Fifa International · resolved market
Argentina vs. Egypt: Neither team to score first?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x222e8e15fe941d8e90fcb4edfa4a8bb99298fc817f5252cd8674490e41a92f31
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $118,931
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $115,531
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $118,931 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 0c | 36,348$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.91 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6320…7e94backed Yes | 6c | 23,053$1,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,383.18 | 388 | 17.5%68 W · 320 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 7c | 5,598$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.92 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x314a…80f6backed Yes | 7c | 5,144$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.05 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -85.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 7c | 2,700$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78c1…473ebacked Yes | 7c | 2,022$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.54 | 513 | 15.6%80 W · 433 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52e9…c2c1backed Yes | 8c | 1,708$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.66 | 98 | 40.8%40 W · 58 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 7c | 1,529$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.03 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a3…24eabacked Yes | 7c | 1,429$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 63 | 3.2%2 W · 61 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 10cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37ab…cdafbacked Yes | 1c | 1,141$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.41 | 100 | 14%14 W · 86 L | +11.0wins | +0.11per pick | 3cpaid | +445.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked Yes | 7c | 792.46$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.47 | 630 | 35.7%225 W · 405 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf83…da82backed Yes | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 102 | 41.2%42 W · 60 L | +12.7wins | +0.12per pick | 29cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb9…bb3cbacked Yes | 7c | 601.65$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.62 | 55 | 16.4%9 W · 46 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f17…c1dbbacked Yes | 7c | 499.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 288 | 8%23 W · 265 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9b…818fbacked Yes | 7c | 492.14$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.45 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | +5.1wins | +0.11per pick | 20cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51c7…17e4backed Yes | 7c | 428.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 62 | 27.4%17 W · 45 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 19cpaid | +93.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6b…3e58backed Yes | 7c | 428.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 109 | 11%12 W · 97 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x718f…f25abacked Yes | 7c | 357.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -25%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6517…aa7cbacked Yes | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 62 | 30.6%19 W · 43 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8d…2218backed Yes | 7c | 220$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 53 | 20.8%11 W · 42 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c7b…bd59backed Yes | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 221 | 47.1%104 W · 117 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…faffbacked Yes | 8c | 197.4$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc3…4141backed Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 105 | 29.5%31 W · 74 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc972…c7b8backed Yes | 8c | 125.06$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 131 | 38.9%51 W · 80 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x579a…b0a7backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 756 | 30.4%230 W · 526 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x997c…39c8backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 85 | 18.8%16 W · 69 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4eb…e957backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf299…ce66backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8027…2ee8backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -3.4wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdf4b…5c8dbacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 29 | 13.8%4 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Argentina vs. Egypt: Neither team to score first?this page
- Argentina to score first vs. Egypt?No won
- Egypt to score first vs. Argentina?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.