TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Ghana vs. Panama: 1st Half O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$26,348
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$25,245

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,348 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x856e…6e34backed Over8c5,740$480 inLost-$4801030%3 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick13cpaid+71.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over12c3,906$449 inLost-$449.151,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa14d…45d1backed Over10c2,055$206 inLost-$205.5512724.4%31 W · 96 L-10.7wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-44.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over4c1,769$69 inLost-$68.991,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over9c921$83 inLost-$82.893,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over10c676.28$66 inLost-$66.018,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked Over38c450$172 inLost-$171.8819838.4%76 W · 122 L-18.4wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-13.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe462…e436backed Over10c400$40 inLost-$4022919.2%44 W · 185 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd546…657bbacked Over10c300$30 inLost-$303067.8%24 W · 282 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-38.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4186…7513backed Over10c290$29 inLost-$294425%11 W · 33 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick20cpaid+24.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8dca…64e9backed Over8c237.99$19 inLost-$19.043923.1%9 W · 30 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick27cpaid+29.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5825…4ffbbacked Over13c225$29 inLost-$29.256549.2%32 W · 33 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+22.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb82…0675backed Over10c203$20 inLost-$20.38750.6%44 W · 43 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x78d2…b978backed Over12c201.92$24 inLost-$24.23488.3%4 W · 44 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-54.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over9c161.77$15 inLost-$14.563,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ce1…8dc0backed Over10c140$14 inLost-$146619.7%13 W · 53 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick22cpaid+13.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4061…dde5backed Over8c125$10 inLost-$1015722.3%35 W · 122 L+0.7wins0.00per pick22cpaid-20.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd48f…7f39backed Over10c120$12 inLost-$123616.7%6 W · 30 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick16cpaid-29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7554…fc63backed Over10c100$10 inLost-$1022147.5%105 W · 116 L+0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+80.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf129…1edcbacked Over37c27.03$10 inLost-$101741.2%7 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-23%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.