TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$704,210
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$845,070

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $704,210 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under18c64,284$11,830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,829.534,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x06f2…1269backed Under18c47,903$8,810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,809.5838333.9%130 W · 253 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-34.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Under17c22,108$3,799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,799.3244539.6%176 W · 269 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under18c20,632$3,714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,713.763,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under13c20,372$2,726 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,726.351,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa7a4…e371backed Under18c16,175$2,912 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,911.564235.7%15 W · 27 L+0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under5c11,653$583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$582.674,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe301…8654backed Under17c11,438$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00044130.8%136 W · 305 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under18c10,818$1,947 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,947.162,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2165…f598backed Under18c10,000$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,80020724.6%51 W · 156 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick25cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under16c9,895$1,603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,602.532,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under18c9,722$1,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,749.961,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under19c8,453$1,581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5811,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under7c7,003$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.1616116.1%26 W · 135 L-0.3wins0.00per pick16cpaid+52.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under18c6,457$1,162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,162.221,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x224a…d4bfbacked Over80c6,250$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2504266.7%28 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under4c6,213$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.373,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf021…e900backed Under1c5,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5036437.1%135 W · 229 L+16.5wins+0.05per pick33cpaid-4.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under18c4,853$873 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$873.482,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82c1…c2c6backed Under16c4,800$764 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$763.974746.8%22 W · 25 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+22.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3561…f1b7backed Under18c3,969$731 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$731.1495037.5%356 W · 594 L-1.3wins0.00per pick38cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb10b…0b04backed Under18c3,265$588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$587.7832029.4%94 W · 226 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab1c…aaddbacked Under18c2,800$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5045628.6%16 W · 40 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Under18c2,765$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504.6958029.5%171 W · 409 L-19.9wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f0f…0e48backed Under3c2,517$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7039933.1%132 W · 267 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-20.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Under10c2,423$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.632,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc670…b781backed Under18c2,312$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421.7752744.4%234 W · 293 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked Under18c2,000$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.9964443.3%279 W · 365 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77fc…0eacbacked Under17c2,000$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.9910518.1%19 W · 86 L-7.3wins-0.07per pick25cpaid-13.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2bba…0686backed Under14c1,767$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick22cpaid-8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under21c1,657$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.451,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5960…6d42backed Under20c1,526$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30018548.1%89 W · 96 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under18c1,468$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.8784844.3%376 W · 472 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under17c1,426$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.363,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x64e7…50d1backed Under14c1,394$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005228.8%15 W · 37 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2813…3177backed Under2c1,321$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304839.6%19 W · 29 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-35.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under18c1,200$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.971,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Over80c1,060$847 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.6143248.4%209 W · 223 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under18c1,029$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.2268141.1%280 W · 401 L-16.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under19c1,003$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.12,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fca…1938backed Under20c1,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2009849%48 W · 50 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d08…eda0backed Under7c999.99$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$708835.2%31 W · 57 L+8.6wins+0.10per pick25cpaid+136.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Under17c999.98$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1701,07545.2%486 W · 589 L+41.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeb2e…7821backed Under19c679.98$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.721,42147.8%679 W · 742 L-0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x040d…1a5ebacked Under17c647.5$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.0812432.3%40 W · 84 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+16.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe10f…1a87backed Under18c555.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100606.7%4 W · 56 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick12cpaid-75.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb3a7…9b95backed Under19c526.32$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008121%17 W · 64 L-11.8wins-0.15per pick36cpaid-46.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Under19c526.32$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019224.5%47 W · 145 L-7.5wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under14c505.32$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.831,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x95a6…620abacked Under20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005516.4%9 W · 46 L-11.9wins-0.22per pick38cpaid-58.6%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x7ee6…9bb0backed Under19c466.07$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.558043.8%35 W · 45 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea74…76a7backed Under20c427.3$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.4613428.4%38 W · 96 L-14.9wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-25.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xaff6…b357backed Under20c410.95$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.1913528.1%38 W · 97 L-15.1wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-25.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xcdcd…ea10backed Under20c410.95$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.1913428.4%38 W · 96 L-14.9wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-25.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8581…a2d5backed Under20c410.95$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.1913428.4%38 W · 96 L-14.7wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-25.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xdceb…47d9backed Under20c406.5$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.313428.4%38 W · 96 L-14.9wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-25.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x923c…b55dbacked Under20c391$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.21844.4%8 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+45.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x186a…559dbacked Over77c387.58$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.5814659.6%87 W · 59 L-7.4wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under17c372.41$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.623,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed Under13c369.74$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.3517629%51 W · 125 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-30.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1840…6798backed Under19c347.37$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6613130.5%40 W · 91 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Under18c343.79$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.8871638.4%275 W · 441 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad31…c93abacked Under6c338.51$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.3117534.9%61 W · 114 L-0.6wins0.00per pick35cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Under4c327$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.0847744.2%211 W · 266 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Under19c319.98$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.3482348.8%402 W · 421 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1147…da78backed Over80c300$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6024542.9%105 W · 140 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed Under18c280.75$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.541,13540.2%456 W · 679 L+5.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b2d…3688backed Under18c278$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.044146.3%19 W · 22 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+23.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc61f…35a6backed Under19c264.98$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.3531842.5%135 W · 183 L+0.9wins0.00per pick42cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0565…8372backed Under19c263.16$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50128.3%1 W · 11 L-2.7wins-0.22per pick31cpaid-75.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0643…18c6backed Under19c263.16$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502920.7%6 W · 23 L-5.3wins-0.18per pick39cpaid-29.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x0823…36debacked Under18c261.22$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.0212236.1%44 W · 78 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick38cpaid+1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Under5c253$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7443230.1%130 W · 302 L-17.6wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-41%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x744b…848ebacked Under19c252.63$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487034.3%24 W · 46 L-0.3wins0.00per pick35cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x004d…47e0backed Under20c250$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012128.9%35 W · 86 L-14.5wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-28.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x3e59…2a66backed Under14c234.66$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.071,06331.7%337 W · 726 L-33.7wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0164…9ed6backed Under18c200$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3619723.4%46 W · 151 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick25cpaid+23.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b12…7a89backed Under7c200$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14368.3%3 W · 33 L-3.1wins-0.09per pick17cpaid-2.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5f17…0ca6backed Under20c189.8$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.964035%14 W · 26 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick40cpaid+0.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e8c…79bdbacked Over77c179.23$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.2227445.3%124 W · 150 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked Under21c173$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.3340649.8%202 W · 204 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x188a…adfebacked Under20c171.55$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.318134.6%28 W · 53 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-13.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaa64…9dcdbacked Over79c158.23$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.236357.1%36 W · 27 L-6.1wins-0.10per pick67cpaid-16.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd28b…f0ebbacked Under18c157.89$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.4220%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfee8…9197backed Under24c156.19$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.4911745.3%53 W · 64 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under17c145.84$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.061,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Under19c139.73$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.341,45953.9%787 W · 672 L-6.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef69…cdbdbacked Under18c111.11$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick30cpaid-50.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x69e4…14e7backed Under19c105.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202437.5%9 W · 15 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick43cpaid+12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc770…8dbbbacked Over80c100$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2019958.3%116 W · 83 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0255…4eb0backed Over78c100$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.512263.9%78 W · 44 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c49…0596backed Under18c100$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188153.1%43 W · 38 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+2.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed Under18c99.98$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.9543653.7%234 W · 202 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under18c99.98$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.841,61651.2%827 W · 789 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Under13c92$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6158942.6%251 W · 338 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d50…d283backed Under18c77.58$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.9647546.1%219 W · 256 L-15.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under24c76.15$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.2848152.4%252 W · 229 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Under24c74$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.7670244.6%313 W · 389 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under19c71.77$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6459752.1%311 W · 286 L-2.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52b2…aa49backed Under20c71.11$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1450%0 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 41 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.