Fifa International · resolved market
Netherlands vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Score in Second Half
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x47b0b3f82fad62bf689b4b294e38d806045ea7327d4b140bf602e039f102111e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,543
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,567
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,543 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 5c | 5,404$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.67 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40a7…ecb7backed No | 1c | 2,500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 198 | 25.3%50 W · 148 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 31c | 1,689$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,167.72 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe025…102fbacked No | 70c | 1,096$767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767.2 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked No | 69c | 1,000$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 706 | 48.2%340 W · 366 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked No | 68c | 999.93$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.95 | 644 | 43.3%279 W · 365 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf79c…cb96backed No | 68c | 914.58$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.52 | 920 | 38.5%354 W · 566 L | -21.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90d4…2deebacked No | 41c | 736.75$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.07 | 76 | 30.3%23 W · 53 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78f4…4a4abacked No | 7c | 682.67$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.79 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | +5.1wins | +0.20per pick | 11cpaid | +154.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 68c | 671.35$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.84 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe8…1141backed No | 70c | 611.14$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.8 | 261 | 55.2%144 W · 117 L | +13.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc8f…d0e4backed No | 41c | 478.43$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.16 | 101 | 37.6%38 W · 63 L | +14.5wins | +0.14per pick | 23cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked No | 18c | 472.9$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.68 | 1,380 | 40.2%555 W · 825 L | -51.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked No | 28c | 470.35$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.87 | 1,354 | 38.9%527 W · 827 L | -55.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca4f…7852backed No | 64c | 447.98$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.61 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x789f…3e7dbacked No | 63c | 418.43$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.86 | 147 | 45.6%67 W · 80 L | -9.6wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd6f…1765backed Yes | 32c | 400$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked No | 11c | 372.19$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.95 | 1,438 | 40.1%576 W · 862 L | -40.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed No | 50c | 291.51$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.06 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 68c | 280.56$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.78 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ca…02d5backed Yes | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 66 | 30.3%20 W · 46 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed No | 46c | 221.52$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.49 | 1,563 | 39.8%622 W · 941 L | -51.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 70c | 195$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.12 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 72c | 192$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.17 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 71c | 192$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.36 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes | 38c | 181.8$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.17 | 1,669 | 41.6%694 W · 975 L | +15.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e6…7342backed Yes | 32c | 162.5$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.5 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +5.8wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +33%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd8…f260backed Yes | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.25 | 379 | 19.5%74 W · 305 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a3…d117backed No | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 97 | 37.1%36 W · 61 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94ac…cd94backed Yes | 32c | 143.41$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.52 | 285 | 44.6%127 W · 158 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 57c | 117.44$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.96 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cef…2c8dbacked No | 49c | 116.57$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.64 | 434 | 60.4%262 W · 172 L | +33.5wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x34ae…7f55backed No | 64c | 109.05$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.16 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 59c | 106.55$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.13 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc7…f7debacked Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 149 | 39.6%59 W · 90 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fcb…cc09backed Yes | 41c | 85.37$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.37 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 69c | 84.37$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.79 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7b…8fb6backed No | 70c | 83.14$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.2 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57c5…76c2backed Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bfc…1e69backed Yes | 41c | 53.41$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.41 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee3…01abbacked Yes | 37c | 51.35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.35 | 81 | 40.7%33 W · 48 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked No | 70c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b1…eb43backed Yes | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 63c | 44$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.72 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 68c | 42.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.23 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc4b…0da9backed Yes | 36c | 41.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.81 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed No | 55c | 40.12$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.98 | 177 | 60.5%107 W · 70 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0800…ceb0backed No | 69c | 40$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 368 | 38.6%142 W · 226 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3622…083dbacked Yes | 41c | 36.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.59 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x272e…e55abacked Yes | 58c | 34.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc653…05a9backed Yes | 32c | 32.81$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.31 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bd2…aafebacked Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed No | 68c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 548 | 59.5%326 W · 222 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 71c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 71c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.24 | 1,151 | 58.5%673 W · 478 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed No | 68c | 29.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.13 | 858 | 51.2%439 W · 419 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 39c | 29$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.63 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd8…56e6backed Yes | 42c | 28.58$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefe7…0cdfbacked Yes | 53c | 28.04$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.04 | 100 | 37%37 W · 63 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4e3…d4f7backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 72c | 25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x223b…971cbacked Yes | 41c | 24.71$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.58 | 160 | 40%64 W · 96 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…36b8backed No | 68c | 21.43$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 192 | 57.8%111 W · 81 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2b…451dbacked Yes | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed No | 68c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 866 | 56.4%488 W · 378 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Yes | 76c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 607 | 52.4%318 W · 289 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…5c74backed No | 69c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 114 | 57%65 W · 49 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 41 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Netherlands vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Score in Second Halfthis page
- Netherlands vs. Sweden: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Netherlands vs. Sweden: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Netherlands vs. Sweden: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Netherlands vs. Sweden: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Netherlands vs. Sweden: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Netherlands vs. Sweden: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Netherlands vs. Sweden: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Netherlands vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Netherlands vs. Sweden: Netherlands 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Netherlands vs. Sweden: Netherlands 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Netherlands vs. Sweden: Netherlands 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Netherlands vs. Sweden: Netherlands O/U 0.5Over won
- Netherlands vs. Sweden: Netherlands O/U 1.5Over won
- Netherlands vs. Sweden: Netherlands O/U 2.5Over won
- Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 0.5Over won
- Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 1.5Over won
- Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5Over won
- Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 3.5Over won
- Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 4.5Over won
- Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 5.5Over won
- Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 6.5Under won
- Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 7.5Under won
- Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 8.5Under won
- Netherlands vs. Sweden: Sweden 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Netherlands vs. Sweden: Sweden 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Netherlands vs. Sweden: Sweden 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Netherlands vs. Sweden: Sweden 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Netherlands vs. Sweden: Sweden O/U 0.5Over won
- Netherlands vs. Sweden: Sweden O/U 1.5Under won
- Netherlands vs. Sweden: Sweden O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Netherlands (-1.5)Netherlands won
- Spread: Netherlands (-2.5)Netherlands won
- Spread: Netherlands (-3.5)Netherlands won
- Spread: Netherlands (-4.5)Sweden won
- Spread: Netherlands (-5.5)Sweden won
- Spread: Sweden (-1.5)Netherlands won
- Spread: Sweden (-2.5)Netherlands won
- Spread: Sweden (-3.5)Netherlands won
- Spread: Sweden (-4.5)Netherlands won
- Spread: Sweden (-5.5)Netherlands won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.