Token Launches · resolved market
EdgeX FDV above $400M one day after launch?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x20232f7d347a5d23d9ab35c67c4e88ca215a3daea6e240e6efad652db4f28b9e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $287,753
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $308,844
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $287,753 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 269 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9540…90e9backed No | 0c | 19,000$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6305…9d0bbacked No | 30c | 13,502$4,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,064.96 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | +7.5wins | +0.14per pick | 25cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xeb67…d696backed Yes | 64c | 12,547$8,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,538.93 | 72 | 70.8%51 W · 21 L | +20.9wins | +0.29per pick | 42cpaid | +190%equal weight | 74+0.22 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked No | 35c | 10,394$3,623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,623.26 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac9b…d4c5backed No | 40c | 8,901$3,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,555.38 | 128 | 40.6%52 W · 76 L | +13.8wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9c98…f4f4backed No | 43c | 8,103$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a91…ac8fbacked Yes | 63c | 7,586$4,768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,817.35 | 37 | 75.7%28 W · 9 L | +7.8wins | +0.21per pick | 55cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5aff…7035backed No | 40c | 6,400$2,584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,584 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd2d…84e6backed No | 27c | 6,327$1,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,719.61 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | +6.8wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3106…8a34backed Yes | 62c | 6,135$3,818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,316.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +60.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c4e…3135backed No | 3c | 5,869$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked No | 38c | 5,387$2,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,030.16 | 141 | 41.8%59 W · 82 L | +8.8wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…6657backed Yes | 64c | 5,000$3,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,801.69 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +9.5wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked No | 21c | 4,675$979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$978.78 | 61 | 8.2%5 W · 56 L | -7.7wins | -0.13per pick | 21cpaid | -82%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbbbf…b4f5backed Yes | 68c | 4,286$2,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,366.36 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x976c…c3cabacked No | 2c | 4,068$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e37…cccbbacked Yes | 57c | 3,520$2,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,519.45 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd850…59dbbacked No | 0c | 3,500$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec2d…896cbacked Yes | 61c | 3,405$2,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,322.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3402…9446backed No | 34c | 3,198$1,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,087.45 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed No | 2c | 3,147$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.3 | 206 | 1.9%4 W · 202 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | +62.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda0f…f0e7backed Yes | 70c | 3,000$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 72 | 34.7%25 W · 47 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3e…783bbacked Yes | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,349.99 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +3.6wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa91a…c6c9backed Yes | 56c | 2,979$1,683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,296.07 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +3.6wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6b9a…12a5backed Yes | 64c | 2,656$1,697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$958.46 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 2c | 2,608$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.01 | 766 | 3.3%25 W · 741 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f24…c911backed No | 36c | 2,568$937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$937.43 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d81…4777backed No | 39c | 2,557$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 36cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bb7…dad6backed Yes | 80c | 2,459$1,963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.39 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d35…23c1backed No | 27c | 2,400$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe51e…5e7fbacked Yes | 70c | 2,363$1,654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.8 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91fc…0109backed Yes | 56c | 2,234$1,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$979.02 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa173…3315backed No | 33c | 2,221$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725.06 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b05…6180backed Yes | 61c | 2,000$1,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d65…7d4abacked No | 36c | 1,998$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720.58 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 25cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa3…422fbacked Yes | 65c | 1,854$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$653.81 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4966…81debacked No | 6c | 1,600$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 10cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 9c | 1,548$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.01 | 154 | 1.9%3 W · 151 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -86.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a68…6679backed Yes | 58c | 1,500$865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635 | 153 | 62.7%96 W · 57 L | +22.4wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe172…5483backed Yes | 66c | 1,500$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +89.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57e4…835ebacked No | 40c | 1,500$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked No | 29c | 1,459$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.73 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 21cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed8a…0c9abacked Yes | 70c | 1,438$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.61 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +64.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…cbdcbacked No | 19c | 1,427$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.04 | 111 | 24.3%27 W · 84 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | +153.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 63c | 1,373$865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.57 | 193 | 36.3%70 W · 123 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa3…3044backed No | 39c | 1,289$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked No | 13c | 1,267$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.6 | 72 | 8.3%6 W · 66 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 17cpaid | -69.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…aa2fbacked No | 2c | 1,247$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.59 | 76 | 6.6%5 W · 71 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bdd…c9a9backed No | 37c | 1,209$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.6 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x733b…0268backed No | 42c | 1,187$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.53 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | +9.4wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +38%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x73b6…5db1backed No | 28c | 1,167$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.31 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5c…a5debacked No | 37c | 1,133$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.46 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10ad…827cbacked No | 27c | 1,098$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.59 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +26%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9965…b6cbbacked No | 30c | 1,060$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa707…0ef0backed Yes | 60c | 1,050$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.25per pick | 41cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ba…cf54backed No | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb807…99cbbacked Yes | 66c | 1,000$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345 | 103 | 20.4%21 W · 82 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94df…2dcebacked Yes | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…f992backed No | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x848d…efbebacked No | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1052…53dabacked Yes | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3731…fb76backed Yes | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd849…0c41backed No | 38c | 999.99$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11d3…7471backed Yes | 64c | 999.8$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.93 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +405.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf757…db38backed No | 4c | 996$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.26 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 3c | 958.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.35 | 328 | 3%10 W · 318 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51d7…238cbacked Yes | 61c | 950$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.34 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 38cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbebf…4e07backed Yes | 75c | 948.99$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.15 | 70 | 61.4%43 W · 27 L | +6.3wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0474…9ffabacked Yes | 64c | 917.78$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.22 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x528b…42dcbacked No | 2c | 877.5$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c9…41b5backed Yes | 55c | 859.98$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.99 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.8wins | +0.22per pick | 48cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8c87…7a9abacked No | 43c | 838.3$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.63 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe0a…89ddbacked No | 44c | 825$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa135…68b8backed No | 45c | 794.13$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.18 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfab5…690dbacked Yes | 58c | 783.01$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.04 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +17%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b91…ae77backed No | 43c | 729.26$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.87 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed No | 6c | 709.66$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.58 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff2…2be4backed No | 35c | 706$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.81 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x414d…856ebacked Yes | 62c | 700$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3109…5f14backed No | 34c | 628.21$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.04 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7366…2818backed No | 39c | 613.43$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.87 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c8…55a4backed No | 20c | 600$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe95e…61f2backed Yes | 60c | 584.38$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.83 | 150 | 41.3%62 W · 88 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf956…e491backed Yes | 62c | 581.28$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.86 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed No | 3c | 576.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.73 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91a8…b42ebacked No | 3c | 543.76$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.68 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f16…b11ebacked No | 16c | 515.48$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf77c…73c4backed No | 26c | 510.33$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.47 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x362e…8983backed No | 33c | 500$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2ff…772cbacked No | 36c | 500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb51…359dbacked Yes | 64c | 493.05$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.46 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +4.4wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6e6d…76f5backed Yes | 60c | 467.79$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.45 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +263.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf625…9d5dbacked No | 41c | 441.18$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.82 | 52 | 19.2%10 W · 42 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d16…4e1fbacked Yes | 68c | 439.04$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204a…7d5cbacked No | 3c | 430$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9de1…2dd4backed Yes | 70c | 409.39$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.82 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02b4…3908backed Yes | 57c | 408$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.44 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +3.4wins | +0.48per pick | 38cpaid | +196.7%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x34f9…0540backed No | 18c | 383.33$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd10…fc0bbacked Yes | 79c | 379.14$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.14 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5781…bbfbbacked Yes | 66c | 375.85$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.49 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- EdgeX FDV above $400M one day after launch?this page
- EdgeX FDV above $10B one day after launch?No won
- EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?No won
- EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?No won
- EdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch?Yes won
- EdgeX FDV above $3B one day after launch?No won
- EdgeX FDV above $4B one day after launch?No won
- EdgeX FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes won
- EdgeX FDV above $5B one day after launch?No won
- EdgeX FDV above $600M one day after launch?Yes won
- EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.