Spread: Netherlands (-1.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4a5c996d32d0905e5c13b18671de76b98409c606b1f8fafb327f80a91525d523

Rebuilt 21 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Netherlandsof Netherlands, Sweden
Resolved: Jun 20, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,595,992
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,644,457

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,595,992 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 726 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x7671…7244backed Sweden	69c	352,877$242,030 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$242,029.53	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.7wins	-0.69per pick	69cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Netherlands	41c	165,673$67,753 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$97,919.51	2,407	37.7%908 W · 1,499 L	-48.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Netherlands	31c	145,283$45,038 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100,244.95	143	49.7%71 W · 72 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x85f0…3f67backed Sweden	28c	143,010$40,043 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40,042.78	73	46.6%34 W · 39 L	+4.2wins	+0.06per pick	41cpaid	+20.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Sweden	69c	108,963$75,085 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75,085.02	1,985	32.5%645 W · 1,340 L	-47.7wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa5f…6bfebacked Netherlands	32c	72,280$23,129 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49,150.11	208	44.7%93 W · 115 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Netherlands	35c	58,866$20,739 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38,127.85	1,144	39.2%448 W · 696 L	-8.4wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5351…9b3cbacked Netherlands	31c	35,000$10,850 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24,149.99	89	43.8%39 W · 50 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Sweden	51c	34,361$17,524 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17,524	644	46.4%299 W · 345 L	-6.2wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Netherlands	32c	30,693$9,953 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20,740.36	3,992	24.9%994 W · 2,998 L	-47.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked Netherlands	33c	29,400$9,702 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19,697.83	187	38%71 W · 116 L	+4.1wins	+0.02per pick	36cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Netherlands	74c	24,231$17,884 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,347.12	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1af3…b3b4backed Netherlands	33c	19,000$6,270 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,729.89	203	33.5%68 W · 135 L	-10.3wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Netherlands	50c	16,143$8,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,142.86	362	47.2%171 W · 191 L	+6.3wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x45b5…c5a8backed Netherlands	31c	15,702$4,868 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,834.7	24	62.5%15 W · 9 L	+3.5wins	+0.15per pick	48cpaid	+34.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x60f6…a196backed Sweden	6c	13,706$843 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$843.02	460	12.4%57 W · 403 L	+4.1wins	+0.01per pick	11cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Netherlands	31c	13,000$4,030 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,970	296	46.3%137 W · 159 L	-6.5wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xceed…f8eebacked Netherlands	32c	13,000$4,110 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,889.94	81	58%47 W · 34 L	+4.5wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Sweden	58c	12,567$7,253 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,252.77	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Sweden	67c	12,112$8,127 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,127.31	1,313	48.9%642 W · 671 L	+12.3wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Sweden	67c	12,053$8,088 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,087.9	1,390	46.3%644 W · 746 L	+20.9wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Netherlands	32c	11,115$3,593 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,521.28	2,439	29%707 W · 1,732 L	-65.3wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-21%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb0a2…353abacked Netherlands	33c	10,894$3,595 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,298.77	48	41.7%20 W · 28 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x49f2…d7b4backed Netherlands	32c	10,000$3,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,800	193	45.1%87 W · 106 L	+3.2wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+27.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Sweden	10c	9,258$887 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$887.2	120	36.7%44 W · 76 L	+5.6wins	+0.05per pick	32cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x119b…ac3ebacked Netherlands	34c	8,824$3,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,823.53	89	44.9%40 W · 49 L	+3.3wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Netherlands	32c	8,803$2,817 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,986.04	2,603	37.8%984 W · 1,619 L	-40.7wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Netherlands	31c	8,000$2,480 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,520	362	50.8%184 W · 178 L	-6.7wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Netherlands	57c	8,000$4,540 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,459.98	1,536	49.1%754 W · 782 L	+32.8wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Netherlands	32c	7,867$2,536 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,330.64	502	43.4%218 W · 284 L	-9.0wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Netherlands	33c	7,500$2,475 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,024.93	744	47.8%356 W · 388 L	+11.3wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Netherlands	32c	6,814$2,180 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,633.22	80	47.5%38 W · 42 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Netherlands	32c	6,396$2,027 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,369.38	476	43.3%206 W · 270 L	-10.9wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-11%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x819b…d996backed Netherlands	32c	6,250$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,250	145	46.9%68 W · 77 L	+3.7wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Netherlands	53c	6,000$3,183 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,817.47	2,819	44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L	-36.2wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbcfb…efc0backed Netherlands	34c	6,000$2,040 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,960	71	29.6%21 W · 50 L	-6.6wins	-0.09per pick	39cpaid	-37.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x76aa…eff9backed Netherlands	67c	5,634$3,776 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,857.78	257	53.3%137 W · 120 L	+23.5wins	+0.09per pick	44cpaid	+17.5%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x462d…ce9bbacked Netherlands	34c	5,319$1,808 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,510.37	48	54.2%26 W · 22 L	+2.3wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5bd3…394cbacked Netherlands	32c	5,297$1,695 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,601.88	138	57.2%79 W · 59 L	+9.0wins	+0.07per pick	51cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Netherlands	32c	5,266$1,660 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,605.6	484	41.9%203 W · 281 L	-16.8wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Netherlands	32c	5,247$1,668 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,578.76	1,941	35.5%690 W · 1,251 L	-25.4wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Sweden	57c	5,119$2,914 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,914.46	771	52.8%407 W · 364 L	+17.7wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b89…4244backed Sweden	68c	5,000$3,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,400	175	50.3%88 W · 87 L	+4.5wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Sweden	68c	5,000$3,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,400	706	48.2%340 W · 366 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Netherlands	33c	5,000$1,650 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,350	864	52.7%455 W · 409 L	+26.7wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x59f4…c1f1backed Netherlands	34c	4,914$1,671 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,243.24	81	35.8%29 W · 52 L	+4.9wins	+0.06per pick	30cpaid	+33.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x09dd…7e13backed Sweden	67c	4,669$3,128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,128.21	379	44.1%167 W · 212 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf021…e900backed Sweden	13c	4,284$559 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$559.05	364	37.1%135 W · 229 L	+16.5wins	+0.05per pick	33cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Sweden	15c	4,057$613 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$612.74	432	30.1%130 W · 302 L	-17.6wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-41%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Netherlands	31c	4,043$1,254 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,788.99	1,262	47.5%600 W · 662 L	-15.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc23e…98a4backed Netherlands	32c	4,025$1,288 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,737	45	31.1%14 W · 31 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	31cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x21f7…1b34backed Netherlands	33c	3,935$1,299 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,636.67	224	36.6%82 W · 142 L	+3.5wins	+0.02per pick	35cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x40d0…4415backed Netherlands	31c	3,788$1,174 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,613.72	188	50%94 W · 94 L	-6.9wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9806…0367backed Netherlands	60c	3,503$2,100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,402.52	54	48.1%26 W · 28 L	+4.7wins	+0.09per pick	40cpaid	+9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Netherlands	32c	3,500$1,115 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,385	471	44.8%211 W · 260 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Netherlands	50c	3,478$1,742 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,735.85	2,271	39.5%896 W · 1,375 L	+10.1wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xac1c…d8b5backed Sweden	29c	3,448$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	147	34%50 W · 97 L	+4.6wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	+18.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa4c…7bfdbacked Sweden	28c	3,404$950 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$950	144	28.5%41 W · 103 L	+6.4wins	+0.04per pick	24cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed Netherlands	31c	3,226$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,225.81	465	50.3%234 W · 231 L	+5.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed Netherlands	31c	3,200$992 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,208	378	50.5%191 W · 187 L	-7.5wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Netherlands	33c	3,030$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,030.3	894	43.4%388 W · 506 L	+18.6wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe214…c5cebacked Netherlands	52c	3,000$1,560 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,440	224	37.1%83 W · 141 L	+5.5wins	+0.02per pick	35cpaid	-1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1041…f452backed Netherlands	79c	3,000$2,370 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$629.99	101	46.5%47 W · 54 L	-2.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Netherlands	73c	2,976$2,186 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$790.58	4,457	37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L	+31.0wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed Netherlands	31c	2,944$913 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,031.36	264	54.5%144 W · 120 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Netherlands	32c	2,857$914 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,942.76	1,044	43.7%456 W · 588 L	+20.7wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Sweden	13c	2,810$367 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$367.2	753	35.6%268 W · 485 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed Netherlands	32c	2,800$884 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,916	474	42.8%203 W · 271 L	-14.1wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…e7a9backed Netherlands	32c	2,800$892 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,908	441	44%194 W · 247 L	-6.1wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed Netherlands	31c	2,800$868 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,932	383	51.4%197 W · 186 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x82c1…c2c6backed Netherlands	32c	2,757$882 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,874.63	47	46.8%22 W · 25 L	+3.6wins	+0.08per pick	39cpaid	+22.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed Netherlands	32c	2,736$876 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,860.79	565	41.1%232 W · 333 L	-9.4wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Sweden	36c	2,706$969 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$968.91	3,696	36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L	-44.0wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f34…7684backed Netherlands	55c	2,668$1,481 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,187.33	658	35%230 W · 428 L	+3.6wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7265…8712backed Netherlands	32c	2,577$819 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,758.21	335	48.4%162 W · 173 L	+5.1wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf93f…f94bbacked Netherlands	32c	2,527$809 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,718.69	250	19.6%49 W · 201 L	-5.6wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-38.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd34a…78c7backed Netherlands	32c	2,500$800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,700	137	21.2%29 W · 108 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	21cpaid	+27.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed Netherlands	31c	2,400$744 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,656	352	51.7%182 W · 170 L	-3.9wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc876…9903backed Sweden	67c	2,239$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500	124	30.6%38 W · 86 L	-10.3wins	-0.08per pick	39cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x68cb…6f57backed Netherlands	34c	2,075$705 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,369.46	46	37%17 W · 29 L	+3.2wins	+0.07per pick	30cpaid	+30.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ede…4284backed Netherlands	32c	2,000$640 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,360	187	38%71 W · 116 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0561…51c7backed Netherlands	31c	2,000$620 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,380	42	50%21 W · 21 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x791e…9bdabacked Netherlands	34c	2,000$680 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,319.99	68	47.1%32 W · 36 L	+1.9wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x300b…f636backed Sweden	48c	2,000$960 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$959.97	137	62.8%86 W · 51 L	+8.7wins	+0.06per pick	56cpaid	+11.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3520…1fa0backed Sweden	28c	1,965$550 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$550	123	34.1%42 W · 81 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	34cpaid	+13.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd49a…6f4cbacked Sweden	52c	1,923$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	17	52.9%9 W · 8 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2ae1…378fbacked Sweden	68c	1,900$1,292 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,291.99	189	29.1%55 W · 134 L	-9.4wins	-0.05per pick	34cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b45…362bbacked Sweden	38c	1,858$698 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$698.08	981	34.8%341 W · 640 L	-7.8wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf79c…cb96backed Sweden	68c	1,800$1,217 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,216.8	920	38.5%354 W · 566 L	-21.8wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-10%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x00c8…9ccdbacked Netherlands	34c	1,765$600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,164.69	1,019	31.6%322 W · 697 L	-10.2wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4b1…d21fbacked Netherlands	32c	1,653$529 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,124.13	175	27.4%48 W · 127 L	-3.3wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-30.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x13e4…8b89backed Netherlands	59c	1,636$969 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$666.26	202	53.5%108 W · 94 L	+12.5wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+20.5%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Netherlands	31c	1,613$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,112.9	145	64.1%93 W · 52 L	+10.1wins	+0.07per pick	57cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Netherlands	32c	1,612$515 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,096.66	2,380	53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L	+76.5wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Netherlands	78c	1,587$1,238 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$349.21	524	55%288 W · 236 L	+2.6wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xf29a…3122backed Netherlands	32c	1,563$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,062.5	166	37.3%62 W · 104 L	+7.6wins	+0.05per pick	33cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8d06…f79dbacked Netherlands	32c	1,563$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,062.5	125	36.8%46 W · 79 L	+3.1wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Netherlands	32c	1,562$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,062.16	716	38.4%275 W · 441 L	+8.7wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16a4…66adbacked Netherlands	33c	1,515$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,015.15	175	18.3%32 W · 143 L	-3.6wins	-0.02per pick	20cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x82a1…569cbacked Sweden	68c	1,500$1,020 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,020	112	45.5%51 W · 61 L	+4.1wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	+12.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 41 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Netherlands (-1.5)this page
Netherlands vs. Sweden: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Netherlands vs. Sweden: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
Netherlands vs. Sweden: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
Netherlands vs. Sweden: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Netherlands vs. Sweden: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
Netherlands vs. Sweden: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Over won
Netherlands vs. Sweden: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Netherlands vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
Netherlands vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfYes won
Netherlands vs. Sweden: Netherlands 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Netherlands vs. Sweden: Netherlands 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
Netherlands vs. Sweden: Netherlands 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Netherlands vs. Sweden: Netherlands O/U 0.5Over won
Netherlands vs. Sweden: Netherlands O/U 1.5Over won
Netherlands vs. Sweden: Netherlands O/U 2.5Over won
Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 0.5Over won
Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 1.5Over won
Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5Over won
Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 3.5Over won
Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 4.5Over won
Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 5.5Over won
Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 6.5Under won
Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 7.5Under won
Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 8.5Under won
Netherlands vs. Sweden: Sweden 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Netherlands vs. Sweden: Sweden 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Netherlands vs. Sweden: Sweden 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Netherlands vs. Sweden: Sweden 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Netherlands vs. Sweden: Sweden O/U 0.5Over won
Netherlands vs. Sweden: Sweden O/U 1.5Under won
Netherlands vs. Sweden: Sweden O/U 2.5Under won
Spread: Netherlands (-2.5)Netherlands won
Spread: Netherlands (-3.5)Netherlands won
Spread: Netherlands (-4.5)Sweden won
Spread: Netherlands (-5.5)Sweden won
Spread: Sweden (-1.5)Netherlands won
Spread: Sweden (-2.5)Netherlands won
Spread: Sweden (-3.5)Netherlands won
Spread: Sweden (-4.5)Netherlands won
Spread: Sweden (-5.5)Netherlands won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Netherlands (-1.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event