TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Netherlands vs. Sweden: 1st Half O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$282,784
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$315,823

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $282,784 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 255 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcfb6…06dabacked Over39c73,658$28,994 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44,663.593759.5%22 W · 15 L+6.9wins+0.19per pick41cpaid+32.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under55c28,851$15,932 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,931.984,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under61c14,526$8,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,849.993,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf021…e900backed Under4c12,274$446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$446.1736437.1%135 W · 229 L+16.5wins+0.05per pick33cpaid-4.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x564f…d93bbacked Under10c11,327$1,110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,110.197431.1%23 W · 51 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick26cpaid+28.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under62c10,292$6,381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,380.791,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under60c10,000$6,012 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,011.961,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over40c9,438$3,770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,668.42,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under60c7,519$4,526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,525.732,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5d3…9fc7backed Under6c7,447$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$444.455541.8%23 W · 32 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+105.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x26eb…22d0backed Under61c6,894$4,205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,205.2829154%157 W · 134 L+21.1wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+13.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x122b…ac59backed Under19c6,757$1,311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,310.7924533.5%82 W · 163 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Over38c6,120$2,326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,794.6442345.6%193 W · 230 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe301…8654backed Under32c5,013$1,620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,620.3944130.8%136 W · 305 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3d2…fe85backed Under61c5,000$3,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0503043.3%13 W · 17 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-8.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x84d0…95babacked Over38c4,413$1,677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,736.168316.9%14 W · 69 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-16.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Under60c4,000$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,40036250.8%184 W · 178 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under61c3,812$2,327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,327.286452.7%455 W · 409 L+26.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x24d4…4e1dbacked Under61c3,516$2,145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1459741.2%40 W · 57 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x07ea…a6babacked Over53c3,341$1,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,580.6235244%155 W · 197 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under60c2,916$1,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,749.61,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21f5…c161backed Over38c2,895$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,794.747038.6%27 W · 43 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21d5…442bbacked Over36c2,763$995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,768.2810949.5%54 W · 55 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Under62c2,500$1,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,55070648.2%340 W · 366 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb25…f7f3backed Under5c2,431$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.588615.1%13 W · 73 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick19cpaid-30.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Under62c2,100$1,302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,30225857.4%148 W · 110 L+11.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x40d0…4415backed Under60c1,894$1,136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,136.418850%94 W · 94 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf79c…cb96backed Over39c1,877$725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,151.3992038.5%354 W · 566 L-21.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d33…4af5backed Over39c1,795$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,094.872937.9%11 W · 18 L+0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x973b…a912backed Over40c1,750$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,050540%2 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.17per pick23cpaid-17.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x19b6…b7cdbacked Over38c1,737$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,076.844643.5%20 W · 26 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+21.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa487…9439backed Under61c1,732$1,063 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,062.626640.9%27 W · 39 L-8.4wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-13.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under60c1,694$1,023 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,023.224,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed Under60c1,667$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00046550.3%234 W · 231 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed Under60c1,662$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.6538351.4%197 W · 186 L-1.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed Under60c1,600$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96037850.5%191 W · 187 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8ec…4d49backed Over66c1,551$1,022 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$528.914264.3%27 W · 15 L+4.7wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+29.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4bc5…e563backed Under6c1,529$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9042126.4%111 W · 310 L+1.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8833…3ea1backed Under60c1,502$901 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901.1961752%321 W · 296 L-13.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed Under60c1,472$883 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$883.226454.5%144 W · 120 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Under61c1,463$892 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$892.4370244.6%313 W · 389 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x768b…bf0fbacked Under61c1,453$886 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$886.434459.1%26 W · 18 L+5.9wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+28.7%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x8325…19ccbacked Under33c1,432$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$475.0266846.7%312 W · 356 L+45.9wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under59c1,388$822 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$821.832,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2220…1a0fbacked Under2c1,250$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2519218.8%36 W · 156 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-24.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b01…00fabacked Under61c1,234$753 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$752.691758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed Under60c1,200$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72035251.7%182 W · 170 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f0f…0e48backed Under7c1,144$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.3739933.1%132 W · 267 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-20.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e7…9408backed Over39c1,138$449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$689.222045%9 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+18.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Under61c1,127$688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$687.6361750.6%312 W · 305 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Under62c1,104$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$680.431,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under60c1,098$663 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$662.521,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Under62c1,076$663 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$663.321,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5858…dc6bbacked Over36c1,050$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$671.986246.8%29 W · 33 L-0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1173…037ebacked Over64c1,013$648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.52254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x62ff…5058backed Over40c1,011$405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$606.757847.4%37 W · 41 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40b3…bf2ebacked Under2c1,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2012429%36 W · 88 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e6…9b21backed Under2c1,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2025339.5%100 W · 153 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Under62c1,000$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62033149.5%164 W · 167 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Under60c1,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6001,07545.2%486 W · 589 L+41.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x266a…3579backed Over40c966.18$386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$579.713542.9%15 W · 20 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+52.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over67c963$645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.7945421.4%97 W · 357 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff57…1802backed Under28c953.22$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.3829740.1%119 W · 178 L-18.7wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-29.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Over69c950.39$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.121,60147.8%765 W · 836 L+51.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0eb3…97cfbacked Under32c863.48$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.5634122.3%76 W · 265 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick20cpaid+27.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2fc3…b676backed Over39c850.13$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$518.586428.1%18 W · 46 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67a5…3516backed Under62c831.64$515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$515.3622441.5%93 W · 131 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under61c824.57$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504.613,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26fb…67b8backed Over65c819.48$536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.2129558.3%172 W · 123 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cec…d241backed Under62c806.45$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5008056.3%45 W · 35 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over65c784.85$513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.872,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x71da…bc9ebacked Over40c775$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46518742.8%80 W · 107 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x48ed…33bebacked Over38c763.16$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$473.164452.3%23 W · 21 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb476…6eacbacked Over66c753.34$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.3436539.7%145 W · 220 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc390…715cbacked Over40c733.98$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440.396134.4%21 W · 40 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4502…9eedbacked Under28c714.27$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20030642.8%131 W · 175 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over38c674.69$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.22,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3baf…7d44backed Under3c642.84$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2027032.2%87 W · 183 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb06f…884cbacked Under36c638.88$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23025049.2%123 W · 127 L-13.1wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-19.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under61c630$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386.41,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Over62c629.03$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.0346223.2%107 W · 355 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f5f…1695backed Over40c625$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37537223.9%89 W · 283 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2738…ebf4backed Over65c623.15$405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.11855.6%10 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick65cpaid-24.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed Under60c600$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36039050.8%198 W · 192 L-8.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed Under60c600$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36038451.6%198 W · 186 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3034…507cbacked Under62c600$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-46.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a8d…9a21backed Over68c579.71$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.51977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.14per pick64cpaid+37.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4980…a14cbacked Under36c548.05$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.8wins-0.26per pick53cpaid-56.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3a23…0f72backed Over64c540$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.412241.8%51 W · 71 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e97…8ffabacked Under2c536.79$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3725125.1%63 W · 188 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-4.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf87c…8c97backed Over38c526.32$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.3216123.6%38 W · 123 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick25cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e3d…85abbacked Under61c505.51$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.3636448.6%177 W · 187 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Under61c500$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30552455%288 W · 236 L+2.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xfa69…02c1backed Under5c500$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2543737.8%165 W · 272 L-0.9wins0.00per pick38cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Over64c500$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18014433.3%48 W · 96 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2c3…ac23backed Under61c499.98$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.9995739.5%378 W · 579 L-18.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under33c497.46$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.072,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x565f…cb2dbacked Over40c472.5$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.58338.6%32 W · 51 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Over38c460.93$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.858029.5%171 W · 409 L-19.9wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6cfe…c83cbacked Under4c450$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1836234%123 W · 239 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 41 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.