AI · resolved market
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by June 30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfb6367bf20cde47fbf38244e9a7f7f86c88f63117f7dc31d25cb93fe27f9f95f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $141,094
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $126,781
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $141,094 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0f58…0ff0backed No | 1c | 51,405$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.15 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -37%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8231…652bbacked No | 4c | 15,721$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671.58 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1437…acfebacked No | 1c | 10,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 39 | 0%0 W · 39 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed No | 0c | 6,037$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.37 | 256 | 0%0 W · 256 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked No | 20c | 6,000$1,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,207.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…820cbacked Yes | 79c | 2,721$2,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.41 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -73.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f1…fee6backed No | 21c | 2,133$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.37 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -78.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 4c | 2,128$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.12 | 178 | 24.2%43 W · 135 L | -12.4wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -56%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x59c6…8332backed No | 21c | 1,864$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…6f25backed Yes | 79c | 1,808$1,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.83 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7994…c512backed No | 7c | 1,697$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.58 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 3c | 1,512$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.99 | 1,363 | 6.8%93 W · 1,270 L | -20.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6b4…6709backed No | 1c | 1,240$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 5c | 1,199$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.01 | 415 | 7.2%30 W · 385 L | -26.1wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -69%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c1…16c0backed No | 25c | 1,079$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54db…0174backed No | 22c | 1,005$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.36 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +50%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 21c | 998.27$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.28 | 294 | 30.6%90 W · 204 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc610…e57dbacked Yes | 77c | 962.99$742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.49 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +29%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…bbdbbacked No | 26c | 880.73$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.48 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.30per pick | 44cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa61e…0abdbacked Yes | 74c | 872.76$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.92 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6c…998fbacked Yes | 76c | 699.52$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.21 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0845…6b6fbacked Yes | 78c | 683.45$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.36 | 63 | 34.9%22 W · 41 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe95e…61f2backed Yes | 75c | 640$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.18per pick | 41cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f63…f247backed No | 23c | 502.64$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.37 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x087b…713ebacked No | 24c | 500$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 5c | 488.1$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.49 | 198 | 18.7%37 W · 161 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 80c | 468.68$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.67 | 479 | 38%182 W · 297 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa65…8e78backed No | 27c | 410.37$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4061…dde5backed No | 27c | 374.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80c9…e971backed No | 13c | 328.08$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 79c | 301.25$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.61 | 729 | 35.5%259 W · 470 L | -57.8wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0561…51c7backed No | 20c | 284.49$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1683…0646backed Yes | 77c | 259.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11f8…1c4ebacked No | 6c | 228$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +7.2wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf7…2e27backed No | 5c | 215.76$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.08 | 175 | 4%7 W · 168 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5b…4ef4backed No | 20c | 205$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac0e…c0bfbacked No | 21c | 204.38$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe215…a3d9backed No | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed No | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8fc…0d3bbacked No | 21c | 199.5$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.06 | 72 | 23.6%17 W · 55 L | -8.1wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6c12…748fbacked No | 15c | 185.01$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.52 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.25per pick | 39cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…30abbacked No | 17c | 180.75$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.63 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab2…decabacked No | 23c | 176.79$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94d8…37e6backed Yes | 74c | 169.99$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.2 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f33…914ebacked Yes | 78c | 160.05$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.34 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 9c | 159.28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.76 | 191 | 20.9%40 W · 151 L | -20.8wins | -0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xff46…87b7backed No | 20c | 157.91$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x188a…92bfbacked No | 26c | 153.85$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x272d…9e36backed No | 24c | 150$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb154…a8dcbacked No | 13c | 150$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed No | 17c | 147.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.55 | 297 | 7.7%23 W · 274 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 9c | 147.93$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.12 | 207 | 31.9%66 W · 141 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91d7…0dfcbacked Yes | 78c | 144.66$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.44 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.5wins | +0.22per pick | 47cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed Yes | 77c | 141.33$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.82 | 288 | 26.7%77 W · 211 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d01…fe71backed No | 15c | 136.13$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9f…624cbacked No | 14c | 135.06$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.86 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d89…e2f4backed Yes | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b95…a426backed No | 23c | 130$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -27%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed No | 19c | 129.4$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.92 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…69bdbacked Yes | 80c | 123.35$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…b140backed No | 16c | 120$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 75 | 29.3%22 W · 53 L | -11.8wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd577…8af0backed No | 22c | 112.36$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb41…111fbacked No | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e9f…91dbbacked No | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 22cpaid | -89.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x168f…9e00backed No | 24c | 104.55$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.36 | 107 | 30.8%33 W · 74 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb986…4b60backed No | 24c | 104.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d1b…7676backed Yes | 80c | 101.25$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.25 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed No | 20c | 101$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 164 | 18.9%31 W · 133 L | -21.7wins | -0.13per pick | 32cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e7…68e0backed No | 23c | 100.06$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c80…4e2bbacked Yes | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fd…948ebacked No | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb99…7364backed No | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed No | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 84 | 33.3%28 W · 56 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x81e7…7389backed Yes | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x48d5…ec29backed Yes | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -48%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac42…60d1backed No | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c6…beb4backed No | 18c | 99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f99…6734backed Yes | 80c | 95$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -25%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb777…3ff9backed No | 23c | 90$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.1 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | -5.3wins | -0.14per pick | 38cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc36a…050abacked No | 24c | 90$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3287…7058backed No | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb719…c1e1backed No | 17c | 86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43c6…e2c5backed Yes | 78c | 84.34$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e81…864bbacked Yes | 78c | 80$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07e0…1db9backed Yes | 80c | 80$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +69.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd1d…ca4cbacked No | 23c | 77.4$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c05…20fabacked No | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x568b…f9f3backed No | 23c | 70$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cc…cdcdbacked No | 23c | 70$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74cf…38a5backed Yes | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe788…736bbacked Yes | 75c | 66.51$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c1…128fbacked No | 21c | 65.7$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d5b…5d41backed Yes | 19c | 60$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.6 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.48per pick | 32cpaid | +191.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3b8d…415cbacked No | 18c | 59.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e1e…f7f9backed No | 21c | 59.87$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe628…a734backed No | 23c | 57.53$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9259…c2d3backed Yes | 77c | 55$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.55 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.15per pick | 64cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x938e…2ee3backed No | 22c | 54.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.92 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd84…1292backed No | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45dd…7181backed Yes | 73c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by June 30?this page
- Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by June 30?Yes won
- Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.6T by June 30?Yes won
- Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by June 30?Yes won
- Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.25T by June 30?Yes won
- Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?Yes won
- Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?No won
- Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.5T by June 30?No won
- Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by June 30?No won
- Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.35T by June 30?No won
- Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.3T by June 30?No won
- Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.45T by June 30?No won
- Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.4T by June 30?Yes won
- Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.4T by June 30?No won
- Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.5T by June 30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.