TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Netherlands vs. Sweden: 1st Half O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$683,475
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$638,790

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $683,475 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 259 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x44c5…8d45backed Over30c123,688$36,769 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36,768.5214542.1%61 W · 84 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over16c33,540$5,467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,466.623,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f65…2036backed Over61c32,928$20,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,00014248.6%69 W · 73 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x122b…ac59backed Over38c21,382$8,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,170.0124533.5%82 W · 163 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8806…2e83backed Over2c13,242$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.8928229.4%83 W · 199 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-38%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf021…e900backed Over27c11,369$3,105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,104.7736437.1%135 W · 229 L+16.5wins+0.05per pick33cpaid-4.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Under79c11,193$8,874 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,319.7364446.4%299 W · 345 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under61c11,190$6,878 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,311.454,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Under79c11,129$8,747 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,382.344539.6%176 W · 269 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under67c10,772$7,270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,501.892,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6373…a0b7backed Over46c10,000$4,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,600633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-22.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc5b…3f6abacked Under61c9,592$5,869 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,722.281566.7%10 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3bf…762dbacked Over61c9,500$5,787 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,786.643056.7%17 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe337…4ad6backed Under48c8,744$4,205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,539.9430054%162 W · 138 L+17.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+32.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2e78…067ebacked Under71c8,303$5,898 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,405.2636235.9%130 W · 232 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe301…8654backed Under58c7,228$4,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,057.3944130.8%136 W · 305 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8325…19ccbacked Under60c6,781$4,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,720.1566846.7%312 W · 356 L+45.9wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1016…b09bbacked Over54c5,182$2,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,80024341.2%100 W · 143 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5739…e8b6backed Over26c5,170$1,327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,327.034740.4%19 W · 28 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick33cpaid+11.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over18c5,128$901 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901.123,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa18c…d792backed Under51c4,755$2,438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,316.2224058.8%141 W · 99 L+19.8wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over16c4,312$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$689.882,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2f…3531backed Under59c4,207$2,482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,724.924238.1%16 W · 26 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+17.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over28c4,155$1,152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,152.452,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x24ae…4c80backed Under48c4,058$1,967 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,091.8614856.8%84 W · 64 L+20.7wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+59.5%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xd0e6…9b21backed Over39c3,735$1,445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,445.425339.5%100 W · 153 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Under70c3,693$2,587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,105.8551514.2%73 W · 442 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick13cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7655…2b5ebacked Over48c3,507$1,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,700387.9%3 W · 35 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick18cpaid-26.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over7c3,291$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.142,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x78f4…4a4abacked Under10c2,850$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,5622630.8%8 W · 18 L+5.1wins+0.20per pick11cpaid+154.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x30d5…36bfbacked Over53c2,790$1,479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,478.722639.4%89 W · 137 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x00cb…3992backed Under44c2,637$1,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,476.975349.1%26 W · 27 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+13.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d74…a37fbacked Under68c2,624$1,782 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$842.6120839.4%82 W · 126 L+0.6wins0.00per pick39cpaid+33%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0563…f41cbacked Under58c2,600$1,498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,101.7915040%60 W · 90 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f5f…1695backed Over16c2,573$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40037223.9%89 W · 283 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3baf…7d44backed Over31c2,169$669 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$668.6527032.2%87 W · 183 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x564f…d93bbacked Over27c2,074$567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$566.867431.1%23 W · 51 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick26cpaid+28.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1dcd…0320backed Over16c2,063$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3302520%5 W · 20 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick17cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb41a…0a9bbacked Under80c1,985$1,581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.157047.1%33 W · 37 L+5.4wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+55.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x47d9…54b7backed Under65c1,980$1,296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$683.8125942.1%109 W · 150 L-0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid-14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked Under44c1,948$857 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,090.8816050.6%81 W · 79 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0852…655cbacked Over38c1,836$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.9153629.9%160 W · 376 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f71…b2e4backed Under36c1,793$654 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,139.0912254.1%66 W · 56 L+12.8wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+33.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb06f…884cbacked Under71c1,716$1,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$495.2525049.2%123 W · 127 L-13.1wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-19.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Under76c1,579$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.220262.4%126 W · 76 L-0.3wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under64c1,500$959 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.364,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d5c…98eebacked Under52c1,489$781 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$707.869740.2%39 W · 58 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07ea…a6babacked Over26c1,478$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39035244%155 W · 197 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff57…1802backed Under60c1,455$867 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$588.429740.1%119 W · 178 L-18.7wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-29.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x750b…609fbacked Under8c1,200$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1044524.4%11 W · 34 L+7.6wins+0.17per pick8cpaid+183.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over31c1,185$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$370.031,35438.9%527 W · 827 L-55.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6be9…5998backed Over3c1,167$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3537242.5%158 W · 214 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x08cc…67babacked Over8c1,160$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96529.6%5 W · 47 L-0.1wins0.00per pick10cpaid-19.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc66a…ed6abacked Over59c1,111$651 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$650.5641968.3%286 W · 133 L+65.4wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+43.6%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x15e9…26bebacked Over50c1,100$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5508052.5%42 W · 38 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe668…8a94backed Over16c1,031$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1653327.3%9 W · 24 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick30cpaid+12.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e7…9408backed Over47c1,019$479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$478.912045%9 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+18.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked Under69c1,005$693 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.6370750.1%354 W · 353 L+25.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xad31…c93abacked Over35c953.99$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.3417534.9%61 W · 114 L-0.6wins0.00per pick35cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5dda…c9e0backed Over61c913.8$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5551735.3%6 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-28.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over11c864.89$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.562,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under56c860.21$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375.622,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Over58c860$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.814433.3%48 W · 96 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6cfe…c83cbacked Over28c845.1$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.6336234%123 W · 239 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x275c…349cbacked Under73c818.68$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.7112528%35 W · 90 L+0.5wins0.00per pick28cpaid+43.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x735c…55edbacked Over36c815.2$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.269835.7%35 W · 63 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-26.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5f9…fa68backed Over9c810.54$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.7817223.3%40 W · 132 L+7.7wins+0.05per pick19cpaid+28%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa5d3…9fc7backed Over26c754.98$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005541.8%23 W · 32 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+105.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x69a1…22b8backed Over30c677.15$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.152763%17 W · 10 L+4.7wins+0.17per pick46cpaid+47.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xff8d…c814backed Over15c666.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014225.4%36 W · 106 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-27.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f0f…0e48backed Under52c647.4$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.6839933.1%132 W · 267 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-20.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Over58c626.29$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.631,60147.8%765 W · 836 L+51.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1703…dc11backed Over80c625$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Over53c624.53$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33146223.2%107 W · 355 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over27c610.04$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.712,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3740…a935backed Under62c600$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22821166.4%140 W · 71 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd684…7e92backed Over33c600$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1983839.5%15 W · 23 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf3da…4c50backed Over34c588.24$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20011643.1%50 W · 66 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over35c583.82$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.482,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x98f2…65dcbacked Over53c566.04$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30027655.1%152 W · 124 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over58c555$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.945421.4%97 W · 357 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefcd…a07bbacked Under72c546.39$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.692676.9%20 W · 6 L+4.5wins+0.17per pick60cpaid+45.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Over26c537.77$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.081,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4156…997ebacked Over44c531.62$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.3521143.1%91 W · 120 L+0.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb476…6eacbacked Over57c526.32$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30036539.7%145 W · 220 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0189…5861backed Over59c508.47$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30017636.4%64 W · 112 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over18c505.92$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.311,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06a0…5804backed Over50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25010050%50 W · 50 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3d41…e3ddbacked Over40c489.95$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.551844.4%8 W · 10 L-2.3wins-0.13per pick57cpaid-25.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc046…d8f0backed Under74c473.73$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.9614131.2%44 W · 97 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-15.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe70c…17c5backed Under58c466.4$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.1433438.6%129 W · 205 L-17.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3621…3c9fbacked Under45c434.78$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.131560%9 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9eb2…abdfbacked Over48c416.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2009348.4%45 W · 48 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x673d…1247backed Under44c400.4$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.979833.7%33 W · 65 L-6.4wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-26.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3a23…0f72backed Under41c399.99$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.9912241.8%51 W · 71 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3538…1035backed Under63c382.63$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.742661.5%16 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x73c0…4aa3backed Under52c378.98$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.915330.2%16 W · 37 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d76…11aebacked Under56c357.6$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.68252.4%43 W · 39 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f6e…92f1backed Under57c350.88$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.882445.8%11 W · 13 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+59.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9955…e803backed Under76c347.43$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.654839.6%19 W · 29 L-4.6wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-17.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 41 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.