Token Launches · resolved market
Zama FDV above $1B one day after launch?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x38ce926c058413cee5b5c1b4d968f23cc2110a0cde006aa0148f0f137f68b861
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $905,444
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $936,016
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $905,444 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 409 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd8f3…080fbacked Yes | 9c | 72,973$6,785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,784.58 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 4c | 35,748$1,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,252.3 | 105 | 21.9%23 W · 82 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9689…2c75backed Yes | 6c | 26,474$1,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,525 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa77f…e578backed Yes | 49c | 23,289$11,521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,520.54 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf74b…95cbbacked Yes | 6c | 22,608$1,401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400.8 | 63 | 14.3%9 W · 54 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e5…0e18backed Yes | 3c | 20,673$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.2 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78c6…4710backed No | 61c | 18,137$11,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,985.67 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7217…fdbdbacked Yes | 8c | 17,157$1,341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,340.51 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf60a…dd9bbacked Yes | 8c | 13,323$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc903…b175backed Yes | 40c | 12,904$5,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,106.83 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +5.3wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4930…82abbacked Yes | 11c | 12,819$1,441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,441.3 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -26%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e9…63d0backed No | 46c | 12,520$5,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,720.32 | 178 | 59.6%106 W · 72 L | +18.3wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +21%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6a67…df6fbacked Yes | 5c | 12,000$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 48 | 16.7%8 W · 40 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72a1…1616backed Yes | 40c | 11,506$4,616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,615.65 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1249…6fd4backed Yes | 5c | 10,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x780e…e99cbacked No | 70c | 9,975$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,975.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf561…ba3bbacked Yes | 8c | 9,766$774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$774.14 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 26c | 8,686$2,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,242.3 | 28 | 10.7%3 W · 25 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 23cpaid | -69.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb2b…1921backed No | 43c | 8,551$3,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,883.73 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +7.9wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3344…9175backed Yes | 4c | 7,348$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2048…f572backed No | 69c | 7,221$4,954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,266.83 | 90 | 46.7%42 W · 48 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fcd…8dd0backed Yes | 12c | 6,850$856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855.68 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -75%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x841f…806bbacked Yes | 13c | 6,100$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.91 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -38%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc456…8996backed No | 76c | 5,478$4,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,307.26 | 195 | 43.1%84 W · 111 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 5c | 5,390$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.36 | 328 | 3%10 W · 318 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda2b…c006backed Yes | 59c | 5,364$3,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,155.73 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd008…135dbacked Yes | 40c | 5,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1e…65a5backed Yes | 40c | 4,849$1,931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,931.35 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc76…7842backed Yes | 46c | 4,603$2,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,134.7 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2387…2736backed Yes | 11c | 4,514$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a6…2833backed Yes | 30c | 4,474$1,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,355.18 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91a8…b42ebacked No | 61c | 4,466$2,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,745.8 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac9b…d4c5backed Yes | 12c | 4,311$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.26 | 128 | 40.6%52 W · 76 L | +13.8wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…dc5cbacked Yes | 3c | 4,000$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.49 | 68 | 36.8%25 W · 43 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f9…c5e8backed No | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 60 | 63.3%38 W · 22 L | +17.9wins | +0.30per pick | 34cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x5081…a309backed Yes | 5c | 3,988$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.24 | 123 | 4.1%5 W · 118 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -50%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdef0…3d06backed Yes | 61c | 3,839$2,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,323.63 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 33cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed Yes | 5c | 3,583$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166 | 134 | 3.7%5 W · 129 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf2…887dbacked Yes | 5c | 3,580$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.48 | 124 | 3.2%4 W · 120 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 6c | 3,500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.3 | 244 | 2%5 W · 239 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a24…4a1fbacked No | 59c | 3,403$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,403.65 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 6c | 3,270$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.69 | 254 | 1.6%4 W · 250 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c36…c1efbacked No | 58c | 3,100$1,812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,288 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +28%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad4…3d8cbacked No | 52c | 3,009$1,574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,434.35 | 147 | 32%47 W · 100 L | +12.7wins | +0.09per pick | 23cpaid | +44%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7248…8cb4backed No | 70c | 2,888$2,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880.33 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20b1…49fabacked Yes | 42c | 2,883$1,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,210 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33b5…0490backed Yes | 6c | 2,711$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.34 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 4c | 2,700$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 142 | 4.2%6 W · 136 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…a185backed Yes | 5c | 2,562$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a2…bf10backed Yes | 30c | 2,523$769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$769.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ec…d73cbacked Yes | 41c | 2,500$1,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,028 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd493…7f04backed Yes | 6c | 2,477$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.82 | 119 | 0.8%1 W · 118 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 5cpaid | -85.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a47…740bbacked No | 75c | 2,308$1,741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.58 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd72…b6c6backed Yes | 28c | 2,125$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc2…0727backed Yes | 7c | 2,084$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.28 | 112 | 2.7%3 W · 109 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x029e…0159backed Yes | 24c | 2,081$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked No | 75c | 2,000$1,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.58 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c67…68f5backed Yes | 6c | 2,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade1…950abacked Yes | 4c | 2,000$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f93…ea49backed Yes | 20c | 2,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbe…776dbacked Yes | 2c | 2,000$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 17cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d7b…2a7cbacked Yes | 4c | 2,000$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc60…85c9backed No | 45c | 2,000$910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,089.98 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +7.3wins | +0.23per pick | 46cpaid | +96.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x50ac…a924backed No | 70c | 1,999$1,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.82 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6138…97a0backed Yes | 24c | 1,931$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.04 | 159 | 41.5%66 W · 93 L | +9.4wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3662…e7a4backed Yes | 17c | 1,876$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefae…40a5backed Yes | 20c | 1,812$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.71 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2867…3a8dbacked Yes | 36c | 1,798$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.06 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60d1…0c8fbacked No | 76c | 1,770$1,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.56 | 155 | 39.4%61 W · 94 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c77…f1d6backed Yes | 4c | 1,746$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 16cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe58f…b1adbacked Yes | 27c | 1,720$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.4 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…bf0bbacked Yes | 15c | 1,663$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.13 | 70 | 21.4%15 W · 55 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf4df…0267backed Yes | 2c | 1,600$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a9…2f62backed No | 70c | 1,599$1,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.66 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.40per pick | 31cpaid | +215.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 4c | 1,571$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.06 | 766 | 3.3%25 W · 741 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11e9…4136backed No | 77c | 1,547$1,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.39 | 86 | 30.2%26 W · 60 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x647e…5a92backed Yes | 33c | 1,500$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d65…7d4abacked No | 45c | 1,345$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.79 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 25cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f24…c911backed No | 44c | 1,294$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.25 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9371…9943backed Yes | 9c | 1,280$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.17 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c89…6d01backed No | 59c | 1,205$707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.56 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 44cpaid | +82.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6641…99f9backed Yes | 3c | 1,200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb045…d8bcbacked Yes | 48c | 1,200$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.99 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa488…4a49backed No | 59c | 1,178$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.32 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb960…b8a1backed No | 43c | 1,158$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.54 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x38a4…4ef2backed Yes | 4c | 1,157$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.09 | 25 | 4%1 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -93.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9262…bcb8backed No | 46c | 1,117$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.41 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +3.3wins | +0.18per pick | 40cpaid | +142%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd265…82afbacked No | 60c | 1,090$654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1199…7a6abacked No | 47c | 1,075$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.68 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -28%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76f8…e996backed Yes | 20c | 1,027$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.03 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 30cpaid | +70%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9c…6824backed Yes | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x871e…6566backed No | 50c | 1,000$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.2 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc82f…460dbacked Yes | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dd…bcd9backed Yes | 4c | 1,000$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x296b…dcd9backed Yes | 4c | 1,000$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a9a…6924backed No | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3476…3953backed Yes | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe182…b624backed Yes | 13c | 999.99$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 112 | 25.9%29 W · 83 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bb7…dad6backed No | 69c | 999.99$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7361…7be5backed Yes | 9c | 990$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.8 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Zama FDV above $1B one day after launch?this page
- Zama FDV above $2B one day after launch?No won
- Zama FDV above $300M one day after launch?Yes won
- Zama FDV above $3B one day after launch?No won
- Zama FDV above $400M one day after launch?No won
- Zama FDV above $4B one day after launch?No won
- Zama FDV above $500M one day after launch?No won
- Zama FDV above $600M one day after launch?No won
- Zama FDV above $800M one day after launch?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.