Token Launches · resolved market
EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcad388a016c4ccb9a4bc07549f802d60675d9a5ebb7b0e221cf2efef5f067e16
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,732,423
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,766,177
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,732,423 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 997 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb376…ea30backed Yes | 1c | 209,122$2,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,405 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x252d…8a71backed Yes | 1c | 106,775$1,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,057.29 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -80.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc2…9271backed Yes | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | -5.0wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9540…90e9backed Yes | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95ba…99dabacked Yes | 25c | 66,319$16,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,579.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf40…c4d7backed Yes | 1c | 51,961$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b97…e4f1backed Yes | 1c | 35,964$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.62 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +3.4wins | +0.14per pick | 34cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc76…7842backed Yes | 15c | 33,249$4,835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,834.74 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7a…ccbfbacked Yes | 13c | 29,438$3,853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,853 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05ab…8145backed Yes | 9c | 28,170$2,592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,592.24 | 85 | 32.9%28 W · 57 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f0c…749bbacked Yes | 2c | 25,964$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ff…893cbacked Yes | 0c | 24,800$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba1…3d8abacked No | 75c | 23,176$17,382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,794 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca3…2be0backed No | 75c | 21,259$15,944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,314.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae6a…5e59backed Yes | 39c | 21,225$8,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,265.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49f6…fdf7backed No | 75c | 20,554$15,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,138.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked Yes | 1c | 20,304$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.35 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 21cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc200…2be9backed Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9d12…7954backed Yes | 10c | 20,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc93…e66cbacked Yes | 2c | 19,949$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.19 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabfa…e24bbacked Yes | 1c | 19,305$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 12cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c6…91dbbacked Yes | 35c | 17,530$6,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,068.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c63…3b12backed Yes | 15c | 16,516$2,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,414.62 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54a0…742dbacked Yes | 2c | 16,424$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.4 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb807…99cbbacked Yes | 6c | 16,404$1,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,006.54 | 103 | 20.4%21 W · 82 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c4e…3135backed Yes | 0c | 15,748$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.92 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…81b9backed Yes | 5c | 15,326$783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$783.27 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -55%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82a4…3fb9backed Yes | 1c | 15,122$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x409f…543abacked Yes | 0c | 15,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd675…153dbacked Yes | 0c | 15,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x050d…2f13backed Yes | 10c | 14,918$1,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,480.26 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa8…2e16backed Yes | 8c | 13,598$1,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,058.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3731…95f8backed Yes | 2c | 12,594$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0298…6606backed No | 78c | 12,490$9,758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,732.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3402…9446backed No | 70c | 12,285$8,571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,713.97 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 1c | 12,169$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.02 | 206 | 1.9%4 W · 202 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | +62.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…6657backed No | 72c | 11,922$8,569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,353.01 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +9.5wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2a33…c087backed No | 65c | 11,143$7,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,901.76 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +5.1wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1c76…d2f5backed No | 79c | 10,605$8,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,260.89 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6630…0016backed Yes | 12c | 10,462$1,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,275.36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a6…91edbacked No | 75c | 10,439$7,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,629.12 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf572…7458backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda4c…1cc2backed Yes | 26c | 9,439$2,474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,473.61 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 32cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1052…53dabacked Yes | 1c | 9,426$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.68 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb95…1758backed Yes | 28c | 9,350$2,618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,618 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 1c | 9,316$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.51 | 237 | 7.2%17 W · 220 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 1c | 9,233$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.6 | 142 | 4.2%6 W · 136 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffe5…0f58backed Yes | 2c | 9,204$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.59 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba3c…2e4ebacked No | 63c | 8,877$5,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,326.81 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Yes | 19c | 8,845$1,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,666.24 | 61 | 8.2%5 W · 56 L | -7.7wins | -0.13per pick | 21cpaid | -82%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc5…d6b7backed Yes | 4c | 8,826$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb751…8d99backed Yes | 24c | 7,857$1,892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,891.91 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.3wins | -0.25per pick | 48cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdf70…5e92backed No | 72c | 7,495$5,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,106.44 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcf7…b2bdbacked No | 77c | 7,195$5,551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,644.64 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 3c | 6,907$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.67 | 328 | 3%10 W · 318 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d4b…77d9backed Yes | 1c | 6,751$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.51 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.19per pick | 32cpaid | -80.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xac9b…d4c5backed No | 57c | 6,663$3,828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,835.55 | 128 | 40.6%52 W · 76 L | +13.8wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7996…b669backed Yes | 5c | 6,495$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.95 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e9…63d0backed No | 56c | 6,481$3,618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,862.99 | 178 | 59.6%106 W · 72 L | +18.3wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +21%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe182…b624backed Yes | 1c | 6,175$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.48 | 112 | 25.9%29 W · 83 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9034…f7dfbacked No | 74c | 6,096$4,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,611.47 | 45 | 20%9 W · 36 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ef…cb7bbacked Yes | 2c | 6,085$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb157…958abacked Yes | 2c | 5,882$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9763…a292backed No | 71c | 5,603$3,994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,608.58 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x147e…a3f4backed No | 76c | 5,581$4,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,348.26 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc771…b18fbacked No | 57c | 5,292$3,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,290.16 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes | 2c | 5,205$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.97 | 76 | 6.6%5 W · 71 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7171…7af9backed Yes | 2c | 5,152$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.92 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 4cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e5e…7315backed No | 55c | 5,000$2,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,250 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34b3…507fbacked Yes | 1c | 5,000$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 11cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd72…b6c6backed No | 66c | 4,974$3,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,678.24 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x93b7…7d51backed No | 76c | 4,967$3,795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,172.95 | 205 | 51.2%105 W · 100 L | +13.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0d…fec9backed Yes | 1c | 4,921$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.08 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 17cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd2d…84e6backed No | 49c | 4,856$2,381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,474.43 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | +6.8wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x30c0…2210backed Yes | 1c | 4,816$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.93 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e53…6ba9backed Yes | 2c | 4,783$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x011b…e44dbacked No | 64c | 4,449$2,859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,589.79 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 25c | 4,403$1,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,122.76 | 357 | 12.9%46 W · 311 L | -29.9wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf8…3f84backed Yes | 24c | 4,217$1,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,021.39 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 3c | 4,206$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.53 | 244 | 2%5 W · 239 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9d2…fb68backed Yes | 1c | 4,084$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 4,082$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.41 | 766 | 3.3%25 W · 741 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb45…915ebacked Yes | 0c | 4,021$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e66…41e7backed Yes | 1c | 3,948$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.44 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 1cpaid | +146.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b2c…5341backed Yes | 25c | 3,921$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980.27 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed No | 74c | 3,917$2,895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,021.82 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb18…b519backed Yes | 37c | 3,800$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,399.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e6…4bd4backed Yes | 28c | 3,711$1,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,023.13 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30de…fa1fbacked Yes | 35c | 3,623$1,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,266.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4193…7a48backed Yes | 28c | 3,601$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…0884backed No | 75c | 3,521$2,657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$864.1 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee97…974bbacked Yes | 2c | 3,513$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.5 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b67…c647backed Yes | 1c | 3,459$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.84 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +60.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3537…56eabacked No | 70c | 3,442$2,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,022.74 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 66cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 4c | 3,427$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.87 | 254 | 1.6%4 W · 250 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde51…b01ebacked Yes | 7c | 3,400$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf604…36b3backed No | 55c | 3,271$1,797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,474.56 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -41%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc2c…a146backed No | 72c | 3,220$2,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$901.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4059…3371backed No | 75c | 3,200$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f65…1679backed No | 57c | 3,181$1,802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,378.93 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +3.7wins | +0.22per pick | 54cpaid | +34%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?this page
- EdgeX FDV above $10B one day after launch?No won
- EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?No won
- EdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch?Yes won
- EdgeX FDV above $3B one day after launch?No won
- EdgeX FDV above $400M one day after launch?Yes won
- EdgeX FDV above $4B one day after launch?No won
- EdgeX FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes won
- EdgeX FDV above $5B one day after launch?No won
- EdgeX FDV above $600M one day after launch?Yes won
- EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.