Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8bdf55664cb17a543fef1f43bd6aeb0aa7b7849cb31620808ce258b3e2ab136d

Rebuilt 10 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 14, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $473,301
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $466,548

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $473,301 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 595 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x225b…9a83backed No	61c	16,906$10,302 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,302.49	293	33.8%99 W · 194 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	32cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	66c	15,359$10,194 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,165.4	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfea3…d227backed Yes	36c	14,633$5,217 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,415.35	209	55.5%116 W · 93 L	+12.8wins	+0.06per pick	49cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0121…f722backed No	23c	11,177$2,539 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,538.97	236	44.9%106 W · 130 L	+11.7wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x479b…cdb1backed Yes	33c	10,867$3,532 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,334.94	53	37.7%20 W · 33 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	+16.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf747…7d29backed Yes	31c	10,358$3,211 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,147.06	87	49.4%43 W · 44 L	+4.3wins	+0.05per pick	44cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a61…2727backed No	67c	10,201$6,865 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,864.98	33	51.5%17 W · 16 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbea7…b892backed No	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x21d6…86fdbacked No	69c	10,000$6,900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,899.99	15	60%9 W · 6 L	+1.3wins	+0.09per pick	51cpaid	+57.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1851…6b39backed No	24c	8,294$1,960 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,959.94	18	38.9%7 W · 11 L	+0.5wins	+0.03per pick	36cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9868…64b0backed Yes	37c	8,164$3,011 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,152.34	31	22.6%7 W · 24 L	-1.1wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-59.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed No	45c	8,085$3,675 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,674.99	2,634	32.9%867 W · 1,767 L	+43.3wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed No	69c	8,000$5,540 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,539.98	550	44.7%246 W · 304 L	-27.4wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed No	18c	7,756$1,425 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,424.86	326	29.1%95 W · 231 L	+14.5wins	+0.04per pick	25cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe94…8a3dbacked No	59c	7,667$4,524 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,523.54	21	47.6%10 W · 11 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed No	74c	6,937$5,152 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,151.9	61	37.7%23 W · 38 L	-9.1wins	-0.15per pick	53cpaid	-26.7%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0xe8c2…3048backed No	72c	6,386$4,591 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,590.98	191	48.2%92 W · 99 L	+7.2wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaee8…1154backed No	63c	5,807$3,649 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,648.62	134	37.3%50 W · 84 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked No	62c	5,661$3,498 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,498.07	1,075	45.2%486 W · 589 L	+41.2wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6340…e272backed Yes	40c	5,574$2,229 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,344.16	91	61.5%56 W · 35 L	+9.0wins	+0.10per pick	52cpaid	+18.2%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2fbc…e4edbacked No	73c	5,514$4,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,000	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+210.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x66e7…8bcdbacked No	59c	5,476$3,213 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,212.67	878	37.2%327 W · 551 L	-41.2wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-33.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Yes	41c	5,358$2,197 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,161.3	534	48.5%259 W · 275 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes	20c	5,238$1,032 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,205.84	888	38.2%339 W · 549 L	+37.2wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xae2b…9cc3backed No	69c	5,000$3,449 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,448.86	35	54.3%19 W · 16 L	+1.2wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe987…f0e1backed Yes	27c	5,000$1,350 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,650	380	26.6%101 W · 279 L	-10.0wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf09b…584ebacked No	69c	5,000$3,450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,450	35	45.7%16 W · 19 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbcd2…084dbacked Yes	40c	4,911$1,979 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,931.35	45	37.8%17 W · 28 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	36cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb046…857cbacked No	68c	4,900$3,330 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,329.57	157	40.8%64 W · 93 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x66a3…2a0dbacked Yes	31c	4,840$1,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,340.2	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	+1.4wins	+0.15per pick	29cpaid	+17.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6db9…4ab5backed No	73c	4,840$3,519 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,519.26	131	22.1%29 W · 102 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	-28.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb3a…3155backed Yes	21c	4,523$950 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,572.93	10	70%7 W · 3 L	+2.9wins	+0.29per pick	41cpaid	+166.9%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x85ee…f4dfbacked Yes	29c	4,441$1,300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,140.81	24	33.3%8 W · 16 L	+1.2wins	+0.05per pick	28cpaid	-29.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf92a…80a7backed No	55c	4,427$2,439 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,439.45	27	33.3%9 W · 18 L	+1.0wins	+0.04per pick	29cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe0a9…1652backed No	59c	4,111$2,426 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,425.57	38	47.4%18 W · 20 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-22%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Yes	76c	3,886$2,957 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$929.1	753	35.6%268 W · 485 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe574…832abacked No	77c	3,878$2,967 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,966.86	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.11per pick	61cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes	40c	3,871$1,541 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,330.52	137	48.2%66 W · 71 L	+3.4wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x014c…820cbacked Yes	24c	3,793$925 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,867.36	71	26.8%19 W · 52 L	-4.8wins	-0.07per pick	34cpaid	-46.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0007…3545backed No	59c	3,735$2,204 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,203.72	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	+35.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf92…4bfdbacked Yes	27c	3,500$930 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,569.99	55	27.3%15 W · 40 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	26cpaid	-22.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x168a…da29backed No	72c	3,454$2,487 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,486.88	52	53.8%28 W · 24 L	+3.5wins	+0.07per pick	47cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed No	12c	3,406$417 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$417.35	1,686	20.6%347 W · 1,339 L	-28.4wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3cd…816cbacked No	70c	3,401$2,383 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,383.34	185	45.9%85 W · 100 L	+5.3wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes	36c	3,259$1,165 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,093.58	744	47.8%356 W · 388 L	+11.3wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Yes	23c	3,224$752 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,471.85	476	48.5%231 W · 245 L	+13.9wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x088e…bc56backed No	72c	3,194$2,284 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,283.63	70	25.7%18 W · 52 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	24cpaid	-54.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa18c…d792backed Yes	41c	3,108$1,274 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,833.96	240	58.8%141 W · 99 L	+19.8wins	+0.08per pick	50cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes	34c	3,084$1,036 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,048.46	436	35.8%156 W · 280 L	-6.8wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Yes	32c	3,077$979 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,097.52	472	35%165 W · 307 L	-10.8wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc44d…935cbacked No	69c	3,000$2,070 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,069.97	53	50.9%27 W · 26 L	-3.4wins	-0.06per pick	57cpaid	-24%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8c5f…1669backed Yes	24c	2,952$708 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,243.16	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+1.2wins	+0.29per pick	21cpaid	+70%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9b9f…018fbacked No	64c	2,633$1,696 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,695.97	67	47.8%32 W · 35 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x000c…bcf3backed No	36c	2,589$925 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$925.01	299	16.7%50 W · 249 L	-6.3wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-53.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Yes	42c	2,492$1,047 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,445.37	114	43%49 W · 65 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe394…289cbacked Yes	22c	2,376$520 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,856.38	22	68.2%15 W · 7 L	+5.8wins	+0.26per pick	42cpaid	+81.3%equal weight	64+0.12 edge/pick
0xef94…f8c4backed No	31c	2,345$725 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$725.48	43	46.5%20 W · 23 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	-3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe405…c67ebacked Yes	40c	2,335$934 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,401	76	53.9%41 W · 35 L	+5.2wins	+0.07per pick	47cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x01e6…e7e0backed Yes	65c	2,289$1,477 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$812.38	132	59.1%78 W · 54 L	+3.3wins	+0.02per pick	57cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No	44c	2,288$998 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$997.84	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes	60c	2,234$1,343 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$891.77	2,453	34.7%850 W · 1,603 L	+84.3wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c71…2e65backed Yes	31c	2,140$653 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,487.13	26	46.2%12 W · 14 L	+1.9wins	+0.07per pick	39cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2e48…95c7backed No	74c	2,103$1,552 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,552.17	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	-1.5wins	-0.13per pick	71cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Yes	24c	2,000$488 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,511.51	269	40.9%110 W · 159 L	+7.8wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	+4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe075…a98cbacked Yes	29c	1,724$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,224.14	53	41.5%22 W · 31 L	+2.0wins	+0.04per pick	38cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x302b…e4bebacked No	59c	1,695$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	81	40.7%33 W · 48 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	+10.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No	65c	1,648$1,073 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,072.75	1,067	49.1%524 W · 543 L	+7.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaea4…106ebacked Yes	38c	1,624$625 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$998.98	174	36.2%63 W · 111 L	-3.3wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x54a6…7401backed No	15c	1,605$238 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$238.43	30	16.7%5 W · 25 L	-5.3wins	-0.18per pick	34cpaid	-62.9%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xed19…b6ffbacked Yes	49c	1,551$760 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$791.1	36	50%18 W · 18 L	+3.0wins	+0.08per pick	42cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd185…0343backed No	60c	1,551$931 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$930.6	10	50%5 W · 5 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e1f…8fdebacked No	24c	1,528$368 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$367.61	167	41.9%70 W · 97 L	-3.3wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40a7…ecb7backed No	73c	1,500$1,090 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,090	198	25.3%50 W · 148 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	+20.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad9a…c3f4backed Yes	35c	1,447$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$946.86	79	34.2%27 W · 52 L	+5.5wins	+0.07per pick	27cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9fb6…f63dbacked Yes	23c	1,439$330 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,109.13	18	50%9 W · 9 L	+4.1wins	+0.23per pick	27cpaid	+149.2%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x62de…5348backed Yes	34c	1,433$493 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$940	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.3wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+125%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x680d…0c60backed Yes	33c	1,352$450 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$901.94	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.18per pick	32cpaid	+50.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd142…5c9ebacked Yes	31c	1,212$376 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$836.37	56	48.2%27 W · 29 L	+2.6wins	+0.05per pick	44cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb361…808ebacked Yes	33c	1,203$397 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$805.85	86	52.3%45 W · 41 L	+6.1wins	+0.07per pick	45cpaid	-6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xabb0…eaf9backed Yes	42c	1,190$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$690.48	15	73.3%11 W · 4 L	+5.0wins	+0.33per pick	40cpaid	+86.1%equal weight	64+0.13 edge/pick
0x7a31…1164backed No	68c	1,183$801 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$801.29	186	36.6%68 W · 118 L	-7.0wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-35%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe96f…ff4bbacked Yes	43c	1,170$505 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$665.08	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.18per pick	48cpaid	+24.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4205…128ebacked Yes	27c	1,130$310 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$820.09	41	22%9 W · 32 L	-1.8wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-43.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x503a…860abacked Yes	35c	1,129$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$728.78	72	47.2%34 W · 38 L	+8.7wins	+0.12per pick	35cpaid	+11.3%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2b34…b202backed Yes	28c	1,118$316 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$802.29	253	52.6%133 W · 120 L	+12.0wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+12.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd449…450fbacked No	41c	1,111$454 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$453.93	127	44.9%57 W · 70 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab2d…b1aabacked No	71c	1,111$789 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$788.81	165	40.6%67 W · 98 L	-7.7wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfeef…4b1fbacked Yes	23c	1,087$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$836.59	423	32.9%139 W · 284 L	-17.3wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-21%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x10e5…b7aabacked No	60c	1,036$620 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$620.34	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	+0.7wins	+0.06per pick	36cpaid	+26.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x07e9…15dcbacked Yes	33c	1,033$341 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$691.93	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.9wins	+0.47per pick	53cpaid	+119.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe8b…517cbacked Yes	33c	1,020$341 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$679.18	186	14.5%27 W · 159 L	+3.4wins	+0.02per pick	13cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe480…ee6cbacked No	59c	1,017$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600.03	4	50%2 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+23.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x588d…099abacked Yes	31c	1,016$315 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$700.98	222	42.8%95 W · 127 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf301…dd70backed Yes	40c	999.99$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$599.99	58	55.2%32 W · 26 L	+5.2wins	+0.09per pick	46cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa0a1…31e3backed Yes	41c	999.97$410 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$589.98	16	56.3%9 W · 7 L	+2.3wins	+0.15per pick	42cpaid	+18.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6c80…6ff1backed No	77c	999.96$770 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$769.97	284	39.1%111 W · 173 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7e7d…a839backed Yes	42c	998.86$419 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$579.84	10	60%6 W · 4 L	+1.4wins	+0.14per pick	46cpaid	+38.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ad9…dd28backed Yes	30c	995.13$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$695.13	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+2.3wins	+0.33per pick	25cpaid	+106.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3aae…b7d0backed Yes	41c	985.41$404 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$581.39	115	53.9%62 W · 53 L	+4.1wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes	28c	975.81$270 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$705.56	1,945	42.7%831 W · 1,114 L	-11.2wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event