CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Krakow Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x382fdf958e638c2b481796d57bc8110b54720d8ce4fbeaf89920957f070e35b1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FURIAof Aurora Gaming, FURIA
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,375,415
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,342,206
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,375,415 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 736 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc257…358ebacked FURIA | 65c | 487,629$316,959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170,670.08 | 392 | 49%192 W · 200 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Aurora Gaming | 35c | 182,532$63,886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63,886.36 | 424 | 40.3%171 W · 253 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Aurora Gaming | 35c | 119,883$41,959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,958.91 | 210 | 51%107 W · 103 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5877…d894backed Aurora Gaming | 37c | 100,166$37,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,359.87 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe1…4d7fbacked Aurora Gaming | 29c | 70,000$20,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,089.49 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed Aurora Gaming | 35c | 38,126$13,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,344.1 | 229 | 41.9%96 W · 133 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4d…de5abacked Aurora Gaming | 37c | 27,344$10,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,117.35 | 244 | 40.6%99 W · 145 L | -12.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Aurora Gaming | 31c | 23,812$7,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,281.33 | 380 | 37.4%142 W · 238 L | -14.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Aurora Gaming | 25c | 20,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 670 | 41.8%280 W · 390 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed FURIA | 64c | 20,000$12,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,199.94 | 330 | 43.3%143 W · 187 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed FURIA | 64c | 19,222$12,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,919.9 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +19.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed Aurora Gaming | 37c | 18,016$6,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,666 | 238 | 39.9%95 W · 143 L | -11.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed Aurora Gaming | 36c | 17,275$6,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,219 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdaa…8420backed Aurora Gaming | 8c | 16,893$1,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,296.78 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked FURIA | 68c | 16,227$11,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,192.63 | 217 | 54.8%119 W · 98 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e4…2daebacked Aurora Gaming | 4c | 16,224$641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640.51 | 127 | 36.2%46 W · 81 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…6ffdbacked FURIA | 64c | 15,000$9,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,399.93 | 152 | 45.4%69 W · 83 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb726…0664backed Aurora Gaming | 24c | 14,080$3,393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,392.68 | 126 | 49.2%62 W · 64 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1575…d20fbacked FURIA | 64c | 13,996$8,958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,038.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2560…0b02backed Aurora Gaming | 35c | 13,121$4,617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,616.51 | 224 | 48.7%109 W · 115 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3402…9446backed Aurora Gaming | 9c | 13,051$1,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,196.21 | 100 | 43%43 W · 57 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Aurora Gaming | 28c | 12,853$3,626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,625.76 | 882 | 42.3%373 W · 509 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9b…7e7cbacked Aurora Gaming | 27c | 12,728$3,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,469.05 | 210 | 42.9%90 W · 120 L | -12.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed FURIA | 70c | 12,058$8,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,635.47 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfde…3f9cbacked Aurora Gaming | 36c | 11,731$4,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,223.15 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab3…12b2backed Aurora Gaming | 35c | 10,396$3,639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,638.61 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf403…e176backed FURIA | 66c | 10,396$6,861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,534.65 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Aurora Gaming | 36c | 10,019$3,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,570.39 | 3,259 | 50.3%1,639 W · 1,620 L | +98.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd857…c092backed Aurora Gaming | 0c | 9,472$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.55 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ad2…c594backed Aurora Gaming | 10c | 9,226$955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$955.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5c…4f26backed Aurora Gaming | 33c | 8,765$2,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,890 | 352 | 36.4%128 W · 224 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed FURIA | 65c | 8,273$5,377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,895.99 | 196 | 45.4%89 W · 107 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ec…5348backed FURIA | 72c | 8,000$5,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,279.99 | 724 | 53.7%389 W · 335 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88d1…18dabacked FURIA | 63c | 7,817$4,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,892.46 | 226 | 54.9%124 W · 102 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a09…db1cbacked FURIA | 66c | 7,580$4,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,581.2 | 82 | 61%50 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed FURIA | 65c | 7,200$4,655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,545 | 720 | 46.1%332 W · 388 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3317…e838backed Aurora Gaming | 36c | 7,052$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,549.93 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed FURIA | 64c | 6,666$4,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,399.68 | 92 | 56.5%52 W · 40 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed FURIA | 64c | 6,489$4,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,367.8 | 126 | 48.4%61 W · 65 L | -10.4wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4108…9e22backed Aurora Gaming | 37c | 6,486$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 119 | 40.3%48 W · 71 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Aurora Gaming | 37c | 6,245$2,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,279.99 | 205 | 39.5%81 W · 124 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked FURIA | 65c | 6,154$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,153.85 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc85…3532backed Aurora Gaming | 37c | 6,041$2,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,213.81 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked FURIA | 63c | 6,000$3,799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,200.43 | 1,619 | 45.5%737 W · 882 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eab…d552backed Aurora Gaming | 16c | 5,913$974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$974.47 | 187 | 24.1%45 W · 142 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29df…8ebcbacked Aurora Gaming | 36c | 5,854$2,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,098.78 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…1a4ebacked Aurora Gaming | 35c | 5,751$2,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,012.99 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -9.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xef50…e3bdbacked Aurora Gaming | 37c | 5,676$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -39%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…a6f3backed FURIA | 64c | 5,619$3,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,022.99 | 469 | 49.7%233 W · 236 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3bc…c824backed Aurora Gaming | 37c | 5,558$2,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,077 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe8…3549backed FURIA | 64c | 5,396$3,461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,934.41 | 139 | 54.7%76 W · 63 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc36b…a540backed FURIA | 73c | 5,188$3,794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,394.35 | 93 | 37.6%35 W · 58 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Aurora Gaming | 22c | 5,141$1,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,114 | 612 | 28.9%177 W · 435 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed Aurora Gaming | 35c | 4,999$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,749.82 | 755 | 50.6%382 W · 373 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c82…1f13backed FURIA | 61c | 4,844$2,955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,889.16 | 117 | 58.1%68 W · 49 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1e…ff14backed Aurora Gaming | 35c | 4,819$1,687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,686.65 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x260b…8255backed Aurora Gaming | 35c | 4,667$1,633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,633.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Aurora Gaming | 0c | 4,659$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed Aurora Gaming | 36c | 4,430$1,578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,577.65 | 238 | 52.9%126 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf1…795fbacked Aurora Gaming | 36c | 4,298$1,547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,547.28 | 293 | 47.1%138 W · 155 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19ff…d0d0backed Aurora Gaming | 34c | 4,175$1,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,434.41 | 92 | 34.8%32 W · 60 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c59…3887backed Aurora Gaming | 15c | 4,154$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624 | 219 | 41.1%90 W · 129 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed FURIA | 63c | 4,040$2,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,475.41 | 1,089 | 50.9%554 W · 535 L | +38.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9e…bba8backed FURIA | 75c | 3,937$2,968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$969.24 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -33%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3532…3711backed FURIA | 64c | 3,898$2,493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,405.29 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +5.6wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x967f…bcd0backed FURIA | 67c | 3,877$2,586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,291.95 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6286…5307backed FURIA | 66c | 3,861$2,549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,312.87 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x632a…ac85backed Aurora Gaming | 35c | 3,861$1,351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,351.49 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x583f…2dabbacked Aurora Gaming | 15c | 3,704$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.66 | 49 | 28.6%14 W · 35 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -43%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Aurora Gaming | 39c | 3,590$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 274 | 52.9%145 W · 129 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Aurora Gaming | 12c | 3,555$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.27 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc1…9932backed Aurora Gaming | 38c | 3,473$1,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,325.79 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked FURIA | 73c | 3,426$2,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$941.01 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb615…5baebacked Aurora Gaming | 36c | 3,278$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,180 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked FURIA | 79c | 3,178$2,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.88 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb4…00eabacked FURIA | 65c | 3,091$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,090.89 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked FURIA | 68c | 3,061$2,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$994.7 | 1,629 | 44.8%730 W · 899 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Aurora Gaming | 35c | 3,000$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7c…958ebacked Aurora Gaming | 36c | 3,000$1,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,087 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba71…1fb0backed Aurora Gaming | 38c | 2,900$1,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,102 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe458…3436backed FURIA | 66c | 2,879$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$978.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87de…75dbbacked Aurora Gaming | 35c | 2,857$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Aurora Gaming | 18c | 2,831$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.69 | 2,092 | 41.6%871 W · 1,221 L | -50.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3911…30f3backed Aurora Gaming | 36c | 2,802$1,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008.67 | 262 | 51.1%134 W · 128 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed FURIA | 65c | 2,800$1,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 303 | 40.3%122 W · 181 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Aurora Gaming | 16c | 2,795$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.57 | 329 | 30.4%100 W · 229 L | -21.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2733…ac38backed Aurora Gaming | 17c | 2,723$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468 | 68 | 30.9%21 W · 47 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked FURIA | 62c | 2,688$1,671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,016.47 | 1,060 | 49%519 W · 541 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Aurora Gaming | 33c | 2,527$844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$844.04 | 972 | 40.7%396 W · 576 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa32…bd9abacked FURIA | 64c | 2,500$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.99 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…bc51backed Aurora Gaming | 36c | 2,406$866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$866 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05f4…7c4cbacked Aurora Gaming | 37c | 2,265$838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$838.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked FURIA | 78c | 2,207$1,729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.63 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a6f…6b82backed Aurora Gaming | 36c | 2,102$757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756.57 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2418…66c8backed Aurora Gaming | 35c | 2,078$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.45 | 608 | 53.3%324 W · 284 L | +20.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked FURIA | 64c | 2,078$1,324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.69 | 1,167 | 48.2%562 W · 605 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked FURIA | 75c | 2,034$1,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.49 | 489 | 48.7%238 W · 251 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ca…b467backed FURIA | 66c | 2,000$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680 | 97 | 69.1%67 W · 30 L | +8.9wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe4da…1772backed Aurora Gaming | 35c | 1,978$692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692.3 | 537 | 46.2%248 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x653e…bbc0backed Aurora Gaming | 35c | 1,938$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678.31 | 388 | 39.4%153 W · 235 L | -15.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Krakow Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA - Map 1 WinnerFURIA won
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA - Map 2 WinnerFURIA won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5)FURIA won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.