TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Netherlands vs. Sweden: 1st Half O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$79,929
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$92,757

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $79,929 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x224f…514abacked Over74c15,000$11,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,899.971,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under26c13,703$3,565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,565.343,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under27c12,633$3,395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,395.134,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over75c10,056$7,511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,545.252,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c44…0fb0backed Over75c9,225$6,919 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,306.222080%16 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.12per pick68cpaid+11.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Under25c8,424$2,106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,10644539.6%176 W · 269 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe301…8654backed Under25c4,687$1,185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,184.8244130.8%136 W · 305 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5108…29cbbacked Over75c2,764$2,073 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$691.0237955.7%211 W · 168 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under25c2,539$635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$634.774,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under26c2,434$623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$623.372,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over75c2,432$1,815 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$616.822,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5677…2ce9backed Over74c2,430$1,798 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$631.781963.2%12 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked Under26c1,968$512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511.6464443.3%279 W · 365 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5739…e8b6backed Under28c1,741$487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.374740.4%19 W · 28 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick33cpaid+11.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x21e8…b85ebacked Over75c1,334$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.676550.8%33 W · 32 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under25c1,271$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.771,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0eb3…97cfbacked Under2c1,000$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9134122.3%76 W · 265 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick20cpaid+27.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under25c950.98$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.751,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0c0…5837backed Over75c917.33$688 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.337167.6%48 W · 23 L+4.7wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+3.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under25c906.79$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.73,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd360…2eabbacked Under26c876.92$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22822355.6%124 W · 99 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x56ff…81a0backed Over75c710$533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.57364.4%47 W · 26 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+1.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf79c…cb96backed Under25c600$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15092038.5%354 W · 566 L-21.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3d4…59dbbacked Over75c587.92$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.9218449.5%91 W · 93 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5de…c4a9backed Over75c533.33$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.339156%51 W · 40 L-4.6wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-7.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0916…32efbacked Over75c526.67$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.671752.9%9 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa69…02c1backed Under5c500$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2543737.8%165 W · 272 L-0.9wins0.00per pick38cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under25c481.94$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.682,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x37be…d876backed Over75c466.67$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.6712048.3%58 W · 62 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x975e…f875backed Under26c430$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.67946.8%37 W · 42 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+21.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over74c421.1$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.668,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2738…ebf4backed Over74c417.76$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.671855.6%10 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick65cpaid-24.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x186a…559dbacked Over72c416.67$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.6714659.6%87 W · 59 L-7.4wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Under26c384.61$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10058029.5%171 W · 409 L-19.9wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a44…8ac3backed Under25c347.95$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.991030%3 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-46.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Under26c330.89$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.051,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f0f…0e48backed Under4c316.47$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.939933.1%132 W · 267 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-20.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under25c313.01$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.253,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Over72c300.64$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.181,60147.8%765 W · 836 L+51.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb2b…1e44backed Over75c288.43$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.114228.6%12 W · 30 L+0.1wins0.00per pick28cpaid-37.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over72c272.76$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.572,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x152d…1b20backed Over74c270.27$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.278955.1%49 W · 40 L+5.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x197c…b89abacked Over75c266.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.67742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick62cpaid-42.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b11…2976backed Over75c266.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.6717962.6%112 W · 67 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2c3…ac23backed Under28c255.9$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.6595739.5%378 W · 579 L-18.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Under26c218.69$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.861,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9869…1a45backed Over72c208.08$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.261855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7275…8b45backed Over74c201.37$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.3711256.3%63 W · 49 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfec6…b86cbacked Under29c166.63$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.3237650.8%191 W · 185 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfc20…8ed3backed Over75c162.67$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.679659.4%57 W · 39 L-4.6wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-6.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeb2e…7821backed Over74c160$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.61,42147.8%679 W · 742 L-0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6861…cf22backed Under26c153.85$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4014142.6%60 W · 81 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under26c152.78$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.893,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Under25c140$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3582348.8%402 W · 421 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under25c140$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb83e…9f42backed Over71c138.89$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.285271.2%37 W · 15 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick63cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under27c137.99$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.573,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8783…db0cbacked Over74c135.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.1419342%81 W · 112 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x147d…7c03backed Over75c133.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.337157.7%41 W · 30 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d07…c1c2backed Over75c133.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.332842.9%12 W · 16 L-3.8wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-42.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under26c107.58$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.972,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under25c107$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.883,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x88b9…5a25backed Under26c100$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265440.7%22 W · 32 L+3.9wins+0.07per pick34cpaid+16%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xece7…3673backed Over74c100$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266346%29 W · 34 L-5.7wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-27.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc770…8dbbbacked Over74c100$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2619958.3%116 W · 83 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6dfb…f1b7backed Under29c70.81$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.2878234.3%268 W · 514 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-20.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b7a…3ce8backed Over75c65.96$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.4912554.4%68 W · 57 L-7.4wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-16.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb74f…2eb3backed Over75c65.33$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.3315050.7%76 W · 74 L+7.7wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2e3d…a3b8backed Over75c50.28$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.575076%38 W · 12 L+6.3wins+0.13per pick63cpaid+21.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Over74c50$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132,23149.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L-21.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Over72c50$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141,79544.2%794 W · 1,001 L-12.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x241e…04cbbacked Over75c49.33$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.335666.1%37 W · 19 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick64cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabe1…af91backed Over74c47.58$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.3710047%47 W · 53 L-5.7wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfdae…6ad2backed Over75c40$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1063152.9%334 W · 297 L-9.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ff2…54b8backed Under26c38.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0130%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Over70c31$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.381554.8%447 W · 368 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f18…d6cabacked Over74c27.03$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.0323062.6%144 W · 86 L-1.0wins0.00per pick63cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3dc0…af22backed Over75c21.33$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.331560%9 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick70cpaid-17.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfc54…db0ebacked Over75c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$519653.6%105 W · 91 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b08…ab3ebacked Over75c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54856.3%27 W · 21 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed Over74c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.954859.5%326 W · 222 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x920c…ae4abacked Over75c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.751770.6%12 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick69cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc33…729cbacked Over73c14.97$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.995459.3%32 W · 22 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 41 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.