TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Netherlands vs. Sweden: Netherlands O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$65,128
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$73,811

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,128 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over59c10,844$6,443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,400.842,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under32c4,749$1,537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,537.444,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under41c4,349$1,765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,765.042,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under0c4,292$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.968,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x09b5…7e72backed Over59c3,528$2,082 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,446.587549.3%37 W · 38 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under40c2,948$1,193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,193.094,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d76…11aebacked Over61c2,634$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,034.058252.4%43 W · 39 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under41c2,552$1,037 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,037.231,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under40c2,325$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$919.881,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Under39c2,000$790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7901,07545.2%486 W · 589 L+41.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked Under41c2,000$820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$819.9964443.3%279 W · 365 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Under43c2,000$860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$859.9470648.2%340 W · 366 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Over59c1,681$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$680.6930465.1%198 W · 106 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick66cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under47c1,478$695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$694.693,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e48…1ceebacked Under20c1,202$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2401136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Under40c1,149$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462.4958029.5%171 W · 409 L-19.9wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under40c1,098$437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$437.112,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x768b…bf0fbacked Under40c901.99$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360.84459.1%26 W · 18 L+5.9wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+28.7%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x8583…3f3cbacked Over59c828.26$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.598652.3%45 W · 41 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5108…29cbbacked Over60c666.67$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.6737955.7%211 W · 168 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef3a…1eb3backed Over60c666.67$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.674544.4%20 W · 25 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf79c…cb96backed Under40c600$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.5592038.5%354 W · 566 L-21.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a14…c927backed Over59c525.42$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.424450%22 W · 22 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ed4…3abdbacked Over80c500$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1002864.3%18 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick71cpaid-3.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5147…1c33backed Over60c485.12$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.051566.7%10 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick63cpaid-3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x87b6…4ababacked Over59c485$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.8545038.2%172 W · 278 L-28.4wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe619…6342backed Over60c423.33$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.3347935.1%168 W · 311 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over59c375.15$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.612,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Under41c341.99$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.331,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb673…d240backed Under41c339.15$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.053525.7%9 W · 26 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Under41c333.57$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.871,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under42c333.15$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.743,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97b3…4a85backed Over59c333$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.5331046.5%144 W · 166 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under41c299.99$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.151,20448.9%589 W · 615 L+18.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under38c243.88$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.692,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c09…ed31backed Over59c238.84$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.9214440.3%58 W · 86 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick38cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over60c230$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$923,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over72c200$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$571,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under42c199.96$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.333,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa84…2b4bbacked Over58c183.52$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.088652.3%45 W · 41 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under11c170$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.82,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x00c8…a75fbacked Under41c130$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.3742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick36cpaid-10.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x04ba…b34dbacked Under41c121.95$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504427.3%12 W · 32 L-8.1wins-0.18per pick46cpaid-41.9%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xeb2e…7821backed Under40c120$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481,42147.8%679 W · 742 L-0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under40c119.99$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.181,61651.2%827 W · 789 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under41c119$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.793,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c5b…a736backed Over59c101.69$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.6931941.4%132 W · 187 L+16.5wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+17.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe981…1859backed Over59c101.69$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.6910918.3%20 W · 89 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-22.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x404a…19b2backed Over59c101.69$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.6925754.5%140 W · 117 L+0.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbbcf…20aebacked Over60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4025639.1%100 W · 156 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b71…f840backed Over60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4012829.7%38 W · 90 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under41c95.37$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.781,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x660e…76ccbacked Over59c84.75$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.7519241.1%79 W · 113 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d57…8109backed Over59c84.75$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.751656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick50cpaid-8.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0195…1e21backed Over59c84.75$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.7544144%194 W · 247 L-0.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a84…43cbbacked Over59c84.75$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.758956.2%50 W · 39 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Over59c83.52$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.952,23149.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L-21.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9bc8…a613backed Over60c83.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.338261%50 W · 32 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeebd…2d09backed Over60c83.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.331361.5%8 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick66cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x421c…6fa3backed Over60c82.13$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.85955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e79…9076backed Over60c75.36$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.3641339%161 W · 252 L-0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1638…b0a1backed Over60c75.12$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.122951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6189…d6ebbacked Over59c75$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.7515144.4%67 W · 84 L+7.3wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+5.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xda50…2a41backed Under41c68.29$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2810550.5%53 W · 52 L+5.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+12%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xac83…ec4cbacked Over59c52.63$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.633050%15 W · 15 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e51…42cebacked Over59c52.33$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.532642.9%140 W · 186 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x23e6…7bbfbacked Over58c50$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2117727.1%48 W · 129 L-0.9wins0.00per pick28cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9f1…23eebacked Under41c50$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.555942.4%237 W · 322 L+0.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c48…1c17backed Over58c50$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2112251.6%63 W · 59 L-7.1wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-13%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0800…ceb0backed Under42c49.99$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2136838.6%142 W · 226 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7461…5cc5backed Over59c49.15$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.153435.3%12 W · 22 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-26.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb8b8…dcdabacked Over60c47.93$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.17425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-58.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6919…da67backed Over57c43.86$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.8613357.1%76 W · 57 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9549…523bbacked Over59c42.37$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.37666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xebb7…20d4backed Over59c42.37$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.372941.4%12 W · 17 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-20.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6e85…418dbacked Over60c41.67$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.672552%13 W · 12 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+38.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe01f…ff34backed Over59c37.29$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.2920343.8%89 W · 114 L-16.5wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-16.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3108…8a52backed Under41c36.59$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151040%4 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-37.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over59c35.95$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.853,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb504…2f85backed Over59c33.9$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.91258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x035c…ff43backed Over60c33.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.333756.8%21 W · 16 L+3.7wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+7.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7aa2…9c82backed Over59c33.2$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.612339.1%9 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf80…9163backed Over60c30.45$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.184461.4%27 W · 17 L+4.7wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+16.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2638…8e2dbacked Under40c28.41$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3636558.4%213 W · 152 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ad5…ac6dbacked Over60c25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102050%10 W · 10 L+2.3wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+44.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x07c1…f3e2backed Over58c25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.54639.1%18 W · 28 L-4.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-29.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfd07…fa10backed Over60c25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103161.3%19 W · 12 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7e8f…df9abacked Over59c23.73$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.734443.2%19 W · 25 L-4.1wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-23%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x77fc…432bbacked Over61c21.31$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.3124955.4%138 W · 111 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xffe2…768dbacked Over60c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87343.8%32 W · 41 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36d0…d31cbacked Over59c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.22142.9%9 W · 12 L-3.1wins-0.15per pick58cpaid-30.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6d95…a351backed Over59c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.21233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-41.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdb46…56e7backed Over60c17.13$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.8731550.8%160 W · 155 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x381c…c62dbacked Over59c17$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.974463.6%28 W · 16 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+16.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 41 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.