TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Ghana vs. Panama: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,741,789
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,768,415

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,741,789 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 789 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under68c438,274$298,969 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139,305.474,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefdd…017fbacked Over41c400,710$164,084 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164,083.862218.2%4 W · 18 L-5.0wins-0.23per pick41cpaid-60.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x7c1e…bab3backed Over42c259,970$108,388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108,387.522348.4%108 W · 115 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under59c166,106$98,316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67,790.153,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over39c157,140$60,788 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60,787.911,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfea3…d227backed Under59c98,299$57,996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40,302.4320955.5%116 W · 93 L+12.8wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+9.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Under58c96,986$56,252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40,734.0674752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Under59c80,000$47,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32,799.9442345.6%193 W · 230 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Under58c74,000$42,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,079.9932031.6%101 W · 219 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3535…a775backed Over42c71,554$30,053 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,052.722326.1%6 W · 17 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-21%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over7c65,115$4,332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,332.1449441.5%205 W · 289 L+27.7wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+13.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over42c54,241$22,596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,596.2159230.1%178 W · 414 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e05…7720backed Under58c50,000$29,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,999.872343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-23.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ca5…fd56backed Over41c36,585$15,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,0002222.7%5 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick29cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over40c36,000$14,561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,561.232,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Over40c33,775$13,510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,510.1716331.9%52 W · 111 L-11.2wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-13.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over8c31,016$2,509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,508.742,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Under58c27,050$15,710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,340.517748%85 W · 92 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+24.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Under60c23,713$14,211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,502.451,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Over39c22,628$8,878 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,878.1977152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under59c20,481$12,117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,363.281,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e77…8c33backed Under58c20,000$11,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,399.983943.6%17 W · 22 L-4.0wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-20.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Under59c17,443$10,292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,151.7221343.2%92 W · 121 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over30c16,827$5,022 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,022.441,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9a6…627bbacked Under60c16,667$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,667.1411645.7%53 W · 63 L+0.3wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Under59c15,608$9,229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,379.531,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7430…3af2backed Under58c15,000$8,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,3006842.6%29 W · 39 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa80e…6aa1backed Under59c15,000$8,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,15027345.8%125 W · 148 L+14.2wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+17.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1041…f452backed Under59c15,000$8,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,199.8710146.5%47 W · 54 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf031…c80cbacked Over40c14,015$5,547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,546.6733538.2%128 W · 207 L+9.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Under59c13,623$8,038 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,585.4128162.6%176 W · 105 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x896e…53f2backed Under59c12,877$7,597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,279.4617443.1%75 W · 99 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked Over41c12,195$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00018740.6%76 W · 111 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf285…ab24backed Under58c10,000$5,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,2009253.3%49 W · 43 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+19.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9733…f034backed Over41c10,000$4,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,1006844.1%30 W · 38 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a87…4e00backed Over12c10,000$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2003423.5%8 W · 26 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1eaf…9bf0backed Under59c10,000$5,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,099.9820044.5%89 W · 111 L-10.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under59c9,659$5,739 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,919.981,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over41c9,222$3,739 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,739.268,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9535…ccdcbacked Over6c8,670$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483.151729.4%5 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick33cpaid+90%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under67c8,623$5,810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,812.773,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x462d…ce9bbacked Over41c8,500$3,485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,4854854.2%26 W · 22 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x119b…ac3ebacked Under59c8,475$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,474.588944.9%40 W · 49 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5ad4…6866backed Over42c8,200$3,444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,4448435.7%30 W · 54 L0.0wins0.00per pick36cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under59c8,111$4,785 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,325.432,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc40…89cfbacked Under58c8,000$4,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,359.9712536.8%46 W · 79 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe405…c67ebacked Under58c8,000$4,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,359.937653.9%41 W · 35 L+5.2wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+0.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under59c7,864$4,638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,225.761,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b56…715ebacked Under59c7,000$4,130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,8707740.3%31 W · 46 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over40c6,402$2,561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,560.82,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Under59c6,000$3,540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,46016258.6%95 W · 67 L+9.5wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa18c…d792backed Over41c6,000$2,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,459.9924058.8%141 W · 99 L+19.8wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Under59c5,899$3,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,418.4629646.3%137 W · 159 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ab8…1b4abacked Under65c5,304$3,435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,869.0739644.7%177 W · 219 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09b5…7e72backed Under59c5,276$3,113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,163.37549.3%37 W · 38 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x74b6…9823backed Under58c5,093$2,954 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,139.237754.5%42 W · 35 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Under67c5,077$3,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,677.1365948.6%320 W · 339 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under58c5,000$2,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,1001,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Over39c5,000$1,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,949.9570648.2%340 W · 366 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8edd…74d2backed Under61c4,918$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,918.038835.2%31 W · 57 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x410d…d831backed Under59c4,900$2,891 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0095429.6%16 W · 38 L-5.9wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-37.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over41c4,878$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,999.9814445.8%66 W · 78 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15f6…0fd4backed Over42c4,849$2,037 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,036.7380%0 W · 8 L-3.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under59c4,498$2,654 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,843.732,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under60c4,375$2,625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7501,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Under60c4,352$2,606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,746.141,70236.7%625 W · 1,077 L-31.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under60c4,167$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,666.6712554.4%68 W · 57 L-6.8wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-6.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Under59c4,000$2,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,64011343.4%49 W · 64 L-8.1wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-13.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xceed…f8eebacked Over40c4,000$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6008158%47 W · 34 L+4.5wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+4.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Under59c4,000$2,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,639.9429250.7%148 W · 144 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2a6…7708backed Over38c3,684$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4006418.8%12 W · 52 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-30.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over40c3,590$1,446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,446.292,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3561…f1b7backed Over41c3,580$1,465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,465.0395037.5%356 W · 594 L-1.3wins0.00per pick38cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe301…8654backed Under58c3,550$2,055 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,494.7644130.8%136 W · 305 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb70d…5925backed Under59c3,431$2,034 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,397.4611952.9%63 W · 56 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96a3…d944backed Over38c3,000$1,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,14026445.1%119 W · 145 L+17.5wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+15.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Over31c3,000$930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93043248.4%209 W · 223 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Under59c2,762$1,629 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,132.2547144.8%211 W · 260 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5fb…7a6fbacked Under73c2,740$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$739.731942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Under59c2,542$1,499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,042.571638.4%275 W · 441 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over42c2,500$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,05045421.4%97 W · 357 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x13d0…593dbacked Over41c2,439$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00012329.3%36 W · 87 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-16.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over42c2,381$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00089443.4%388 W · 506 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9efc…cce5backed Over42c2,381$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00010458.7%61 W · 43 L+7.7wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+13%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf070…57b8backed Over43c2,326$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00010331.1%32 W · 71 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Over42c2,250$945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94534125.8%88 W · 253 L-10.4wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-1.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc48…c120backed Under60c2,200$1,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88037451.6%193 W · 181 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf984…24cebacked Over41c2,144$879 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$878.9110331.1%32 W · 71 L+0.5wins0.00per pick31cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under73c2,091$1,521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$570.2374034.1%252 W · 488 L-36.1wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa204…96f6backed Over32c2,001$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$650.12171.4%15 W · 6 L+5.4wins+0.26per pick46cpaid+71.2%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x4133…e7a9backed Under59c2,000$1,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82044144%194 W · 247 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33dd…ef8abacked Under59c2,000$1,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8203357.6%19 W · 14 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ede…4284backed Over41c2,000$810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81018738%71 W · 116 L+0.6wins0.00per pick38cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under58c2,000$1,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84086452.7%455 W · 409 L+26.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0844…f46abacked Under58c2,000$1,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83046546.7%217 W · 248 L+9.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbbda…b8fabacked Over40c2,000$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$799.983941%16 W · 23 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick34cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe214…c5cebacked Over40c2,000$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$799.9622437.1%83 W · 141 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67a5…3516backed Under58c1,724$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$724.0522441.5%93 W · 131 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Under59c1,714$1,011 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$702.6850243.4%218 W · 284 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over32c1,709$543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$542.562,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.