Fifa International · resolved market
Argentina to score first vs. Egypt?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0c87c5f85c153b81a7214c606f4a3543c3a8ada64b13cfbb9bd1dff678323386
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $237,854
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $273,836
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $237,854 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 175 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbaed…b6d3backed Yes | 0c | 34,830$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.83 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 6c | 33,382$2,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,113.92 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked No | 24c | 33,333$8,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,332.86 | 342 | 49.1%168 W · 174 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 76c | 30,976$23,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,469.21 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1af3…b3b4backed No | 24c | 21,098$5,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,034.31 | 203 | 33.5%68 W · 135 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked Yes | 76c | 12,301$9,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,348.76 | 630 | 35.7%225 W · 405 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1610…ae49backed Yes | 76c | 10,000$7,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,600 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bac…cda1backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce5…9ce1backed Yes | 75c | 7,306$5,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,479.64 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.21per pick | 62cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed No | 55c | 7,206$3,943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,263.18 | 201 | 86.1%173 W · 28 L | +46.2wins | +0.23per pick | 63cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 73+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 75c | 6,990$5,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,209.77 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55c5…1710backed Yes | 76c | 5,194$3,948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,947.62 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 25c | 4,160$1,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,105.81 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked No | 23c | 3,663$830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,832.5 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb82b…fc60backed No | 24c | 3,000$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,280 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e3…935dbacked Yes | 67c | 2,964$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 59 | 25.4%15 W · 44 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed No | 26c | 2,879$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,140.57 | 320 | 42.2%135 W · 185 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 74c | 2,702$2,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,011.28 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc8…2f68backed No | 25c | 2,665$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,998.75 | 89 | 38.2%34 W · 55 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 24c | 2,596$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,959.9 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed No | 26c | 2,251$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,665.63 | 406 | 55.7%226 W · 180 L | +17.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x666e…e195backed Yes | 20c | 1,987$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.34 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked No | 36c | 1,435$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$918.39 | 419 | 68.3%286 W · 133 L | +65.4wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 58c | 1,398$818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.42 | 460 | 47.2%217 W · 243 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661c…695bbacked Yes | 76c | 1,316$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 116 | 65.5%76 W · 40 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 25c | 1,131$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$846.22 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40a7…ecb7backed Yes | 1c | 1,111$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 198 | 25.3%50 W · 148 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 26c | 859.47$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.02 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacd9…6bcbbacked Yes | 76c | 855.26$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf245…e750backed Yes | 73c | 839.43$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.79 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +78.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 25c | 756.72$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.54 | 648 | 50.6%328 W · 320 L | -13.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x417d…08f7backed Yes | 76c | 657.89$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | -5.1wins | -0.13per pick | 34cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c1…4837backed Yes | 76c | 657.89$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 96 | 46.9%45 W · 51 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 24c | 649.99$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.99 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b30…fb47backed Yes | 77c | 649.35$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…eac7backed Yes | 75c | 613.33$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 106 | 58.5%62 W · 44 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d14…e4fabacked Yes | 16c | 600$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 104 | 20.2%21 W · 83 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42f0…7eb6backed Yes | 16c | 600$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 38 | 15.8%6 W · 32 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed No | 24c | 513.39$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.18 | 977 | 42%410 W · 567 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 26c | 509.97$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.38 | 170 | 52.9%90 W · 80 L | +13.0wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…9050backed Yes | 75c | 500$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0b9f…2087backed Yes | 12c | 490.52$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.86 | 53 | 18.9%10 W · 43 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 9cpaid | +115.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…5806backed Yes | 76c | 460.53$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 101 | 66.3%67 W · 34 L | +8.6wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf80c…53c7backed Yes | 76c | 429.61$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 65cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5782…8ce5backed Yes | 76c | 400$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304 | 190 | 62.6%119 W · 71 L | +13.0wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e24…3474backed Yes | 76c | 394.74$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 144 | 44.4%64 W · 80 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb1…7d18backed Yes | 76c | 393.3$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2294…824abacked No | 26c | 389.89$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.52 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.33per pick | 39cpaid | +97.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb44…a8a2backed Yes | 76c | 384.55$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.26 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ada…dcb4backed Yes | 19c | 384.54$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.13 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 25c | 363.96$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.89 | 484 | 38.2%185 W · 299 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 24c | 354.78$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.5 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…f280backed Yes | 16c | 309.05$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.45 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +185.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 26c | 300$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c84…f6fcbacked Yes | 16c | 300$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | +12.3wins | +0.20per pick | 16cpaid | +119.9%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x3db7…375cbacked Yes | 16c | 263.54$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.02 | 92 | 21.7%20 W · 72 L | +6.3wins | +0.07per pick | 15cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…9d82backed Yes | 76c | 263.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ad6…669ebacked Yes | 76c | 263.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f4…4a91backed Yes | 76c | 262.99$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.87 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63a9…45e0backed Yes | 76c | 261.22$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.53 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…0fa6backed No | 24c | 250$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 179 | 53.6%96 W · 83 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 25c | 240.6$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.86 | 339 | 37.5%127 W · 212 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ff…c05fbacked Yes | 12c | 222.06$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.65 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 70c | 208$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.4 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 25c | 200.51$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.78 | 363 | 35.8%130 W · 233 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b34…81c8backed Yes | 76c | 200$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 98 | 38.8%38 W · 60 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf76…ffeabacked Yes | 19c | 192.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.25 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dff…6743backed No | 25c | 188$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 346 | 46%159 W · 187 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe2…004dbacked Yes | 8c | 180$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 111 | 14.4%16 W · 95 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 10cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 25c | 178.53$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.97 | 597 | 52.1%311 W · 286 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde4a…3f75backed No | 27c | 177.96$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.91 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 75c | 172.42$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.15 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 73c | 168.41$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.94 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 75c | 166$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.08 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1946…6367backed No | 25c | 165$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.75 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc6…fb06backed Yes | 76c | 160$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.6 | 99 | 45.5%45 W · 54 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a3…5b70backed No | 24c | 141.65$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.03 | 83 | 41%34 W · 49 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cff…86debacked Yes | 73c | 140$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.2 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x877e…5f22backed Yes | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 113 | 35.4%40 W · 73 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3aae…b7d0backed Yes | 75c | 133.4$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 115 | 53.9%62 W · 53 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6d…815fbacked Yes | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 42 | 69%29 W · 13 L | +4.9wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0385…96c8backed Yes | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 88 | 37.5%33 W · 55 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf47c…880abacked Yes | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd02a…4771backed Yes | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb15…5fefbacked Yes | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 100 | 62%62 W · 38 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc43f…3678backed Yes | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -5.2wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa2fa…97debacked Yes | 73c | 130$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.9 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbade…5c92backed No | 25c | 130$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 35cpaid | +121.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd09d…b15dbacked Yes | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 165 | 49.1%81 W · 84 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x934e…f045backed Yes | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb8d…e505backed Yes | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b3…145dbacked Yes | 76c | 125$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd217…ec5bbacked Yes | 73c | 120$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.6 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed No | 23c | 118.32$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.09 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…31cebacked No | 34c | 116.13$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.13 | 669 | 32.1%215 W · 454 L | +16.8wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 25c | 113.13$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.23 | 361 | 39.1%141 W · 220 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…8559backed No | 79c | 112$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.52 | 212 | 51.9%110 W · 102 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x427c…8459backed Yes | 74c | 106.01$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.45 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba34…32b8backed Yes | 77c | 103.9$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 261 | 51.7%135 W · 126 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed No | 26c | 100$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 548 | 59.5%326 W · 222 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Argentina to score first vs. Egypt?this page
- Argentina vs. Egypt: Neither team to score first?No won
- Egypt to score first vs. Argentina?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.