TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Netherlands vs. Sweden: Sweden O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$308,776
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$300,922

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $308,776 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 243 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under73c165,403$120,734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44,669.584,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3496…8fc4backed Over22c99,999$22,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,999.8317034.7%59 W · 111 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-2.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over35c14,407$4,971 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,970.934,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Over45c11,111$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,999.9514542.1%61 W · 84 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0e3a…55babacked Over25c10,600$2,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,65015044%66 W · 84 L-8.8wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-18.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over31c10,319$3,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,149.82,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x574e…befbbacked Over31c9,600$2,977 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,977.4240%0 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under69c8,679$5,962 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,716.632,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under65c8,144$5,331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,813.74,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over31c5,779$1,806 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,806.382,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under77c5,476$4,217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,259.333,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84d0…95babacked Over37c4,923$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8008316.9%14 W · 69 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-16.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x502e…5442backed Over31c4,805$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50016746.7%78 W · 89 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf8e2…ec79backed Over21c4,678$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0008723%20 W · 67 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over34c4,461$1,510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,509.78,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8230…5121backed Over3c2,485$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.568321.7%18 W · 65 L+7.8wins+0.09per pick12cpaid+81.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4247…91c4backed Over43c2,428$1,033 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,033.1951228.9%148 W · 364 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over41c2,399$988 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$987.741,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over28c2,293$641 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$641.032,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Under70c2,000$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$599.9970648.2%340 W · 366 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under69c1,820$1,258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$562.152,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over41c1,773$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$720.021,35438.9%527 W · 827 L-55.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbe7e…6d00backed Over30c1,667$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50031644.9%142 W · 174 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0189…5861backed Over37c1,586$587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$586.7317636.4%64 W · 112 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa14d…45d1backed Over26c1,511$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$398.2712724.4%31 W · 96 L-10.7wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-44.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under69c1,500$1,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$464.9986452.7%455 W · 409 L+26.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked Under70c1,422$996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.7264443.3%279 W · 365 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x443a…ba14backed Over15c1,323$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.136214.5%9 W · 53 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick12cpaid+26.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ca3…9613backed Under72c1,180$850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.1215257.9%88 W · 64 L-9.8wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa209…ffbebacked Over14c1,158$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.959453.4%317 W · 277 L+43.8wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Under68c1,121$761 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.811,07545.2%486 W · 589 L+41.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3705…9677backed Over32c1,110$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3505223.1%12 W · 40 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x23f9…3c2dbacked Over31c1,000$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31017030%51 W · 119 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8adc…bafcbacked Under69c999.98$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31037754.4%205 W · 172 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa18c…d792backed Under68c992.47$675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.5924058.8%141 W · 99 L+19.8wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1eab…4822backed Over31c967.74$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30013447.8%64 W · 70 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2666…ade6backed Over42c900.88$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.56346%29 W · 34 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over42c900$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.51,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdca1…fb09backed Over2c883.25$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.676624.2%16 W · 50 L+7.5wins+0.11per pick13cpaid+92.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under67c849.49$573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.291,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d41…e3ddbacked Over26c822.49$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.461844.4%8 W · 10 L-2.3wins-0.13per pick57cpaid-25.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5415…f764backed Over32c781.25$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2509428.7%27 W · 67 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b1d…d900backed Over31c764.19$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.990%0 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd0e1…99dbbacked Over20c750$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15058049.1%285 W · 295 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1173…037ebacked Over36c733.61$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2622254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Under70c700.1$487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.391,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Under70c684.55$476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.631,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under72c678.84$487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.652,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dfe…3a5dbacked Over31c645.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20016943.2%73 W · 96 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c0…9bf5backed Under69c643$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.332958.6%17 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe879…750ebacked Under77c580.13$447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.431275%9 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+21.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7921…bbc3backed Over28c543.22$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.4324140.2%97 W · 144 L-12.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Under69c500.1$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.031,06749.1%524 W · 543 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2aa1…1ea8backed Under71c500.08$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.0211648.3%56 W · 60 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdda3…d55fbacked Over35c500$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17513933.8%47 W · 92 L+7.8wins+0.06per pick28cpaid+31.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4e61…0e06backed Over20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10033120.8%69 W · 262 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-26.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x71df…9aa0backed Under69c500$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1555850%29 W · 29 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+5.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x59d3…c92fbacked Under69c500$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1554736.2%17 W · 30 L-4.6wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-34.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1982…5ed8backed Over20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005228.8%15 W · 37 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-11.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x414c…80c7backed Under69c500$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1555648.2%27 W · 29 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2c3…ac23backed Under69c499.98$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.9995739.5%378 W · 579 L-18.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b57…5d9abacked Over41c495.12$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2038156.8%46 W · 35 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under70c485.2$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.11,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5641…6b17backed Under62c485.04$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.0411242.9%48 W · 64 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid+26.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xff8d…c814backed Over42c477.55$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20014225.4%36 W · 106 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-27.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x34a9…d343backed Over42c446.1$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.361758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+17.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc220…5012backed Over31c435.48$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13529636.1%107 W · 189 L-0.7wins0.00per pick36cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0182…301cbacked Under73c421.3$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.39540%38 W · 57 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-11.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under69c405.29$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.641,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e32…ac88backed Over45c393.53$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1767951.9%41 W · 38 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under76c378$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.553,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x308f…35cabacked Over20c371$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.528149.4%40 W · 41 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Under76c363.24$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.921,45953.9%787 W · 672 L-6.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under72c362$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.712,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under72c361.3$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.552,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over39c337$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.611,49241%612 W · 880 L-1.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Over31c326.88$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.3358029.5%171 W · 409 L-19.9wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd91a…211cbacked Over42c324.02$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.0910330.1%31 W · 72 L-6.4wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-20.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4372…6a96backed Over31c322.6$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.0126921.6%58 W · 211 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick26cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x06a0…5804backed Over40c320$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12810050%50 W · 50 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8cf2…5da0backed Over31c313.61$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.223036.7%11 W · 19 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1733…dc80backed Over32c312.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10023336.9%86 W · 147 L+10.2wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x06f0…ad99backed Over32c306.25$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9817948%86 W · 93 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-8.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x10fd…633bbacked Over32c300$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$962213.6%3 W · 19 L-2.9wins-0.13per pick27cpaid-43.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe620…03acbacked Over30c300$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9017045.9%78 W · 92 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c8f…d581backed Over7c300$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2018926.5%50 W · 139 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick23cpaid-9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf799…6255backed Under69c289.99$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.94273.8%31 W · 11 L+4.3wins+0.10per pick64cpaid+16.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6bf6…d1b3backed Over40c284.64$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1144940.8%20 W · 29 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4bad…1e9ebacked Over39c278.7$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11012451.6%64 W · 60 L+6.9wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under69c273.43$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.162,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe8f5…1a48backed Over36c268.53$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.344143.9%18 W · 23 L+3.4wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+14.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over39c264.3$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.293,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1fb1…8436backed Over37c264.26$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.397945.6%36 W · 43 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9aa5…e01bbacked Over38c263.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006836.8%25 W · 43 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a07…dc6cbacked Over38c257.55$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.771118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick31cpaid-41.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb74f…2eb3backed Over39c251.5$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.615050.7%76 W · 74 L+7.7wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x718f…1dc3backed Over29c238.92$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7016342.3%69 W · 94 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e2…d5b2backed Over42c238.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006338.1%24 W · 39 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe462…e436backed Over21c233.33$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4922919.2%44 W · 185 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb7b…eac6backed Under76c223.68$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.6817459.8%104 W · 70 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 41 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.