Token Launches · resolved market
Zama FDV above $400M one day after launch?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc508ff0789227d5b30afa1f45465864b470cdd2d6e5ff72fe72fdd10462a98c7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $374,872
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $369,847
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $374,872 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 448 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd946…ccf7backed Yes | 1c | 19,872$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.36 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8138…3c88backed No | 17c | 10,123$1,739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,383.65 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +41%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3402…9446backed No | 12c | 8,930$1,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,858.68 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xecc4…7a2abacked No | 49c | 8,827$4,329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,498.63 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +4.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc9…7552backed No | 28c | 7,660$2,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,512.41 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +4.6wins | +0.20per pick | 41cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd34f…b81abacked No | 59c | 6,697$3,963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,733.69 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.41per pick | 39cpaid | +122.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x91e1…5aecbacked Yes | 14c | 5,915$844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$844.16 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…dc5cbacked Yes | 58c | 5,865$3,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,407.38 | 68 | 36.8%25 W · 43 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe955…3b03backed Yes | 49c | 5,404$2,651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,651.23 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56bd…e58dbacked Yes | 66c | 5,113$3,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,395.2 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8944…41d5backed No | 15c | 4,497$692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,805.47 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 23cpaid | -9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd30…b342backed Yes | 0c | 4,400$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 40c | 4,196$1,698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,697.67 | 105 | 21.9%23 W · 82 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c42…deb7backed No | 23c | 4,000$922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,077.64 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5b4…3a74backed No | 22c | 4,000$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,120 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.78per pick | 22cpaid | +354.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e76…53f1backed Yes | 76c | 4,000$3,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,040 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…c691backed No | 10c | 4,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,599.98 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +4.9wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b2…a321backed No | 22c | 3,852$838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,014.06 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcd5…aa9ebacked Yes | 41c | 3,640$1,492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,492.4 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x841f…806bbacked Yes | 16c | 3,316$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.58 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -38%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57e4…835ebacked No | 33c | 3,200$1,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,136 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc456…8996backed Yes | 75c | 3,011$2,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,258.23 | 195 | 43.1%84 W · 111 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad23…47c4backed Yes | 53c | 3,000$1,578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,578 | 107 | 63.6%68 W · 39 L | +11.1wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ee…9597backed No | 26c | 2,684$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,990.81 | 162 | 47.5%77 W · 85 L | +13.9wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbace…3429backed No | 16c | 2,618$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,195.16 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ce5…9298backed Yes | 69c | 2,557$1,766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,765.53 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.42per pick | 75cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd71…559fbacked No | 23c | 2,500$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,925 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +334.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfbc…167cbacked Yes | 48c | 2,413$1,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,157.3 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf74b…95cbbacked Yes | 9c | 2,294$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.46 | 63 | 14.3%9 W · 54 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945e…f061backed Yes | 70c | 2,200$1,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,540 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3df7…f332backed No | 18c | 2,137$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,761.36 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf72…af1abacked Yes | 15c | 2,119$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.76 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa70…8fbebacked No | 24c | 2,100$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,596.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +316.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…6657backed No | 51c | 2,000$1,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$976.36 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +9.5wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3e…783bbacked No | 59c | 2,000$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +3.6wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbe…776dbacked No | 13c | 1,997$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,737.68 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 17cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd2d…84e6backed No | 18c | 1,900$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,549 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | +6.8wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaf34…f0ccbacked No | 24c | 1,900$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,444 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…64c3backed No | 15c | 1,891$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,605.79 | 33 | 18.2%6 W · 27 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebfd…dd70backed No | 60c | 1,843$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.69 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca53…d319backed Yes | 73c | 1,796$1,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,313.3 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.34per pick | 67cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 34c | 1,724$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.71 | 254 | 22%56 W · 198 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a97…593dbacked Yes | 72c | 1,718$1,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,240.25 | 87 | 28.7%25 W · 62 L | -14.9wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0c55…9e26backed Yes | 75c | 1,667$1,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250.55 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -34%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked No | 21c | 1,648$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300.51 | 28 | 10.7%3 W · 25 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 23cpaid | -69.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6305…9d0bbacked No | 12c | 1,603$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,403.49 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | +7.5wins | +0.14per pick | 25cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbf1b…5f4cbacked Yes | 38c | 1,589$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.3 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 6c | 1,578$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.82 | 233 | 3.4%8 W · 225 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -64.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeabd…3a01backed No | 23c | 1,563$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,204.81 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a9…2f62backed No | 9c | 1,536$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,397.63 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.40per pick | 31cpaid | +215.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked No | 57c | 1,500$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77e4…d18fbacked No | 7c | 1,500$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,395 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75cb…e79abacked No | 23c | 1,500$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,155 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +334.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d4d…b3f4backed No | 7c | 1,489$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,385.17 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | +10.3wins | +0.15per pick | 32cpaid | +61.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xda4c…2fecbacked Yes | 57c | 1,476$844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$843.71 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2229…6bf8backed No | 42c | 1,421$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$830.16 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +10.5wins | +0.28per pick | 35cpaid | +90.8%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x42c4…93a7backed Yes | 16c | 1,400$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 61 | 27.9%17 W · 44 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f9…c5e8backed No | 24c | 1,361$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,039.07 | 60 | 63.3%38 W · 22 L | +17.9wins | +0.30per pick | 34cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xd649…6bffbacked Yes | 20c | 1,352$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.06 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61d7…01f0backed Yes | 77c | 1,300$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,005 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 1c | 1,300$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 142 | 4.2%6 W · 136 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc903…b175backed No | 30c | 1,234$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$863.95 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +5.3wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e6…4bd4backed No | 31c | 1,170$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$805.24 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked No | 38c | 1,170$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.65 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a47…740bbacked No | 9c | 1,145$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,044.86 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a68…6679backed No | 29c | 1,118$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.24 | 153 | 62.7%96 W · 57 L | +22.4wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c1…51aabacked No | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,011.11 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +59.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 49c | 1,070$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.97 | 179 | 48%86 W · 93 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 32c | 1,053$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.66 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -50%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6452…30a1backed No | 27c | 1,045$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.75 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +12.0wins | +0.19per pick | 32cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked No | 24c | 1,029$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.66 | 141 | 41.8%59 W · 82 L | +8.8wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbca6…73e3backed No | 23c | 1,028$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$791.94 | 83 | 27.7%23 W · 60 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2090…2246backed No | 33c | 1,004$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.09 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d5…f4ddbacked Yes | 50c | 986.65$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68d7…1c0bbacked No | 51c | 979.15$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.42 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d85…e6f6backed No | 11c | 900$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$801 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08ea…0751backed No | 30c | 875.97$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.95 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -4.6wins | -0.14per pick | 38cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…bd7abacked No | 58c | 864.89$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.89 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3060…54babacked Yes | 12c | 846.73$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.15 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa3…3044backed No | 60c | 833.33$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.33 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93b7…7d51backed Yes | 68c | 831.29$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.28 | 205 | 51.2%105 W · 100 L | +13.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 33c | 812.4$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.56 | 357 | 12.9%46 W · 311 L | -29.9wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe730…e424backed No | 27c | 800$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584 | 69 | 34.8%24 W · 45 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fca…f72ebacked No | 7c | 799.93$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$745.94 | 131 | 31.3%41 W · 90 L | +12.1wins | +0.09per pick | 22cpaid | +164.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6e3a…0490backed Yes | 13c | 795.36$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d4…9c9abacked Yes | 26c | 791.38$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.52 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04fd…90d5backed Yes | 38c | 778.14$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.35 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabbe…8f37backed No | 58c | 775.86$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.86 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9e1…e5e1backed Yes | 69c | 775.32$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2471…6464backed No | 42c | 769.42$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.42 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc722…1334backed No | 32c | 766.19$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.48 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd71f…acd9backed Yes | 44c | 763.65$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.62 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a6…9018backed Yes | 78c | 700$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 78cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a84…c26fbacked No | 14c | 674.21$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.46 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa83…537bbacked Yes | 77c | 666.08$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.88 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde30…36a8backed Yes | 56c | 646.77$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0f…4ed4backed Yes | 78c | 641.49$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7205…ffd4backed No | 55c | 632.57$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.09 | 74 | 31.1%23 W · 51 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 38c | 606.86$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.58 | 130 | 54.6%71 W · 59 L | +10.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe25…8150backed Yes | 22c | 606.51$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.43 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Zama FDV above $400M one day after launch?this page
- Zama FDV above $1B one day after launch?No won
- Zama FDV above $2B one day after launch?No won
- Zama FDV above $300M one day after launch?Yes won
- Zama FDV above $3B one day after launch?No won
- Zama FDV above $4B one day after launch?No won
- Zama FDV above $500M one day after launch?No won
- Zama FDV above $600M one day after launch?No won
- Zama FDV above $800M one day after launch?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.