TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Games Total: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$280,443
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$219,330

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $280,443 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc257…358ebacked Over49c152,347$74,463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74,463.0439249%192 W · 200 L+0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Under51c59,440$30,302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,138.1121051%107 W · 103 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked Over20c9,104$1,821 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,820.8397952.4%513 W · 466 L+26.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9027…4e9ebacked Over49c8,097$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,0003557.1%20 W · 15 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8738…222bbacked Under53c5,660$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,660.384548.9%22 W · 23 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-15.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Under51c5,000$2,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,4505947.5%28 W · 31 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Over0c4,073$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.181,5009.9%148 W · 1,352 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-55.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a0c…b6bdbacked Over20c2,300$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$460944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab4e…c4a0backed Under53c1,321$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$620.752832.1%9 W · 19 L-2.9wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-33.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over20c1,284$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.462,77037.4%1,036 W · 1,734 L-139.7wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcdad…9eaebacked Over50c960$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48025337.9%96 W · 157 L-14.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-16.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4b9b…7e7cbacked Over49c815.93$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.821042.9%90 W · 120 L-12.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-23.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3704…0e84backed Under51c799.99$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.9920944%92 W · 117 L-11.9wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-14.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Under51c617.11$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.3815655.8%87 W · 69 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Over31c600.36$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.711,54633.8%523 W · 1,023 L-73.9wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-33.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa632…4c96backed Under53c566.04$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.047149.3%35 W · 36 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8912…1712backed Over47c528.66$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.7227735.7%99 W · 178 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4a4…88d6backed Over30c514.83$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.4540%0 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5bd3…394cbacked Under52c514.23$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.239349.5%46 W · 47 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f7b…0cc9backed Over49c509.76$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2506755.2%37 W · 30 L-0.2wins0.00per pick56cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cf7…a506backed Over20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004759.6%28 W · 19 L+5.3wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+20.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf3f9…d587backed Over20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10035033.4%117 W · 233 L+22.4wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+44.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7cc1…fdc6backed Under52c499.99$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.995044%22 W · 28 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc36b…a540backed Under51c435.9$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.259337.6%35 W · 58 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-32.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Under51c412.68$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.2125634.4%88 W · 168 L-12.7wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-23.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb379…3a8cbacked Over49c408.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002227.3%6 W · 16 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf5e…4e1abacked Under52c400$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19212038.3%46 W · 74 L-8.1wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb917…02c6backed Under53c379.25$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.2511343.4%49 W · 64 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Under53c377.36$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.3625352.2%132 W · 121 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Over21c350$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.6413740.9%56 W · 81 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x94d8…8835backed Under53c313$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.112152.4%11 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa24d…0af7backed Over49c300.45$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.22250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00ed…0a9fbacked Over49c297.16$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.611637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick43cpaid+35.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcbf4…e3a6backed Under51c247.42$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.2410335.9%37 W · 66 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-18.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3c49…ca9dbacked Over49c240$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.64535.6%16 W · 29 L-6.0wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-36.9%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under51c218.35$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.053,25650.3%1,637 W · 1,619 L+97.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2aee…51a8backed Over49c204.88$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.395738.6%22 W · 35 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6967…7f28backed Over49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91f7…360bbacked Over49c203.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.632334.8%8 W · 15 L-2.9wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-37.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0cff…15d1backed Over49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9811546.1%53 W · 62 L-7.4wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-11.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbd38…50c3backed Over20c200$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401580%12 W · 3 L+3.8wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+34.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa76e…dcb6backed Under50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1001,31053.7%703 W · 607 L+32.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Under53c198.6$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.3526336.5%96 W · 167 L-17.7wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-31.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe220…f862backed Over48c192.31$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.312646.2%12 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e13…391fbacked Under51c190$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.74247.6%20 W · 22 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over46c165$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.0560147.4%285 W · 316 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-9.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over20c162$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.41,30326.5%345 W · 958 L-89.1wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-29.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Over29c123.02$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.84,22049.2%2,078 W · 2,142 L+61.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xff7c…c36abacked Over20c120$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243951.3%20 W · 19 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5e0…461fbacked Under50c120$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$601553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x871b…b344backed Under53c113.21$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.21333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-37.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed Under55c113$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.8519549.7%97 W · 98 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5541…f1e3backed Over49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5019150.8%97 W · 94 L-0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0599…3c6abacked Over48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4861754.8%338 W · 279 L-18.6wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xac98…7281backed Over48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4816527.9%46 W · 119 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-26.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x73a2…3b68backed Over48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4895649.7%475 W · 481 L-18.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed Under52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4819155.5%106 W · 85 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ba1…cf36backed Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502729.6%8 W · 19 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick34cpaid+0.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8548…e4c1backed Over20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202568%17 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.11per pick57cpaid+14.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x85b2…0ab9backed Over20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203243.8%14 W · 18 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-21.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3ec3…0cf1backed Over51c99.09$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.952040%8 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-14.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x646e…294dbacked Under57c97.33$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.33757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed Over52c92.01$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.968453.8%368 W · 316 L-22.0wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb525…e7c9backed Over49c89.24$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.7310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb2d…1dc7backed Over34c89$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.114238.1%16 W · 26 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked Over26c86.79$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.353,21751.3%1,649 W · 1,568 L+89.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ec2…c5f1backed Under53c84.91$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.912979.3%23 W · 6 L+5.4wins+0.19per pick61cpaid+27.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x7ac4…14f1backed Over48c80$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.44531.1%14 W · 31 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa17e…7584backed Under53c77.36$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.365563.6%35 W · 20 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5442…2f88backed Under54c74.1$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.1666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+18.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdcf5…fd4abacked Over49c71.33$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.95333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-22%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc56b…fe0abacked Under53c67.58$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.762540%10 W · 15 L-3.2wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-31%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over27c62.38$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.9616146%74 W · 87 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-13.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4238…3734backed Under51c58.49$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.4913445.5%61 W · 73 L+10.4wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+16.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x42ac…7b70backed Under44c53.7$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.0710248%49 W · 53 L+9.5wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+12.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbcbd…191dbacked Over42c50.14$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.064955.1%27 W · 22 L+3.6wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0386…2b1abacked Over20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1070036.1%253 W · 447 L+18.4wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+26.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf48e…1e01backed Under52c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244355.8%24 W · 19 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x460d…9d5fbacked Over20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101070%7 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6f1a…66b4backed Under61c48.79$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.791650%8 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+1.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2344…6ba3backed Under57c42.98$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.4210849.1%53 W · 55 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcbe7…90dcbacked Over48c41.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207262.5%45 W · 27 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x120e…990abacked Over49c40.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010158.4%59 W · 42 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d38…dee2backed Over52c40.69$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.164658.7%27 W · 19 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4eb0…8cc7backed Under53c37.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.74666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+20.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8063…b962backed Over56c37.63$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.073145.2%14 W · 17 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe2cd…010bbacked Over47c33.19$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.62060%12 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3d78…a4ccbacked Under51c32.35$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.855851.7%30 W · 28 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6321…9cc8backed Over60c32.35$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.41450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-22.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x419f…467abacked Over49c32.22$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.79540%2 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.23per pick63cpaid-39.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb0e6…84a8backed Over48c30.54$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.668158%47 W · 34 L+8.1wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+16.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5a14…c07bbacked Over50c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1520%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x732d…400dbacked Over50c26$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b95…b23ebacked Over51c26$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.269244.6%41 W · 51 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4712…b584backed Under58c24.14$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.14683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick62cpaid+32.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a00…acfbbacked Over49c24$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0684…d593backed Under53c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.43256.3%18 W · 14 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+19.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b65…2cf8backed Over52c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.43060%18 W · 12 L+4.7wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+29.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.