TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Walczaki (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Walczakiof HOTU, Walczaki
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$111,553
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$126,017

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $111,553 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 229 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0fb2…eb78backed Walczaki0c11,410$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,398.593154.8%17 W · 14 L+6.6wins+0.21per pick33cpaid+3,274.3%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked HOTU51c5,019$2,540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,540.211,02052.2%532 W · 488 L+26.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda1a…3407backed HOTU53c4,744$2,530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,529.5728960.6%175 W · 114 L+14.1wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Walczaki49c3,684$1,805 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,878.762,66430.8%820 W · 1,844 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-30.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Walczaki36c3,539$1,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,278.65,34131.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L-390.7wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9b50…180ebacked HOTU51c3,413$1,740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,740.432152.4%11 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa80c…5a6dbacked HOTU59c3,320$1,959 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,958.85759.6%34 W · 23 L-0.3wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e9c…1fcabacked Walczaki47c3,000$1,404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5968324.1%20 W · 63 L-11.7wins-0.14per pick38cpaid-33.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x3b21…4b63backed HOTU53c2,716$1,449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,449.2311947.9%57 W · 62 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked HOTU50c2,626$1,317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,317.385,09555.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L+119.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Walczaki43c2,556$1,108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,448.422,32851.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L+92.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa960…9407backed HOTU53c2,505$1,332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,332.469554.7%52 W · 43 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked Walczaki44c2,350$1,027 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,322.981,62944.8%730 W · 899 L+4.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56d6…4404backed HOTU53c2,070$1,106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,105.7464058.1%372 W · 268 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab96…989fbacked Walczaki48c2,024$968 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,055.422645.1%102 W · 124 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdaaf…051bbacked HOTU51c1,918$978 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$978.1811148.6%54 W · 57 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-9.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f6d…71b4backed Walczaki49c1,758$861 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$896.493354.5%18 W · 15 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd97…a2c9backed HOTU55c1,577$873 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$872.83748.6%18 W · 19 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9a90…1dddbacked Walczaki49c1,547$763 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$783.972360.9%14 W · 9 L+2.5wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+29%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4d5a…9ed6backed HOTU55c1,541$841 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8415362.3%33 W · 20 L+4.9wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+13.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1769…94efbacked Walczaki48c1,487$712 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$775.291648.9%448 W · 468 L+4.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x218b…625abacked Walczaki49c1,373$673 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$700.2323129%67 W · 164 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xece6…c4bfbacked Walczaki49c1,152$564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.52933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-30.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed HOTU50c1,096$553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$553.312,64551.9%1,372 W · 1,273 L+21.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b17…2aa5backed Walczaki45c1,015$457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$558.3715453.2%82 W · 72 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1c4…bbfbbacked Walczaki24c1,008$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$765.974957.1%28 W · 21 L+5.2wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+26.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7069…325bbacked HOTU51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51094945.8%435 W · 514 L+19.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21f2…aeb7backed Walczaki45c982.26$445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$537.195541.8%23 W · 32 L+0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid+13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked HOTU56c897.09$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.6219231.3%60 W · 132 L-11.2wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-25.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcf38…848bbacked Walczaki45c888$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$488.412950.4%65 W · 64 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c93…33d5backed Walczaki49c884.75$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$454.6748437.6%182 W · 302 L+13.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+42%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed HOTU58c878.56$512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511.974,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3d2…f38bbacked Walczaki46c797.33$367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$430.562152.4%11 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked HOTU58c781$452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452.13,26745.5%1,485 W · 1,782 L-85.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4031…92c8backed Walczaki49c765.17$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.5150846.3%235 W · 273 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5ab…738ebacked Walczaki43c738.4$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.165100%5 W · 0 L+3.2wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+225.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x5d5a…4289backed HOTU56c736.94$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412.2522750.2%114 W · 113 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Walczaki47c724.29$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$386.817,99050.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L+180.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc405…4affbacked Walczaki37c675.9$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.7416355.8%91 W · 72 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x88b0…f8d8backed Walczaki49c669.61$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34221744.7%97 W · 120 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe601…84ecbacked HOTU60c622.45$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.3549245.9%226 W · 266 L-1.7wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf6ee…0e41backed Walczaki44c600$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3371,04139.9%415 W · 626 L+20.5wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c49…03d0backed Walczaki49c576$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.76933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-36.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xba8e…8e0dbacked HOTU55c574.99$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.2450458.5%295 W · 209 L-1.5wins0.00per pick59cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66ea…6791backed Walczaki50c564$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28217948%86 W · 93 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e48…6158backed HOTU75c561.2$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42038052.6%200 W · 180 L+0.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed Walczaki36c558.05$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.33450%2 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+16.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb963…3fa0backed Walczaki45c547.92$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.3650043%215 W · 285 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3763…345fbacked Walczaki46c543.59$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.5953545%241 W · 294 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9738backed HOTU66c534.91$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.69425%1 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.42per pick67cpaid-66.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8ddc…9c0fbacked Walczaki50c532.5$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.2529044.8%130 W · 160 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb575…d35bbacked Walczaki37c526.33$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.3210938.5%42 W · 67 L-0.5wins0.00per pick39cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1cc…3bf0backed Walczaki41c520.55$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.054751.1%24 W · 23 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf56c…fcbdbacked Walczaki46c520.18$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.1835749.9%178 W · 179 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0561…51c7backed Walczaki36c515.89$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.031942.1%8 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Walczaki50c500.1$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.0526650.8%135 W · 131 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d54…4d13backed Walczaki49c500$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2556456.3%36 W · 28 L+5.7wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+22%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa664…f849backed Walczaki49c499.99$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25528738%109 W · 178 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0cc8…8255backed HOTU72c499.99$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.99333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick61cpaid-49.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f2a…3706backed Walczaki49c499.99$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.994654.3%25 W · 21 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1aee…8796backed HOTU67c483.93$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.7628254.6%154 W · 128 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a3b…5fa5backed HOTU60c483.44$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29021463.6%136 W · 78 L-0.7wins0.00per pick64cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc5ea…8011backed Walczaki50c480$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2402100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+82.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…a241backed Walczaki50c480$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2401100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef00…de7fbacked HOTU57c475.19$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.157737.7%29 W · 48 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-12.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3f17…7035backed HOTU58c420$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24545565.9%300 W · 155 L+21.1wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x71cf…10fdbacked Walczaki50c410$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2051947.4%9 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0815…6023backed Walczaki42c405.78$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.771154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e5e…67c5backed Walczaki24c400$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30430527.5%84 W · 221 L-17.6wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-18.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x041b…d3ebbacked HOTU51c400$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20431451.6%162 W · 152 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c70…9a6cbacked HOTU51c392.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005137.3%19 W · 32 L-4.7wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-20.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3411…ac64backed HOTU67c389.99$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed HOTU50c384.21$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.912,03053.7%1,091 W · 939 L+6.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6326…6329backed Walczaki45c368.8$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.860143.1%259 W · 342 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed HOTU54c365$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.15,87637.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L+71.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe337…1f6fbacked HOTU60c360$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.126341.1%108 W · 155 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked Walczaki41c350.45$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.6766446.4%308 W · 356 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Walczaki42c345.08$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.464,09951%2,091 W · 2,008 L+74.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed HOTU65c343.41$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.936,50142.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L-79.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ed7…3381backed Walczaki50c334.06$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.062100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+81.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x304f…af95backed Walczaki59c334$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.4824256.6%137 W · 105 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-5.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x803f…b6b3backed Walczaki30c333.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.337436.5%27 W · 47 L+6.6wins+0.09per pick28cpaid+25%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe705…f910backed Walczaki48c326$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.523751.4%19 W · 18 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cff…3984backed Walczaki51c318.18$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.1821052.4%110 W · 100 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e8f…870ebacked Walczaki42c311.94$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.0622542.7%96 W · 129 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+11.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x22c7…3e23backed HOTU54c310.58$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.7114037.1%52 W · 88 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5bd5…f982backed Walczaki50c310$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6277…5a3fbacked Walczaki49c307.14$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.6463541.9%266 W · 369 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2639…a9b6backed HOTU71c304.08$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.446747.8%32 W · 35 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e83…00aabacked Walczaki47c302$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.0617441.4%72 W · 102 L-10.8wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-11.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xace6…5556backed HOTU51c300$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15367651.8%350 W · 326 L+2.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5de7…5417backed Walczaki47c292.04$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.61,14643.5%499 W · 647 L-17.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1661…4b37backed HOTU68c291.94$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.727349.3%36 W · 37 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42ac…7b70backed Walczaki47c290.11$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.7610248%49 W · 53 L+9.5wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+12.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1065…6218backed Walczaki49c287.53$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.6448939.7%194 W · 295 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5a8…bf60backed HOTU54c285.19$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15498856.1%554 W · 434 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x976e…2d2ebacked Walczaki24c285$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.6425%1 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick21cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2831…8fabbacked HOTU55c273$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.151361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb378…e4c0backed HOTU51c272$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.7238312.8%49 W · 334 L-12.7wins-0.03per pick16cpaid-30.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2757…55f0backed Walczaki50c269$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.524641.9%103 W · 143 L-14.4wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.