Fifa International · resolved market
Egypt to score first vs. Argentina?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8e49d16518497f9ab4c5ec1deee51f95b6a485b14fc4db58f6572da086da406d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $95,107
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $108,435
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $95,107 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 20c | 6,261$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,010.93 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 19c | 3,640$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,939.74 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 80c | 2,582$2,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,065.6 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked Yes | 34c | 2,154$729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,424.96 | 419 | 68.3%286 W · 133 L | +65.4wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 18c | 2,092$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,714.36 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed Yes | 17c | 1,974$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,635.8 | 406 | 55.7%226 W · 180 L | +17.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x666e…e195backed No | 18c | 1,800$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 66c | 1,424$946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$945.85 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 42c | 1,398$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.36 | 460 | 47.2%217 W · 243 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed Yes | 17c | 1,380$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,144.2 | 320 | 42.2%135 W · 185 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf387…61c0backed Yes | 22c | 1,269$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$989.03 | 349 | 64.5%225 W · 124 L | +73.5wins | +0.21per pick | 43cpaid | +123.1%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x0b9f…2087backed No | 12c | 1,250$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 53 | 18.9%10 W · 43 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 9cpaid | +115.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x90f8…64c9backed Yes | 21c | 1,176$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$926.06 | 232 | 24.1%56 W · 176 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -36%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff88…bcd5backed No | 16c | 1,125$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 52 | 23.1%12 W · 40 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 15cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35ec…becbbacked No | 16c | 1,125$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 37 | 13.5%5 W · 32 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d6…423dbacked No | 16c | 1,125$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69cf…6273backed No | 16c | 1,125$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 15cpaid | +63.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x40a7…ecb7backed No | 1c | 1,111$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 198 | 25.3%50 W · 148 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aaa…51dfbacked Yes | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 61 | 29.5%18 W · 43 L | +4.8wins | +0.08per pick | 22cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…cf15backed Yes | 17c | 999.99$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$829.99 | 90 | 33.3%30 W · 60 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +30%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 79c | 917.97$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$724.95 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ff…c05fbacked No | 12c | 855.85$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.7 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9f…014abacked No | 64c | 781.02$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.85 | 451 | 45%203 W · 248 L | +22.3wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes | 18c | 780.41$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.74 | 1,669 | 41.6%694 W · 975 L | +15.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 20c | 615$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42f0…7eb6backed No | 16c | 600$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 38 | 15.8%6 W · 32 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22ed…002bbacked Yes | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.24 | 86 | 31.4%27 W · 59 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x310e…8d5dbacked Yes | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.56 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +27%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Yes | 17c | 550$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.5 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3db7…375cbacked No | 13c | 548.65$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.54 | 92 | 21.7%20 W · 72 L | +6.3wins | +0.07per pick | 15cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 80c | 510$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408 | 170 | 52.9%90 W · 80 L | +13.0wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ada…dcb4backed No | 18c | 489.94$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.48 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2217…d34dbacked Yes | 20c | 426.4$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.12 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 8cpaid | +25%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47ff…7ccbbacked Yes | 17c | 426.1$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.66 | 254 | 18.1%46 W · 208 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +21%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Yes | 18c | 400$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327 | 298 | 13.8%41 W · 257 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Yes | 17c | 390$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.7 | 977 | 42%410 W · 567 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a2…b64ebacked Yes | 18c | 388.89$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.89 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +24%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe2…004dbacked No | 5c | 360$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 111 | 14.4%16 W · 95 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 10cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 78c | 347.5$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.5 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked No | 80c | 331.73$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.38 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 67c | 270$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.16 | 339 | 37.5%127 W · 212 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x087a…bb87backed Yes | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.16 | 139 | 30.9%43 W · 96 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa7…2723backed Yes | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.16 | 62 | 27.4%17 W · 45 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Yes | 44c | 248.58$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 356 | 58.7%209 W · 147 L | +35.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +28%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5797…8636backed Yes | 20c | 247.5$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.5 | 112 | 32.1%36 W · 76 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes | 20c | 246.3$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.3 | 202 | 27.2%55 W · 147 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf76…ffeabacked No | 18c | 240.92$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.24 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf91…4c43backed Yes | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.1 | 56 | 19.6%11 W · 45 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed08…95e4backed Yes | 20c | 228.7$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.96 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 8cpaid | +25%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c9…8803backed Yes | 18c | 227.78$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.78 | 117 | 17.1%20 W · 97 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19fe…3f6fbacked Yes | 19c | 226.49$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.49 | 82 | 31.7%26 W · 56 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f48…0e01backed Yes | 17c | 211.76$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.76 | 151 | 30.5%46 W · 105 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b7a…86cfbacked Yes | 20c | 200$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 234 | 29.1%68 W · 166 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa599…5230backed Yes | 26c | 189.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.06 | 285 | 35.8%102 W · 183 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1946…6367backed No | 80c | 165$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea77…4edabacked Yes | 20c | 154$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.2 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked No | 79c | 151.9$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 381 | 55.4%211 W · 170 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62ee…c857backed Yes | 20c | 150$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 33cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8d…2218backed Yes | 20c | 150$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 53 | 20.8%11 W · 42 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60f5…f491backed Yes | 17c | 147.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.06 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4267…4ccebacked Yes | 17c | 129.41$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.41 | 73 | 27.4%20 W · 53 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7936…1afebacked Yes | 17c | 118.47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.33 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d3e…0c98backed Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.65 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.19per pick | 18cpaid | +109.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a01…6cffbacked Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.65 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d86…9241backed Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.11 | 120 | 20.8%25 W · 95 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -31%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc86b…6e26backed Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.11 | 150 | 40.7%61 W · 89 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 18c | 106.94$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.24 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2142…4c97backed Yes | 20c | 102.5$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 38cpaid | +76.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6e…e088backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.21per pick | 19cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b5…ca2dbacked Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83 | 129 | 14.7%19 W · 110 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…6e60backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 241 | 32.8%79 W · 162 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed No | 80c | 100$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 572 | 52.4%300 W · 272 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1330…b4b5backed Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 129 | 27.1%35 W · 94 L | +7.9wins | +0.06per pick | 21cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc012…cb56backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc75…f0b7backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +174.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1581…ec76backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f21…d265backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 29cpaid | +37%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xede4…1c40backed Yes | 17c | 99.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.83per pick | 17cpaid | +488.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c39…a0bbbacked Yes | 16c | 99.94$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.95 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +6.8wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Yes | 20c | 97.3$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.84 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 76c | 95.2$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.34 | 342 | 38.6%132 W · 210 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e4c…a70abacked Yes | 21c | 94.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.32 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 25cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c0…a38cbacked Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.91 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x182c…64d3backed Yes | 18c | 80.28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.83 | 72 | 15.3%11 W · 61 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | +22%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 80c | 80.23$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.18 | 340 | 35%119 W · 221 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…db44backed No | 80c | 77.39$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.91 | 197 | 60.4%119 W · 78 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3913…5015backed Yes | 17c | 76.47$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.47 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +23%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x871b…0915backed Yes | 20c | 75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66bb…cd52backed Yes | 20c | 75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 331 | 23.6%78 W · 253 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45dc…0f24backed Yes | 20c | 75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +70.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c7…3c77backed Yes | 17c | 70.59$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.59 | 70 | 11.4%8 W · 62 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf029…a292backed Yes | 18c | 67.97$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.97 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc155…e36bbacked No | 80c | 64.63$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.7 | 785 | 59.7%469 W · 316 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc57…ce2ebacked Yes | 20c | 60$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 139 | 49.6%69 W · 70 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d77…04c9backed Yes | 18c | 59.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.19 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd824…8d96backed Yes | 21c | 52.38$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.38 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 25cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x954e…f704backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15bd…87d3backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d6e…6807backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 58 | 15.5%9 W · 49 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1fb…7e50backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +254.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Egypt to score first vs. Argentina?this page
- Argentina to score first vs. Egypt?No won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: Neither team to score first?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.