Token Launches · resolved market
EdgeX FDV above $4B one day after launch?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4e16c5196f59f08fad56fea688a65daeba2e5be79b7c04acd56ca7395cdb0885
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $674,724
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $842,796
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $674,724 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 293 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb376…ea30backed Yes | 1c | 38,686$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.93 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54a0…742dbacked Yes | 1c | 11,793$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.7 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 0c | 11,000$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 171 | 2.9%5 W · 166 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce5b…ee17backed Yes | 15c | 10,492$1,581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,581.48 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | -7.3wins | -0.26per pick | 40cpaid | -78.1%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x539d…0213backed Yes | 5c | 5,926$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.3 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 3c | 5,580$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.56 | 328 | 3%10 W · 318 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a09…e317backed No | 75c | 5,504$4,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,375.98 | 26 | 84.6%22 W · 4 L | +9.8wins | +0.38per pick | 47cpaid | +125.5%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x8c63…3b12backed Yes | 3c | 5,500$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48d7…c88fbacked Yes | 5c | 5,100$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.9 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x064f…ff5abacked Yes | 3c | 4,980$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.5 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dba…e6fbbacked Yes | 3c | 4,800$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Yes | 3c | 4,162$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.75 | 61 | 8.2%5 W · 56 L | -7.7wins | -0.13per pick | 21cpaid | -82%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7a…ccbfbacked Yes | 1c | 3,993$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…bf0bbacked Yes | 3c | 3,760$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 70 | 21.4%15 W · 55 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 4c | 3,681$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.84 | 254 | 1.6%4 W · 250 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 0c | 3,500$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 142 | 4.2%6 W · 136 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 2c | 3,088$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.49 | 244 | 2%5 W · 239 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd2…a8c9backed Yes | 17c | 2,503$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed No | 67c | 2,495$1,669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825.85 | 118 | 33.9%40 W · 78 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes | 1c | 2,374$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 76 | 6.6%5 W · 71 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2721…325bbacked Yes | 5c | 2,322$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.52 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3be…5ba7backed Yes | 36c | 1,980$713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712.62 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc21d…f881backed Yes | 36c | 1,892$681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dba…a4dfbacked Yes | 29c | 1,888$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe93a…23ccbacked Yes | 36c | 1,883$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd932…6c06backed Yes | 36c | 1,818$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf23a…dad3backed Yes | 36c | 1,788$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1d…85a5backed Yes | 36c | 1,772$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75b7…b1f9backed Yes | 36c | 1,768$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e65…f46bbacked Yes | 36c | 1,766$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa66d…f05dbacked Yes | 36c | 1,756$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd16…2bc8backed Yes | 36c | 1,735$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.46 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf83e…629ebacked Yes | 36c | 1,722$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde7e…bf12backed Yes | 30c | 1,690$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc773…d55cbacked Yes | 3c | 1,680$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 31cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…a51bbacked No | 70c | 1,679$1,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.84 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88c7…a1debacked Yes | 3c | 1,674$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.65 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4059…21dbbacked Yes | 27c | 1,664$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.31 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76e2…5910backed Yes | 36c | 1,638$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1090…eb93backed Yes | 27c | 1,637$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.76 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4dc…a6bcbacked Yes | 30c | 1,636$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2889…358ebacked Yes | 30c | 1,582$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.69 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08c3…1f74backed Yes | 27c | 1,533$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x741c…8c63backed Yes | 30c | 1,500$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x314c…b93bbacked Yes | 27c | 1,495$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 3c | 1,442$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.96 | 237 | 7.2%17 W · 220 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7475…b82abacked Yes | 28c | 1,428$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e9…63d0backed No | 68c | 1,427$964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.19 | 178 | 59.6%106 W · 72 L | +18.3wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +21%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b0…82e7backed Yes | 36c | 1,389$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.93 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe744…e1c6backed Yes | 30c | 1,388$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff16…7511backed No | 68c | 1,324$904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.43 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +3.7wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked Yes | 7c | 1,323$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.27 | 92 | 28.3%26 W · 66 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5afd…63fcbacked Yes | 29c | 1,250$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceb3…26fbbacked No | 64c | 1,234$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 64cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…6205backed Yes | 30c | 1,215$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.79 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc67a…9b98backed Yes | 3c | 1,212$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.32 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe978…c84bbacked Yes | 29c | 1,201$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ed…079abacked Yes | 3c | 1,195$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.35 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecb4…bdcbbacked No | 64c | 1,191$762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.58 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 64cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47e7…0af4backed Yes | 36c | 1,180$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x645d…085bbacked No | 64c | 1,176$753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.32 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 64cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01f3…5822backed No | 64c | 1,145$733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.31 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f2d…9df3backed No | 64c | 1,145$733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.31 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 64cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac33…61cbbacked No | 64c | 1,145$733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.24 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81a…888cbacked Yes | 30c | 1,140$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bef…f04ebacked Yes | 4c | 1,130$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.67 | 51 | 11.8%6 W · 45 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 5cpaid | -20%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9620…5b50backed No | 64c | 1,110$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x546b…0405backed No | 63c | 1,100$694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406 | 18 | 83.3%15 W · 3 L | +7.4wins | +0.41per pick | 42cpaid | +144.9%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x0f45…8525backed No | 64c | 1,090$698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x555e…5c49backed No | 64c | 1,085$695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.74 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 64cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ec…04f3backed Yes | 28c | 1,081$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3541…c91ebacked No | 64c | 1,081$692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc0…c3a7backed No | 64c | 1,075$688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.11 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe739…22edbacked No | 64c | 1,075$688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8246…9e57backed No | 64c | 1,071$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.42 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1848…bd82backed No | 64c | 1,071$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.42 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed5b…5cfcbacked No | 64c | 1,070$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.24 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 64cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a2…211cbacked No | 64c | 1,065$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.51 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d9…a8abbacked No | 64c | 1,060$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.71 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ffb…2330backed No | 64c | 1,060$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e08…7788backed Yes | 15c | 1,057$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.53 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -5.6wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb851…476fbacked Yes | 3c | 1,050$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x050f…2d10backed No | 64c | 1,046$669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.45 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc3…506abacked No | 64c | 1,036$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.78 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeff4…befebacked No | 64c | 1,035$662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb12…58f1backed Yes | 36c | 1,032$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8365…ade0backed No | 64c | 1,030$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.91 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 64cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 3c | 1,027$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.99 | 349 | 5.7%20 W · 329 L | -25.3wins | -0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa438…bffebacked No | 64c | 1,021$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.52 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 64cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41ac…631abacked Yes | 5c | 1,002$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.1 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…06d6backed No | 73c | 1,000$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaac7…b3a1backed Yes | 4c | 1,000$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00c7…a740backed Yes | 27c | 931.1$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10ef…1b1cbacked Yes | 27c | 930.29$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a96…1d8abacked No | 73c | 925.3$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e4…aa38backed No | 73c | 925.3$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3062…c32abacked No | 73c | 920.7$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9fc…9822backed No | 73c | 920.3$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cc2…1372backed No | 70c | 913$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 72cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2087…583fbacked No | 70c | 912$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 72cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- EdgeX FDV above $4B one day after launch?this page
- EdgeX FDV above $10B one day after launch?No won
- EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?No won
- EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?No won
- EdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch?Yes won
- EdgeX FDV above $3B one day after launch?No won
- EdgeX FDV above $400M one day after launch?Yes won
- EdgeX FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes won
- EdgeX FDV above $5B one day after launch?No won
- EdgeX FDV above $600M one day after launch?Yes won
- EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.