TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Netherlands vs. Sweden: 2nd Half O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$6,834
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$7,464

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,834 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6d3c…d294backed Over74c1,558$1,150 inWon+$407.291,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf79c…cb96backed Under48c964.91$459 inLost-$458.7692038.5%354 W · 566 L-21.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d68…4354backed Under26c962.31$250 inLost-$250.26253.2%33 W · 29 L+10.5wins+0.17per pick36cpaid+66.3%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under20c539.86$106 inLost-$105.614,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Under46c522.44$240 inLost-$240.321,07545.2%486 W · 589 L+41.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1ebd…21cdbacked Under26c384.62$100 inLost-$1002365.2%15 W · 8 L+4.5wins+0.19per pick46cpaid+48.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xcd6f…1765backed Over54c350$189 inWon+$16111946.2%55 W · 64 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under27c337.41$91 inLost-$90.918,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3900…fb4ebacked Over62c270.08$167 inWon+$102.6323729.5%70 W · 167 L-11.0wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-22.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f41…5ffcbacked Over54c227.89$123 inWon+$104.8334249.1%168 W · 174 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+33.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a0f…e5f4backed Over51c195.65$100 inWon+$95.653447.1%16 W · 18 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under48c178.99$85 inLost-$85.433,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6401…f240backed Under28c115.26$32 inLost-$32.274470.5%31 W · 13 L+10.8wins+0.24per pick46cpaid+67.2%equal weight67+0.16 edge/pick
0x7940…47e7backed Under28c100.1$28 inLost-$28.039947.5%47 W · 52 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Over72c100.1$72 inWon+$28.031,06749.1%524 W · 543 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x007b…1fd2backed Under26c95.44$25 inLost-$24.8110947.7%52 W · 57 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x218b…625abacked Under40c88.88$36 inLost-$35.558048.8%39 W · 41 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d6e…8b2dbacked Over54c88.74$48 inWon+$40.827149.3%35 W · 36 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under43c87.98$38 inLost-$37.832,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8de2…111ebacked Over59c85.16$50 inWon+$35.164736.2%17 W · 30 L+4.8wins+0.10per pick26cpaid+50.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4dbd…4476backed Over60c83.21$50 inWon+$33.2121250.9%108 W · 104 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0e1…99dbbacked Under41c72.95$30 inLost-$29.9158049.1%285 W · 295 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Under49c60.22$30 inLost-$29.572,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Over50c49.68$25 inWon+$24.8480225.7%206 W · 596 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf5f…2184backed Under50c49.68$25 inLost-$24.842441.7%10 W · 14 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-17.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x74b6…7465backed Over52c44.36$23 inWon+$21.36862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c76…7409backed Under50c39.3$20 inLost-$19.611655.2%64 W · 52 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under48c39$19 inLost-$18.613,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e3d…a3b8backed Over54c34.69$19 inWon+$16.075076%38 W · 12 L+6.3wins+0.13per pick63cpaid+21.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6e2b…4db7backed Under46c32.96$15 inLost-$151735.3%6 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick39cpaid+2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over72c31$22 inWon+$8.681,49241%612 W · 880 L-1.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd170…a9d9backed Under39c30$12 inLost-$11.719040.5%77 W · 113 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-0.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over51c28.08$14 inWon+$13.763,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under49c25$12 inLost-$12.252,79656.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L-9.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42ac…7b70backed Under48c22.63$11 inLost-$10.86933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick37cpaid+59.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over61c22.49$14 inWon+$8.772,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Under52c20.31$11 inLost-$10.622,23149.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L-21.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 41 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.