TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Netherlands vs. Sweden: 2nd Half O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$11,438
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$13,633

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,438 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Under25c3,318$842 inLost-$841.648,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over49c1,500$735 inWon+$7651,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Under77c1,000$770 inLost-$77070648.2%340 W · 366 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda2e…8904backed Under60c826.66$500 inLost-$5002740.7%11 W · 16 L-2.3wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x99d7…6435backed Over23c605$139 inWon+$465.8585851.2%439 W · 419 L+15.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7971…8dd0backed Under45c442.41$200 inLost-$2004856.3%27 W · 21 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6401…f240backed Under51c411.77$210 inLost-$2104470.5%31 W · 13 L+10.8wins+0.24per pick46cpaid+67.2%equal weight67+0.16 edge/pick
0xf34a…710cbacked Under51c392.16$200 inLost-$2002161.9%13 W · 8 L+4.7wins+0.22per pick40cpaid+63.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x8dce…8f73backed Under6c385.08$25 inLost-$251250%6 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-24%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc8f…d0e4backed Over25c326.67$82 inWon+$245.0110137.6%38 W · 63 L+14.5wins+0.14per pick23cpaid+45.4%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over75c303.99$227 inWon+$76.641,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under77c263.95$203 inLost-$203.243,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ebd…21cdbacked Under51c196.08$100 inLost-$1002365.2%15 W · 8 L+4.5wins+0.19per pick46cpaid+48.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over23c185$42 inWon+$143.242,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over70c157.39$111 inWon+$46.491,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xca97…f3cebacked Under34c147.99$50 inLost-$503366.7%22 W · 11 L+6.0wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+26.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over23c144.67$34 inWon+$110.992,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under80c138$110 inLost-$110.43,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcbc7…f991backed Over34c110$37 inWon+$72.63826.3%10 W · 28 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under72c88$63 inLost-$63.362,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Under39c86.89$34 inLost-$33.991,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f41…5ffcbacked Over27c68.31$18 inWon+$5034249.1%168 W · 174 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+33.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x218b…625abacked Over25c68$17 inWon+$518048.8%39 W · 41 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefcd…a07bbacked Under37c66.11$25 inLost-$24.752676.9%20 W · 6 L+4.5wins+0.17per pick60cpaid+45.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Under40c61.15$24 inLost-$24.411,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xea58…d62fbacked Under73c54.79$40 inLost-$404663%29 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick63cpaid+6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Under80c50$40 inLost-$402,23149.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L-21.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0800…ceb0backed Under78c50$39 inLost-$3936838.6%142 W · 226 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8833…3ea1backed Under76c38$29 inLost-$28.8861752%321 W · 296 L-13.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86c8…c867backed Under71c20.71$15 inLost-$14.6515459.7%92 W · 62 L+20.0wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+32.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xece7…3673backed Under75c18.28$14 inLost-$13.716346%29 W · 34 L-5.7wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-27.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0d10…5c74backed Under79c15$12 inLost-$11.8511457%65 W · 49 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeda9…f624backed Under80c15$12 inLost-$121,15158.5%673 W · 478 L+0.6wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 41 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.