TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Netherlands vs. Sweden: Netherlands 1st Half O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$6,228
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$7,817

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,228 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc291…5d74backed Under60c1,670$1,007 inLost-$1,007.224,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e48…1ceebacked Over23c1,333$300 inWon+$1,032.631136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07ea…a6babacked Over48c625$300 inWon+$32535244%155 W · 197 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under67c471.71$315 inLost-$314.724,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Under77c453.52$349 inLost-$349.2177845%350 W · 428 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf79c…cb96backed Under78c453.18$353 inLost-$352.7892038.5%354 W · 566 L-21.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf85b…48b9backed Over22c400$88 inWon+$3126936.2%25 W · 44 L+0.2wins0.00per pick36cpaid+17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc514…e9b4backed Over48c252.71$121 inWon+$131.4119935.2%70 W · 129 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdecf…caf2backed Over47c174.55$82 inWon+$92.5113653.7%73 W · 63 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under77c159.68$124 inLost-$123.682,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under78c136.51$106 inLost-$105.893,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under77c113.36$88 inLost-$87.843,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over38c110.98$42 inWon+$68.948,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f2b…d743backed Over22c110.23$24 inWon+$85.987122.5%16 W · 55 L-0.2wins0.00per pick23cpaid-13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x661e…c63ebacked Over47c104.7$49 inWon+$55.495324.5%13 W · 40 L-4.2wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-30.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over21c102.91$22 inWon+$81.32,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4740…fa66backed Over23c100$23 inWon+$7720325.6%52 W · 151 L+0.5wins0.00per pick25cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x139f…bb2fbacked Over47c65.96$31 inWon+$34.966439.1%25 W · 39 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+22.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4148…4397backed Over47c40.43$19 inWon+$21.4316544.8%74 W · 91 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x272e…e55abacked Over48c31.25$15 inWon+$16.254358.1%25 W · 18 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+18.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6300…41adbacked Over47c30$14 inWon+$15.99434%32 W · 62 L-9.9wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-31.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5cc8…a0e4backed Under78c30$23 inLost-$23.386656.4%488 W · 378 L-13.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeda9…f624backed Under77c30$23 inLost-$23.21,15158.5%673 W · 478 L+0.6wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd170…a9d9backed Over46c29.99$14 inWon+$16.219040.5%77 W · 113 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-0.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under78c29$23 inLost-$22.623,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under77c28.81$22 inLost-$22.31,61651.2%827 W · 789 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under80c20.07$16 inLost-$16.062,79656.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L-9.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e83…3bb7backed Over63c18.95$12 inWon+$6.971,20632.7%394 W · 812 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 41 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.