TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 4.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$670,462
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$704,476

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $670,462 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 458 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5dca…e1d9backed Under0c100,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003151.6%16 W · 15 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under69c86,667$59,875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59,875.372,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over31c63,650$19,925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43,724.644,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over37c29,236$10,818 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,418.61,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over45c25,486$11,365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,121.293,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f12…8140backed Over39c20,324$8,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,323.864025%10 W · 30 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-31.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x62ca…1760backed Under70c17,918$12,545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,544.6925844.6%115 W · 143 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa80e…6aa1backed Over19c16,783$3,189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,594.4227345.8%125 W · 148 L+14.2wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+17.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8325…19ccbacked Under57c15,001$8,612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,611.9166846.7%312 W · 356 L+45.9wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over24c11,279$2,738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,540.573,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Under70c9,718$6,803 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,802.5536250%181 W · 181 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Over52c9,615$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,615.3814542.1%61 W · 84 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xec57…0fa7backed Under34c8,843$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,999.9738819.1%74 W · 314 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick17cpaid+20.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21b7…c861backed Over19c8,800$1,672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,127.949126.4%24 W · 67 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-15.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under48c8,594$4,147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,147.231,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over20c8,488$1,678 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,809.961,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over26c7,975$2,044 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,930.822,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3496…8fc4backed Under55c7,084$3,896 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,895.9517034.7%59 W · 111 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-2.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under74c6,757$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00012554.4%68 W · 57 L-6.8wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-6.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x86f4…bd70backed Under71c6,712$4,746 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,745.836056.7%34 W · 26 L-0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Under54c6,295$3,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,399.5664446.4%299 W · 345 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under58c5,685$3,287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,286.9677152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84d0…95babacked Over20c5,234$1,047 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,187.328316.9%14 W · 69 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-16.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Under42c5,140$2,177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,177.3344539.6%176 W · 269 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Over20c4,090$806 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,283.975335.6%268 W · 485 L+0.3wins0.00per pick36cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2584…8018backed Under64c3,852$2,473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,472.5512235.2%43 W · 79 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-20.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x160d…6f25backed Over22c3,844$859 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,984.9278317.4%136 W · 647 L-0.1wins0.00per pick17cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f0f…0e48backed Under14c3,663$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.5439933.1%132 W · 267 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-20.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1129…6f00backed Under62c3,387$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1002665.4%17 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf8e2…ec79backed Over30c3,158$948 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,210.868723%20 W · 67 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Under71c3,066$2,188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,187.6565948.6%320 W · 339 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over17c3,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,49022342.6%95 W · 128 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+53.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed Under50c3,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,499.793554.3%19 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Under42c2,979$1,244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,244.491,35438.9%527 W · 827 L-55.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x366e…dc73backed Under63c2,957$1,870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,869.679743.3%42 W · 55 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+26.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x96ef…b406backed Under62c2,711$1,672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,672.253464.7%22 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06f2…1269backed Under64c2,685$1,730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,730.0138333.9%130 W · 253 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-34.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over19c2,632$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,131.5889443.4%388 W · 506 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over50c2,555$1,278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,277.131,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e7d…fa81backed Under57c2,539$1,443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,443.064744.7%21 W · 26 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ab8…1b4abacked Over50c2,534$1,271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,262.4939644.7%177 W · 219 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Over20c2,500$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,00034125.8%88 W · 253 L-10.4wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-1.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5425…d3e8backed Under70c2,237$1,575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,575.0315127.8%42 W · 109 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-32.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9156…3d69backed Over45c2,200$990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2103920.5%8 W · 31 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-38.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xae76…2763backed Over18c2,167$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,776.6718626.3%49 W · 137 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick24cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e59…2a66backed Under53c2,113$1,117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,117.381,06331.7%337 W · 726 L-33.7wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under24c2,070$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50016116.1%26 W · 135 L-0.3wins0.00per pick16cpaid+52.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3d2…fe85backed Under61c2,000$1,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2203043.3%13 W · 17 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-8.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe214…c5cebacked Over49c2,000$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,02022437.1%83 W · 141 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6ee…b3aabacked Under53c2,000$1,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,059.9923046.5%107 W · 123 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4931…6f58backed Under55c1,800$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9905545.5%25 W · 30 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under48c1,794$863 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$863.1719946.7%93 W · 106 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe301…8654backed Under49c1,758$854 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$853.8644130.8%136 W · 305 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over39c1,743$676 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,066.874,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Over43c1,677$721 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$955.9974752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4cd3…5f3fbacked Under62c1,600$987 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$986.861533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-24.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5038…6236backed Under70c1,575$1,103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,102.58247.6%39 W · 43 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9253…0baebacked Over64c1,563$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.398055%44 W · 36 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfec6…b86cbacked Under28c1,556$434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433.7737650.8%191 W · 185 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa266…67f7backed Over20c1,540$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,23214620.5%30 W · 116 L-7.6wins-0.05per pick26cpaid-23.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf742…e039backed Under49c1,482$723 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$722.6626447.7%126 W · 138 L+9.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd0e6…9b21backed Over46c1,481$681 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$799.9925339.5%100 W · 153 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf2d2…a1cdbacked Over74c1,473$1,095 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.6121759%128 W · 89 L+13.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb905…088cbacked Under51c1,406$717 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$717.113548.6%17 W · 18 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ac6…d620backed Over26c1,389$361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,027.86475%3 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.36per pick39cpaid+128%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd0f3…0fc5backed Over50c1,381$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$690.4810249%50 W · 52 L+5.8wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+13.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over42c1,376$577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$798.881,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Over49c1,356$664 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$692.1358942.6%251 W · 338 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under36c1,350$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.038,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0563…f41cbacked Under22c1,344$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.9915040%60 W · 90 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0520…e4e0backed Over19c1,316$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,065.7925336.8%93 W · 160 L+0.9wins0.00per pick36cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20c6…45aebacked Over77c1,299$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.712736.2%46 W · 81 L-5.9wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-22.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x49f2…b3c3backed Over20c1,298$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,040.923743.2%16 W · 21 L+3.9wins+0.11per pick33cpaid+39.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb0cc…f354backed Under10c1,239$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.0134845.1%157 W · 191 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa69…02c1backed Under2c1,230$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.643737.8%165 W · 272 L-0.9wins0.00per pick38cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x459b…f771backed Under71c1,225$870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$869.759243.5%40 W · 52 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Over53c1,166$618 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$548.0421747.9%104 W · 113 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2e78…067ebacked Under54c1,116$603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602.6536235.9%130 W · 232 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb340…1ad1backed Under75c1,080$808 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$807.743167.7%21 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a51…f305backed Over18c1,053$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$863.5518827.7%52 W · 136 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-28.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Under54c999.99$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.9933149.5%164 W · 167 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1bb1…eac3backed Over19c999.87$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$809.915920.1%32 W · 127 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick18cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Over46c986.84$449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$537.638745%174 W · 213 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe674…d632backed Over78c979.37$764 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.462065%13 W · 7 L+2.7wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+26%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x337a…62dbbacked Under54c925.93$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5006543.1%28 W · 37 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8709…7d3dbacked Under54c925.93$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50014852.7%78 W · 70 L+10.7wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+9.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x63db…174cbacked Under57c877.19$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5006341.3%26 W · 37 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Over19c865.17$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$703.9558029.5%171 W · 409 L-19.9wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x250f…4fc6backed Under43c850$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.511156.8%63 W · 48 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x23f9…3c2dbacked Over19c800$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64817030%51 W · 119 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d41…e3ddbacked Over77c792.38$608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.581844.4%8 W · 10 L-2.3wins-0.13per pick57cpaid-25.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe512…5751backed Over51c788.9$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.97926.6%21 W · 58 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-13.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7544…ea2dbacked Over20c780$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62411634.5%40 W · 76 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-18.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe668…8a94backed Over19c741.79$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$600.853327.3%9 W · 24 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick30cpaid+12.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under48c734.56$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.312,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x02c6…b27bbacked Under23c719.64$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.5819649.5%97 W · 99 L-10.0wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-18.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over47c717.59$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.772,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5960…6d42backed Under68c703.7$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48018548.1%89 W · 96 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b9c…8620backed Under48c701.61$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.0133740.4%136 W · 201 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc6ad…1b86backed Under70c700$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49014551%74 W · 71 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+38.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 41 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.