Fifa International · resolved market
Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe57737c36bea2728ff49d9347740e6571054244e79bc53aef787bab599283462
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $670,462
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $704,476
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $670,462 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 458 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5dca…e1d9backed Under | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 69c | 86,667$59,875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59,875.37 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 31c | 63,650$19,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43,724.64 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 37c | 29,236$10,818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,418.6 | 1,144 | 39.2%448 W · 696 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 45c | 25,486$11,365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,121.29 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f12…8140backed Over | 39c | 20,324$8,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,323.86 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x62ca…1760backed Under | 70c | 17,918$12,545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,544.69 | 258 | 44.6%115 W · 143 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa80e…6aa1backed Over | 19c | 16,783$3,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,594.42 | 273 | 45.8%125 W · 148 L | +14.2wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8325…19ccbacked Under | 57c | 15,001$8,612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,611.91 | 668 | 46.7%312 W · 356 L | +45.9wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 24c | 11,279$2,738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,540.57 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Under | 70c | 9,718$6,803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,802.55 | 362 | 50%181 W · 181 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Over | 52c | 9,615$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,615.38 | 145 | 42.1%61 W · 84 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec57…0fa7backed Under | 34c | 8,843$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,999.97 | 388 | 19.1%74 W · 314 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21b7…c861backed Over | 19c | 8,800$1,672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,127.94 | 91 | 26.4%24 W · 67 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 48c | 8,594$4,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,147.23 | 1,252 | 39.2%491 W · 761 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Over | 20c | 8,488$1,678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,809.96 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 26c | 7,975$2,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,930.82 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3496…8fc4backed Under | 55c | 7,084$3,896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,895.95 | 170 | 34.7%59 W · 111 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 74c | 6,757$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 125 | 54.4%68 W · 57 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86f4…bd70backed Under | 71c | 6,712$4,746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,745.83 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10a6…4d8bbacked Under | 54c | 6,295$3,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,399.56 | 644 | 46.4%299 W · 345 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 58c | 5,685$3,287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,286.96 | 771 | 52.8%407 W · 364 L | +17.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d0…95babacked Over | 20c | 5,234$1,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,187.32 | 83 | 16.9%14 W · 69 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed Under | 42c | 5,140$2,177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,177.33 | 445 | 39.6%176 W · 269 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Over | 20c | 4,090$806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,283.9 | 753 | 35.6%268 W · 485 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2584…8018backed Under | 64c | 3,852$2,473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,472.55 | 122 | 35.2%43 W · 79 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…6f25backed Over | 22c | 3,844$859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,984.92 | 783 | 17.4%136 W · 647 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0f…0e48backed Under | 14c | 3,663$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.54 | 399 | 33.1%132 W · 267 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1129…6f00backed Under | 62c | 3,387$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e2…ec79backed Over | 30c | 3,158$948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,210.86 | 87 | 23%20 W · 67 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Under | 71c | 3,066$2,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,187.65 | 659 | 48.6%320 W · 339 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 17c | 3,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,490 | 223 | 42.6%95 W · 128 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Under | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.79 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Under | 42c | 2,979$1,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,244.49 | 1,354 | 38.9%527 W · 827 L | -55.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x366e…dc73backed Under | 63c | 2,957$1,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,869.67 | 97 | 43.3%42 W · 55 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96ef…b406backed Under | 62c | 2,711$1,672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,672.25 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06f2…1269backed Under | 64c | 2,685$1,730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,730.01 | 383 | 33.9%130 W · 253 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Over | 19c | 2,632$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,131.58 | 894 | 43.4%388 W · 506 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 50c | 2,555$1,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,277.13 | 1,224 | 43.4%531 W · 693 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…fa81backed Under | 57c | 2,539$1,443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,443.06 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab8…1b4abacked Over | 50c | 2,534$1,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,262.49 | 396 | 44.7%177 W · 219 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Over | 20c | 2,500$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 341 | 25.8%88 W · 253 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5425…d3e8backed Under | 70c | 2,237$1,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,575.03 | 151 | 27.8%42 W · 109 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9156…3d69backed Over | 45c | 2,200$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,210 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae76…2763backed Over | 18c | 2,167$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,776.67 | 186 | 26.3%49 W · 137 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…2a66backed Under | 53c | 2,113$1,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,117.38 | 1,063 | 31.7%337 W · 726 L | -33.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under | 24c | 2,070$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 161 | 16.1%26 W · 135 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d2…fe85backed Under | 61c | 2,000$1,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,220 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe214…c5cebacked Over | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 224 | 37.1%83 W · 141 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ee…b3aabacked Under | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,059.99 | 230 | 46.5%107 W · 123 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4931…6f58backed Under | 55c | 1,800$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 48c | 1,794$863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$863.17 | 199 | 46.7%93 W · 106 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe301…8654backed Under | 49c | 1,758$854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$853.86 | 441 | 30.8%136 W · 305 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 39c | 1,743$676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,066.87 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Over | 43c | 1,677$721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$955.99 | 747 | 52.2%390 W · 357 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd3…5f3fbacked Under | 62c | 1,600$987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$986.86 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5038…6236backed Under | 70c | 1,575$1,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,102.5 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9253…0baebacked Over | 64c | 1,563$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.39 | 80 | 55%44 W · 36 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfec6…b86cbacked Under | 28c | 1,556$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.77 | 376 | 50.8%191 W · 185 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa266…67f7backed Over | 20c | 1,540$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,232 | 146 | 20.5%30 W · 116 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf742…e039backed Under | 49c | 1,482$723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722.66 | 264 | 47.7%126 W · 138 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e6…9b21backed Over | 46c | 1,481$681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.99 | 253 | 39.5%100 W · 153 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d2…a1cdbacked Over | 74c | 1,473$1,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.61 | 217 | 59%128 W · 89 L | +13.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb905…088cbacked Under | 51c | 1,406$717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.11 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ac6…d620backed Over | 26c | 1,389$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,027.86 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 39cpaid | +128%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0f3…0fc5backed Over | 50c | 1,381$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.48 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 42c | 1,376$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798.88 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Over | 49c | 1,356$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.13 | 589 | 42.6%251 W · 338 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 36c | 1,350$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.03 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0563…f41cbacked Under | 22c | 1,344$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.99 | 150 | 40%60 W · 90 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…e4e0backed Over | 19c | 1,316$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,065.79 | 253 | 36.8%93 W · 160 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20c6…45aebacked Over | 77c | 1,299$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.7 | 127 | 36.2%46 W · 81 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49f2…b3c3backed Over | 20c | 1,298$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.92 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…f354backed Under | 10c | 1,239$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.01 | 348 | 45.1%157 W · 191 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa69…02c1backed Under | 2c | 1,230$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 437 | 37.8%165 W · 272 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x459b…f771backed Under | 71c | 1,225$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$869.75 | 92 | 43.5%40 W · 52 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 53c | 1,166$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.04 | 217 | 47.9%104 W · 113 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e78…067ebacked Under | 54c | 1,116$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.65 | 362 | 35.9%130 W · 232 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb340…1ad1backed Under | 75c | 1,080$808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$807.74 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a51…f305backed Over | 18c | 1,053$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$863.55 | 188 | 27.7%52 W · 136 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Under | 54c | 999.99$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.99 | 331 | 49.5%164 W · 167 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bb1…eac3backed Over | 19c | 999.87$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.9 | 159 | 20.1%32 W · 127 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Over | 46c | 986.84$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.6 | 387 | 45%174 W · 213 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe674…d632backed Over | 78c | 979.37$764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.46 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +26%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x337a…62dbbacked Under | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8709…7d3dbacked Under | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 148 | 52.7%78 W · 70 L | +10.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x63db…174cbacked Under | 57c | 877.19$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Over | 19c | 865.17$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$703.95 | 580 | 29.5%171 W · 409 L | -19.9wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x250f…4fc6backed Under | 43c | 850$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.5 | 111 | 56.8%63 W · 48 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23f9…3c2dbacked Over | 19c | 800$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648 | 170 | 30%51 W · 119 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d41…e3ddbacked Over | 77c | 792.38$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.58 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe512…5751backed Over | 51c | 788.9$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.9 | 79 | 26.6%21 W · 58 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7544…ea2dbacked Over | 20c | 780$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624 | 116 | 34.5%40 W · 76 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe668…8a94backed Over | 19c | 741.79$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.85 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 48c | 734.56$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.31 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02c6…b27bbacked Under | 23c | 719.64$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.58 | 196 | 49.5%97 W · 99 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 47c | 717.59$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.77 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5960…6d42backed Under | 68c | 703.7$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 185 | 48.1%89 W · 96 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9c…8620backed Under | 48c | 701.61$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.01 | 337 | 40.4%136 W · 201 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ad…1b86backed Under | 70c | 700$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 145 | 51%74 W · 71 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 41 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 4.5this page
- Netherlands vs. Sweden: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Netherlands vs. Sweden: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Netherlands vs. Sweden: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Netherlands vs. Sweden: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Netherlands vs. Sweden: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Netherlands vs. Sweden: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Netherlands vs. Sweden: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Netherlands vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Netherlands vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfYes won
- Netherlands vs. Sweden: Netherlands 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Netherlands vs. Sweden: Netherlands 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Netherlands vs. Sweden: Netherlands 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Netherlands vs. Sweden: Netherlands O/U 0.5Over won
- Netherlands vs. Sweden: Netherlands O/U 1.5Over won
- Netherlands vs. Sweden: Netherlands O/U 2.5Over won
- Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 0.5Over won
- Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 1.5Over won
- Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5Over won
- Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 3.5Over won
- Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 5.5Over won
- Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 6.5Under won
- Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 7.5Under won
- Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 8.5Under won
- Netherlands vs. Sweden: Sweden 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Netherlands vs. Sweden: Sweden 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Netherlands vs. Sweden: Sweden 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Netherlands vs. Sweden: Sweden 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Netherlands vs. Sweden: Sweden O/U 0.5Over won
- Netherlands vs. Sweden: Sweden O/U 1.5Under won
- Netherlands vs. Sweden: Sweden O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Netherlands (-1.5)Netherlands won
- Spread: Netherlands (-2.5)Netherlands won
- Spread: Netherlands (-3.5)Netherlands won
- Spread: Netherlands (-4.5)Sweden won
- Spread: Netherlands (-5.5)Sweden won
- Spread: Sweden (-1.5)Netherlands won
- Spread: Sweden (-2.5)Netherlands won
- Spread: Sweden (-3.5)Netherlands won
- Spread: Sweden (-4.5)Netherlands won
- Spread: Sweden (-5.5)Netherlands won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.