TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x91a8…b42e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
67
Categories scored
2
Categories below 50
0

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 68 out of 100 (+0.17 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 68 out of 100; worst Token Launches at 52.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT6160.7%37 W · 24 L+14.2wins+0.23per pick37cpaid+76.6%equal weight68+0.17 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 61 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 11.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,210Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+120.3%+$1,455.79
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$266Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+194.4%+$516.75
Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$430Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$570
Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$330Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+203%+$670
Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 7.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$816Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$784
France vs. Sweden: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$690Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$690
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,900Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,900
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$1,211Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,211.47
Netherlands vs. Morocco: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,020Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,020
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$3,030Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,030.35
Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$650
Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$400
Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 11.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$370.8
Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$470Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$530
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+245.7%+$3,685.19
Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$440Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$560
Uruguay vs. Spain: O/U 11.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$701Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$700.7
Uruguay vs. Spain: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$3,580Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,579.73
Senegal vs. Iraq: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$744Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$456
Senegal vs. Iraq: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$580Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$420
Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$802Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$802.08
Türkiye vs. United States: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$468Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$732
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$882Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$882
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$920Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$920
Türkiye vs. United States: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$520Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$480
Showing 25 of 61 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick24cpaid+55.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.