Fifa International · resolved market
Ghana vs. Panama: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5d1839050900811f6fa6fc43766d87aa68f2ca62afebc4849f23c467b3f4a701
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $141,740
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $123,190
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $141,740 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 4c | 41,537$1,623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,623.08 | 592 | 30.1%178 W · 414 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 4c | 24,661$914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$914.1 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdee3…6fe5backed Over | 3c | 9,700$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.8 | 128 | 25.8%33 W · 95 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 4c | 8,329$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.02 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbd…21d2backed Over | 4c | 5,000$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 71 | 22.5%16 W · 55 L | +6.4wins | +0.09per pick | 14cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a6…7708backed Over | 4c | 3,846$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 64 | 18.8%12 W · 52 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2843…0ac5backed Over | 4c | 3,724$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.76 | 99 | 36.4%36 W · 63 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 4c | 3,370$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.98 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked Over | 4c | 2,560$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.84 | 130 | 46.9%61 W · 69 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8d…cf69backed Over | 4c | 2,522$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 277 | 42.2%117 W · 160 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c8d…4f5cbacked Over | 4c | 2,190$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.62 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x963f…b421backed Over | 4c | 2,100$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.8 | 32 | 12.5%4 W · 28 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a60…7b81backed Over | 4c | 1,289$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 103 | 30.1%31 W · 72 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x056d…3b69backed Over | 4c | 1,030$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.19 | 37 | 13.5%5 W · 32 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd546…657bbacked Over | 4c | 743.59$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 306 | 7.8%24 W · 282 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f3d…95b1backed Over | 4c | 655.26$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 96 | 22.9%22 W · 74 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cfc…661ebacked Over | 4c | 644.86$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.43 | 127 | 11.8%15 W · 112 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 4c | 641.03$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 451 | 20.6%93 W · 358 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe059…daaebacked Over | 3c | 571.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 117 | 20.5%24 W · 93 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 17cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99ad…fa27backed Over | 4c | 512.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 88 | 36.4%32 W · 56 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e89…3e0abacked Over | 4c | 512.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 267 | 16.1%43 W · 224 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 4c | 408.69$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.85 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x310d…4b75backed Over | 4c | 385.13$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 59 | 22%13 W · 46 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Over | 4c | 384.62$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 438 | 19.2%84 W · 354 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Over | 4c | 300$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 465 | 25.4%118 W · 347 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8409…753dbacked Over | 4c | 252.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 120 | 20%24 W · 96 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Ghana vs. Panama: O/U 5.5this page
- Ghana vs. Panama: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Ghana vs. Panama: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Ghana vs. Panama: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Ghana vs. Panama: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Ghana vs. Panama: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Ghana vs. Panama: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Ghana vs. Panama: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Ghana vs. Panama: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Ghana vs. Panama: Ghana 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Ghana vs. Panama: Ghana 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Ghana vs. Panama: Ghana 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Ghana vs. Panama: Ghana O/U 0.5Over won
- Ghana vs. Panama: Ghana O/U 1.5Under won
- Ghana vs. Panama: Ghana O/U 2.5Under won
- Ghana vs. Panama: O/U 0.5Over won
- Ghana vs. Panama: O/U 1.5Under won
- Ghana vs. Panama: O/U 2.5Under won
- Ghana vs. Panama: O/U 3.5Under won
- Ghana vs. Panama: O/U 4.5Under won
- Ghana vs. Panama: O/U 6.5Under won
- Ghana vs. Panama: Panama 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Ghana vs. Panama: Panama 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Ghana vs. Panama: Panama 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Ghana vs. Panama: Panama O/U 0.5Under won
- Ghana vs. Panama: Panama O/U 1.5Under won
- Ghana vs. Panama: Panama O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Ghana (-1.5)Panama won
- Spread: Ghana (-2.5)Panama won
- Spread: Ghana (-3.5)Panama won
- Spread: Ghana (-4.5)Panama won
- Spread: Panama (-1.5)Ghana won
- Spread: Panama (-2.5)Ghana won
- Spread: Panama (-3.5)Ghana won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.