.78 | 818 | 43.2%353 W · 465 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfb…980cbacked FURIA | 55c | 3,252$1,784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,467.98 | 325 | 48.3%157 W · 168 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Aurora Gaming | 9c | 3,139$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.45 | 882 | 42.3%373 W · 509 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41a3…017dbacked FURIA | 73c | 2,589$1,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$698.95 | 451 | 62.3%281 W · 170 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa090…9854backed Aurora Gaming | 46c | 2,484$1,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,142.52 | 72 | 38.9%28 W · 44 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Aurora Gaming | 40c | 2,463$984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$984 | 612 | 28.9%177 W · 435 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x309a…f474backed Aurora Gaming | 12c | 2,417$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.51 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…bc51backed Aurora Gaming | 31c | 2,343$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed FURIA | 60c | 2,289$1,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$926.55 | 2,057 | 41.5%853 W · 1,204 L | -50.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…60e9backed FURIA | 69c | 2,000$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.99 | 550 | 43.1%237 W · 313 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdaa…8420backed Aurora Gaming | 4c | 2,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf31b…241bbacked Aurora Gaming | 33c | 1,904$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.96 | 229 | 27.5%63 W · 166 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x185a…5104backed Aurora Gaming | 5c | 1,514$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.42 | 67 | 14.9%10 W · 57 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2687…1363backed FURIA | 74c | 1,430$1,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.82 | 388 | 68.3%265 W · 123 L | +25.7wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x213f…1da2backed Aurora Gaming | 40c | 1,012$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe955…3b03backed Aurora Gaming | 34c | 1,010$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed FURIA | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 148 | 47.3%70 W · 78 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0826…8738backed Aurora Gaming | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +66.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe084…04c0backed FURIA | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed FURIA | 71c | 999$709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.71 | 589 | 61.3%361 W · 228 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x994d…3d8dbacked Aurora Gaming | 23c | 977.58$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.03 | 528 | 34.3%181 W · 347 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78e0…375bbacked Aurora Gaming | 48c | 953.04$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.46 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x752a…1ed8backed Aurora Gaming | 12c | 913.95$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.3 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Aurora Gaming | 36c | 901.09$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.72 | 256 | 34.4%88 W · 168 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c59…3887backed Aurora Gaming | 45c | 881.96$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.44 | 219 | 41.1%90 W · 129 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe253…638dbacked Aurora Gaming | 11c | 880.33$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ad2…c594backed FURIA | 55c | 874.02$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.27 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked FURIA | 60c | 862.4$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.96 | 121 | 45.5%55 W · 66 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…38d3backed Aurora Gaming | 30c | 830.97$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.29 | 242 | 33.9%82 W · 160 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc382…2b24backed FURIA | 70c | 758.48$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.42 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5901…63a2backed Aurora Gaming | 49c | 713.86$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.79 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89cf…5f47backed Aurora Gaming | 46c | 665.22$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d03…100ebacked FURIA | 56c | 621.63$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.64 | 410 | 69.3%284 W · 126 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde19…3a14backed Aurora Gaming | 41c | 607.68$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.15 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa4…16e3backed Aurora Gaming | 34c | 583.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 765 | 46.7%357 W · 408 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed FURIA | 80c | 566.13$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.13 | 265 | 49.1%130 W · 135 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9816…cc22backed Aurora Gaming | 17c | 563.04$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.43 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -4.4wins | -0.23per pick | 34cpaid | -79.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9b…7e7cbacked Aurora Gaming | 27c | 560.45$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.88 | 210 | 42.9%90 W · 120 L | -12.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43e0…a519backed Aurora Gaming | 40c | 544.1$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.64 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7623…8390backed FURIA | 72c | 542.33$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.85 | 19 | 84.2%16 W · 3 L | +5.3wins | +0.28per pick | 56cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xbd38…50c3backed FURIA | 58c | 521.08$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.08 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +3.8wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Aurora Gaming | 44c | 511.3$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.29 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11e5…337ebacked Aurora Gaming | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 225 | 50.7%114 W · 111 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x064e…4347backed Aurora Gaming | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 85 | 37.6%32 W · 53 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb13e…aa0bbacked FURIA | 72c | 496.83$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.11 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed FURIA | 56c | 496.42$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.42 | 282 | 48.9%138 W · 144 L | +21.4wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Aurora Gaming | 30c | 467.82$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.34 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Aurora Gaming | 34c | 455.64$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.92 | 5,810 | 37.8%2,196 W · 3,614 L | +78.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x757d…1496backed Aurora Gaming | 46c | 446.85$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.83 | 245 | 49.8%122 W · 123 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4786…ff95backed FURIA | 72c | 446.76$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.46 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed FURIA | 65c | 437.13$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.13 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ec…427dbacked Aurora Gaming | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Aurora Gaming | 27c | 425.12$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.73 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8155…5377backed Aurora Gaming | 31c | 403.31$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.83 | 41 | 68.3%28 W · 13 L | +5.4wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed FURIA | 58c | 400$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe06b…147fbacked Aurora Gaming | 12c | 399.27$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.58 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed FURIA | 69c | 393.65$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.03 | 398 | 51.3%204 W · 194 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5453…a834backed Aurora Gaming | 39c | 383.97$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.71 | 316 | 54.7%173 W · 143 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked FURIA | 63c | 383$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.29 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4087…1665backed Aurora Gaming | 40c | 375$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Aurora Gaming | 40c | 373.71$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.62 | 7,892 | 50.5%3,983 W · 3,909 L | +182.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f7…7714backed FURIA | 72c | 342.19$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.31 | 190 | 48.9%93 W · 97 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ecd…091dbacked Aurora Gaming | 36c | 333.33$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a3…9a3bbacked Aurora Gaming | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Aurora Gaming | 28c | 327.29$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.16 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Aurora Gaming | 16c | 317.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 602 | 48.7%293 W · 309 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Aurora Gaming | 30c | 316.72$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.99 | 5,474 | 46.9%2,565 W · 2,909 L | +38.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked FURIA | 67c | 311$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.63 | 2,770 | 37.4%1,036 W · 1,734 L | -139.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Aurora Gaming | 43c | 309.12$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.67 | 468 | 43.4%203 W · 265 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5215…3164backed Aurora Gaming | 44c | 299.56$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.32 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | -8.2wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdb63…a71dbacked Aurora Gaming | 39c | 291.12$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.54 | 150 | 50.7%76 W · 74 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d74…04f5backed Aurora Gaming | 41c | 270.92$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.32 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0225…6e17backed FURIA | 78c | 269.37$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.26 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Aurora Gaming | 30c | 269.01$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.48 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Aurora Gaming | 31c | 259$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.75 | 2,205 | 47.6%1,049 W · 1,156 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Aurora Gaming | 19c | 256.88$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.01 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Aurora Gaming | 35c | 250.99$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.63 | 4,220 | 49.2%2,078 W · 2,142 L | +61.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ade…e692backed Aurora Gaming | 28c | 246.54$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.03 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d96…d524backed Aurora Gaming | 41c | 246.34$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 151 | 62.3%94 W · 57 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25ac…3e47backed Aurora Gaming | 40c | 242.92$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.1 | 85 | 64.7%55 W · 30 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd572…5510backed Aurora Gaming | 39c | 242.5$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.5 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9679…8e0dbacked Aurora Gaming | 18c | 226.02$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.28 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Krakow PlayoffsFURIA won
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA - Map 2 WinnerFURIA won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5)FURIA won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.