CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Walczaki - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x460a4d5e3a53098b158d38a79f7afd89798ef33cd1ac004c5d8d8af1ae127fae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- HOTUof HOTU, Walczaki
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,938
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,041
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,938 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xda1a…3407backed HOTU | 58c | 1,800$1,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.25 | 289 | 60.6%175 W · 114 L | +14.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…4df8backed HOTU | 53c | 1,500$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.99 | 183 | 56.3%103 W · 80 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccec…1dfcbacked Walczaki | 58c | 1,287$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740.23 | 211 | 46%97 W · 114 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Walczaki | 51c | 1,285$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.27 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Walczaki | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 287 | 38%109 W · 178 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec5a…cd56backed Walczaki | 63c | 878.68$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.54 | 119 | 43.7%52 W · 67 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd97…a2c9backed HOTU | 57c | 776.99$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.1 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked HOTU | 29c | 712.69$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.41 | 192 | 31.3%60 W · 132 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b17…2aa5backed HOTU | 50c | 627.99$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.16 | 154 | 53.2%82 W · 72 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Walczaki | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 2,664 | 30.8%820 W · 1,844 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Walczaki | 57c | 433.77$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.57 | 5,341 | 31.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L | -390.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a8…bf60backed Walczaki | 45c | 388.19$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.69 | 988 | 56.1%554 W · 434 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed HOTU | 49c | 387.98$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.46 | 1,489 | 58%863 W · 626 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Walczaki | 43c | 379.36$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.33 | 1,659 | 32.7%542 W · 1,117 L | -49.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c93…33d5backed HOTU | 28c | 366.27$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.71 | 484 | 37.6%182 W · 302 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +42%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7069…325bbacked HOTU | 28c | 296.07$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.76 | 949 | 45.8%435 W · 514 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb209…b744backed HOTU | 38c | 275$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.5 | 294 | 40.5%119 W · 175 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56d6…4404backed HOTU | 59c | 269.99$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.88 | 640 | 58.1%372 W · 268 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Walczaki | 43c | 250$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.5 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1522…70febacked HOTU | 46c | 242.5$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.93 | 369 | 45.3%167 W · 202 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9b…cbe5backed Walczaki | 46c | 220.64$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.97 | 443 | 44%195 W · 248 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked HOTU | 34c | 172.72$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.78 | 5,034 | 37.2%1,874 W · 3,160 L | -260.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb600…4440backed HOTU | 27c | 159.52$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.18 | 165 | 46.1%76 W · 89 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3621…2d2dbacked Walczaki | 72c | 137.73$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.17 | 90 | 40%36 W · 54 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48ac…b7c9backed Walczaki | 66c | 136.34$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.95 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -4.1wins | -0.19per pick | 64cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Walczaki | 46c | 135.27$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.72 | 371 | 49.6%184 W · 187 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ffc…cfabbacked HOTU | 30c | 133.87$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.87 | 87 | 40.2%35 W · 52 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked HOTU | 37c | 115.28$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.42 | 4,754 | 43.6%2,071 W · 2,683 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabcd…14f6backed Walczaki | 56c | 98.84$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -4.1wins | -0.37per pick | 46cpaid | -82.2%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a5…c602backed Walczaki | 43c | 90$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.7 | 332 | 37%123 W · 209 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e5…c8d1backed Walczaki | 68c | 87.81$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed HOTU | 45c | 85.4$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.72 | 1,548 | 33.9%524 W · 1,024 L | -73.9wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Walczaki | 50c | 83$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.36 | 4,099 | 51%2,091 W · 2,008 L | +74.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2f…febcbacked HOTU | 47c | 63.64$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.69 | 279 | 47.3%132 W · 147 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Walczaki | 43c | 60.47$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1,046 | 45%471 W · 575 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa24a…8382backed Walczaki | 65c | 60$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.7 | 144 | 48.6%70 W · 74 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Walczaki | 47c | 59.57$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1,325 | 44.1%584 W · 741 L | +44.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Walczaki | 48c | 57$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.15 | 1,305 | 26.4%345 W · 960 L | -89.7wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Walczaki | 71c | 52.71$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.68 | 1,377 | 66.4%914 W · 463 L | +77.0wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc8…f527backed HOTU | 41c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.75 | 492 | 26%128 W · 364 L | -45.2wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4720…007bbacked Walczaki | 76c | 50$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8b…7a07backed HOTU | 58c | 49.81$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.92 | 213 | 60.1%128 W · 85 L | +10.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb00…fda1backed HOTU | 63c | 47.64$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.64 | 411 | 47.7%196 W · 215 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa72a…5685backed Walczaki | 67c | 43.89$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.41 | 317 | 41.3%131 W · 186 L | -14.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d2…f38bbacked Walczaki | 71c | 39.97$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.18 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86e6…e722backed HOTU | 58c | 37.28$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.66 | 262 | 45.8%120 W · 142 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked Walczaki | 36c | 34.83$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.64 | 892 | 48%428 W · 464 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Walczaki | 63c | 32.54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.47 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1791…3e87backed Walczaki | 72c | 30.59$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.01 | 399 | 46.4%185 W · 214 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed HOTU | 58c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed HOTU | 44c | 26.63$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.99 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Walczaki | 41c | 26.62$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 1,895 | 47.8%906 W · 989 L | -50.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed Walczaki | 72c | 24.17$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.37 | 932 | 61.7%575 W · 357 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Walczaki | 60c | 21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.56 | 2,393 | 46.7%1,118 W · 1,275 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7173…7a4cbacked Walczaki | 73c | 20.49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Walczaki - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Walczaki (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 PlayoffsWalczaki won
- Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Walczaki - Map 1 WinnerWalczaki won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: WAL (-1.5) vs HOTU (+1.5)HOTU won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.