TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,035,630
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,178,887

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,035,630 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 720 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xabb8…bba3backed Under65c90,892$59,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59,50013742.3%58 W · 79 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Under63c77,000$48,510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48,509.7832031.6%101 W · 219 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfea3…d227backed Under64c61,720$39,501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39,501.0620955.5%116 W · 93 L+12.8wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+9.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcd65…ee96backed Over37c54,054$20,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34,054.0519644.9%88 W · 108 L+9.6wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Over48c48,996$23,546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,449.8577152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb58…43c2backed Under64c27,575$17,648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,647.844040%16 W · 24 L-7.3wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-33.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xa80e…6aa1backed Over36c25,000$9,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,00027345.8%125 W · 148 L+14.2wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+17.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over50c20,000$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,00014445.8%66 W · 78 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under55c19,989$10,923 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,923.322,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x564f…d93bbacked Under16c16,062$2,525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,525.417431.1%23 W · 51 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick26cpaid+28.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1ab8…1b4abacked Over70c15,862$11,048 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,814.4139644.7%177 W · 219 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over38c15,765$5,991 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,774.4545428%127 W · 327 L-2.0wins0.00per pick28cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8325…19ccbacked Under33c15,323$5,085 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,085.0766846.7%312 W · 356 L+45.9wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over48c12,127$5,845 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,282.484,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over37c11,710$4,299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,411.472,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb00d…af5fbacked Under42c11,376$4,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,760.489650%48 W · 48 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b75…433bbacked Over37c10,811$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,810.8113544.4%60 W · 75 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under61c10,393$6,369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,369.318,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under51c9,837$5,004 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,003.652,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Under65c9,752$6,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,379.561,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1016…b09bbacked Over59c9,085$5,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,724.7524341.2%100 W · 143 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30d5…36bfbacked Over58c8,580$4,976 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,603.5622639.4%89 W · 137 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x06f2…1269backed Over57c8,483$4,828 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,655.538333.9%130 W · 253 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-34.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ea8…9469backed Over59c8,383$4,946 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,436.888353%44 W · 39 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+11.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Over36c8,250$2,962 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,287.461,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9d3…079fbacked Under64c7,835$5,014 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,014.44665.2%30 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24f0…7ad4backed Under64c7,813$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0005442.6%23 W · 31 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-20.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under64c7,342$4,673 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,672.633,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over52c7,076$3,687 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,388.941,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac1c…d8b5backed Under37c6,673$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50014734%50 W · 97 L+4.6wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+18.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over56c6,622$3,732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,890.043,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4154…e7a8backed Over51c6,000$3,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,939.9929633.4%99 W · 197 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over35c6,000$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,899.9722342.6%95 W · 128 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+53.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x41a8…ff67backed Over51c5,700$2,910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,789.357448.6%36 W · 38 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Under33c5,051$1,673 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,672.7843230.1%130 W · 302 L-17.6wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-41%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa18c…d792backed Under63c5,000$3,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,149.9924058.8%141 W · 99 L+19.8wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x23d8…0288backed Over36c4,918$1,770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,147.4117949.2%88 W · 91 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Over70c4,680$3,276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,40444539.6%176 W · 269 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed Under1c4,444$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.4421314.1%30 W · 183 L+14.3wins+0.07per pick7cpaid+135.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under63c4,313$2,719 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,718.721,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over67c4,149$2,799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,350.494,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa266…67f7backed Over37c4,077$1,511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,566.1714620.5%30 W · 116 L-7.6wins-0.05per pick26cpaid-23.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over59c4,049$2,373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,676.861,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Under60c4,007$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,40065948.6%320 W · 339 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdaef…54e9backed Over35c4,000$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,599.9918837.2%70 W · 118 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-15.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over43c3,912$1,668 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,243.41,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df5…b0ffbacked Under9c3,865$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360.28922.2%2 W · 7 L0.0wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e78…067ebacked Under20c3,766$745 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$745.4936235.9%130 W · 232 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf81a…5d86backed Under49c3,579$1,754 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,753.771656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+22.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under17c3,152$545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$544.991,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x67c5…cab7backed Over58c3,103$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,303.458842%37 W · 51 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Over72c3,075$2,204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$871.8532656.1%183 W · 143 L+29.5wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+29.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9e70…14babacked Under67c3,054$2,033 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,032.873348.5%16 W · 17 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-14.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Under34c3,003$1,021 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,020.632,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Over34c3,000$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,98050243.4%218 W · 284 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2584…8018backed Under64c2,960$1,891 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,890.9912235.2%43 W · 79 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-20.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5739…e8b6backed Under17c2,960$503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503.134740.4%19 W · 28 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick33cpaid+11.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf57e…bbd6backed Under53c2,862$1,517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,516.677349.3%36 W · 37 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37ae…1002backed Over37c2,703$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,702.724917.7%44 W · 205 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick16cpaid-7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6534…240cbacked Over37c2,703$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,702.75433.3%18 W · 36 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+25.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1041…f452backed Over33c2,700$891 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,80910146.5%47 W · 54 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe337…4ad6backed Over75c2,641$1,976 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$665.7430054%162 W · 138 L+17.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+32.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5960…6d42backed Under50c2,625$1,315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,31518548.1%89 W · 96 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8806…2e83backed Under20c2,611$524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524.3628229.4%83 W · 199 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-38%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x07ea…a6babacked Over80c2,529$2,023 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$505.8435244%155 W · 197 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Over37c2,500$925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,57534125.8%88 W · 253 L-10.4wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-1.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x300b…f636backed Under63c2,500$1,575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,57513762.8%86 W · 51 L+8.7wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under53c2,493$1,317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,31712554.4%68 W · 57 L-6.8wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-6.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x67bf…f983backed Under21c2,381$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.9927931.9%89 W · 190 L+11.4wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+60.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over36c2,333$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,493.3674447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0eb3…97cfbacked Under17c2,257$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.7334122.3%76 W · 265 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick20cpaid+27.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3642…74eabacked Under18c2,230$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402.2313727%37 W · 100 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-30.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09a3…2349backed Under65c2,035$1,323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3234440.9%18 W · 26 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-19.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2e61…19bdbacked Over50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00015149.7%75 W · 76 L+13.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+10.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under29c2,000$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58016116.1%26 W · 135 L-0.3wins0.00per pick16cpaid+52.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked Under63c2,000$1,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,26064443.3%279 W · 365 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Under28c2,000$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56030626.5%81 W · 225 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick29cpaid+1.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Over35c1,984$698 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,285.958029.5%171 W · 409 L-19.9wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x145a…5e86backed Over51c1,961$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$960.7821641.7%90 W · 126 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over36c1,944$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,244.4489443.4%388 W · 506 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf055…02b5backed Over37c1,892$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,191.8926644%117 W · 149 L+9.8wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under55c1,739$953 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$952.942,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91a8…b42ebacked Under35c1,700$595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5956160.7%37 W · 24 L+14.2wins+0.23per pick37cpaid+76.6%equal weight68+0.17 edge/pick
0xf29a…3122backed Over35c1,698$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,098.4116637.3%62 W · 104 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over75c1,678$1,261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.422,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa516…0392backed Over36c1,667$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,066.672839.3%11 W · 17 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-26.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe98c…8792backed Under49c1,616$792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7929150.5%46 W · 45 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd6f…1765backed Over37c1,590$588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,001.711946.2%55 W · 64 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4cd3…5f3fbacked Under64c1,563$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-24.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under64c1,538$983 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$983.162,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x54f6…b0f2backed Over70c1,537$1,076 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$460.9714463.2%91 W · 53 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1bdc…f776backed Under29c1,501$439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$438.746538.5%25 W · 40 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7acc…c5b9backed Under41c1,449$593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$593.3823857.6%137 W · 101 L+22.5wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+18.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1b9c…8620backed Under39c1,433$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559.9733740.4%136 W · 201 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7493…fe92backed Under50c1,430$722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$722.124626%64 W · 182 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick25cpaid+10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0563…f41cbacked Under16c1,383$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22015040%60 W · 90 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Under36c1,370$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.591,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc0df…5974backed Over37c1,351$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$851.3521442.5%91 W · 123 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3242…0e0bbacked Over36c1,300$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$831.997338.4%28 W · 45 L0.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid+5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under23c1,285$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.682,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 41 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.