TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Ghana vs. Panama: Both Teams to Score

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,342,222
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,430,725

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,342,222 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 892 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x39d3…9ef0backed No51c132,316$67,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64,976.129740.1%119 W · 178 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No53c88,721$47,055 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41,666.034,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Yes50c84,982$42,481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42,480.738047.5%38 W · 42 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked No50c78,885$39,444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39,440.6118738%71 W · 116 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd81e…e3d0backed Yes50c75,868$38,172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38,171.6916546.1%76 W · 89 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No50c65,767$32,567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33,199.413,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8325…19ccbacked Yes4c60,535$2,703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,702.5666846.7%312 W · 356 L+45.9wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x23d8…0288backed No51c49,999$25,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,499.717949.2%88 W · 91 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes43c47,528$20,614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,613.948,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd65…ee96backed Yes53c42,699$22,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,50019644.9%88 W · 108 L+9.6wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Yes50c42,314$20,992 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,992.4210555.2%58 W · 47 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Yes20c36,591$7,155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,155.0349441.5%205 W · 289 L+27.7wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+13.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes49c36,507$18,013 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,012.671,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Yes49c31,298$15,446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,4466947.8%33 W · 36 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd202…8973backed Yes50c29,412$14,706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,7069345.2%42 W · 51 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9eaf…a3a1backed Yes50c28,770$14,518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,517.613930.8%12 W · 27 L-4.7wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-35%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x36a7…b6e9backed No49c22,194$10,861 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,333.148046.3%37 W · 43 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Yes50c21,543$10,771 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,770.82,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x22ed…002bbacked No50c20,700$10,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,3508631.4%27 W · 59 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked No55c20,492$11,218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,273.562,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Yes50c20,340$10,073 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,073.2223949.4%118 W · 121 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bef…5e49backed No50c20,000$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,0004544.4%20 W · 25 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick51cpaid+13.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf2b8…b908backed No48c18,900$8,978 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,922.55156.9%29 W · 22 L+5.3wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+40.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x20b9…4affbacked No50c18,254$9,127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,127.14040%16 W · 24 L-4.2wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-15.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1af3…b3b4backed No50c17,506$8,731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,775.2220333.5%68 W · 135 L-10.3wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-16.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1bc8…2f68backed No50c16,345$8,253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,091.378938.2%34 W · 55 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb84…5fb5backed Yes50c14,648$7,266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,265.935843.1%25 W · 33 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes50c14,303$7,081 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,081.132,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6203…6280backed No50c13,940$6,970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,9708940.4%36 W · 53 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6e4…07b1backed Yes50c12,002$6,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,00018343.7%80 W · 103 L-9.3wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x381b…4d74backed Yes50c12,001$6,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,000.58440.5%34 W · 50 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x443b…e8bbbacked Yes50c11,800$5,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,90013746.7%64 W · 73 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1171…98dcbacked No63c11,250$7,128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,122.147143.7%31 W · 40 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29cc…3c29backed No50c10,700$5,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,3508139.5%32 W · 49 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick43cpaid+3.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xad6a…9dbdbacked No50c10,442$5,221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,220.827425.7%19 W · 55 L-7.0wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbbe0…1bb7backed Yes49c10,204$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,000250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-36.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x62ca…1760backed No50c10,099$5,092 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,006.6825844.6%115 W · 143 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14d8…e8f2backed No50c10,001$4,995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,005.511625%4 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-40.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf285…ab24backed No50c10,000$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,0009253.3%49 W · 43 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+19.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x374b…4a4cbacked Yes52c10,000$5,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,2004734%16 W · 31 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick37cpaid+83.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72d2…3cf0backed Yes49c9,508$4,659 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,65910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x88f9…325dbacked No50c9,439$4,719 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,719.284740.4%19 W · 28 L+0.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid+19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No49c8,978$4,408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,569.754,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b5d…7501backed Yes50c8,788$4,394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,394.18160.5%49 W · 32 L+6.0wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+11.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No51c8,040$4,133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,906.482,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Yes50c8,000$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,00059230.1%178 W · 414 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No50c7,725$3,866 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,858.572,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes50c7,518$3,739 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,739.482,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe823…2a61backed Yes50c7,400$3,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,7003324.2%8 W · 25 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-45.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b82…2291backed Yes22c6,594$1,451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,450.685145.1%23 W · 28 L+3.9wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+6.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe558…dcd2backed Yes39c6,347$2,475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,475.2315843%68 W · 90 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0c0…1bedbacked No49c6,000$2,940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,059.976050%30 W · 30 L+4.6wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+56.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes27c5,914$1,623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,623.433,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe7e…6d00backed Yes51c5,882$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00031644.9%142 W · 174 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2aa6…1e5abacked Yes50c5,844$2,922 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,922.163212.5%4 W · 28 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick17cpaid-38.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No51c5,790$2,953 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,837.161,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked No51c5,460$2,768 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,692.131,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a23…4454backed No51c5,098$2,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,498.042259.1%13 W · 9 L+4.2wins+0.19per pick40cpaid+27.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes41c5,085$2,087 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,086.554,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1eaf…9bf0backed No51c5,000$2,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,449.8720044.5%89 W · 111 L-10.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x79ae…9a4abacked No51c4,902$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,401.967545.3%34 W · 41 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No50c4,901$2,434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,467.653,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Yes46c4,686$2,153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,152.651,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No51c4,502$2,296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,206.11,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe504…600ebacked Yes50c4,496$2,248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,24814231.7%45 W · 97 L-13.4wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-28.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb10b…0b04backed Yes51c4,444$2,266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,266.4432029.4%94 W · 226 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No49c4,345$2,134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,210.813,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Yes51c4,151$2,116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,115.7143230.1%130 W · 302 L-17.6wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-41%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc368…a3c4backed No49c4,066$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,065.7416953.3%90 W · 79 L+8.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed No50c4,006$2,003 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,003.1222643.4%98 W · 128 L-12.1wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe988…cf23backed No47c4,000$1,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,1203438.2%13 W · 21 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Yes41c4,000$1,655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,654.9843248.4%209 W · 223 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x45b5…2d74backed Yes49c3,992$1,956 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,956.053060%18 W · 12 L+2.8wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+17.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x476d…0c42backed Yes51c3,865$1,971 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,971.027346.6%34 W · 39 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes49c3,708$1,818 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,818.371,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xeabd…8559backed Yes49c3,676$1,801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,80120%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x39bc…2739backed Yes30c3,333$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0009241.3%38 W · 54 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-17.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x92e5…efeebacked No51c3,333$1,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,633.171442.9%6 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick33cpaid-11.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xedf0…a1d3backed No50c3,049$1,512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,537.1821044.3%93 W · 117 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d1e…9e97backed Yes50c3,030$1,515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,514.7828251.4%145 W · 137 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed No50c3,021$1,499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,521.4871638.4%275 W · 441 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e83…9bdebacked Yes50c3,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,500728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.25per pick53cpaid-44.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1a87…4e00backed Yes10c2,952$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.163423.5%8 W · 26 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x62f8…f64fbacked Yes51c2,922$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50018452.2%96 W · 88 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5bd3…394cbacked Yes49c2,839$1,391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,39113857.2%79 W · 59 L+9.0wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+8.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9a4b…03d6backed Yes40c2,771$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,10012545.6%57 W · 68 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8010…c321backed Yes52c2,651$1,379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,378.713455.9%19 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick57cpaid+15.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes50c2,538$1,269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,269.0417544%77 W · 98 L+9.8wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x00c8…9ccdbacked Yes49c2,335$1,148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,148.051,01931.6%322 W · 697 L-10.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x944e…8c94backed No51c2,222$1,133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,088.7814348.3%69 W · 74 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e7a…1eecbacked No50c2,200$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1007445.9%34 W · 40 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x77f6…dbd1backed Yes50c2,060$1,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0301250%6 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x502e…5442backed Yes49c2,041$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00016746.7%78 W · 89 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe98c…8792backed No48c2,025$972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,053.29150.5%46 W · 45 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked No80c2,000$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40065948.6%320 W · 339 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf747…7d29backed Yes50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0008749.4%43 W · 44 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b2f…3531backed Yes11c2,000$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2204238.1%16 W · 26 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+17.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc087…dbbabacked Yes50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0007541.3%31 W · 44 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick33cpaid+46.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0844…f46abacked No50c2,000$1,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$989.9946546.7%217 W · 248 L+9.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked No51c2,000$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$979.9164443.3%279 W · 365 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.