Fifa International · resolved market
Belgium vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 3.5 Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8bf43b17590c117eed348eada86ffb5cc98e0376d7b98dba2f8e23890f4db765
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,555
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,663
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,555 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbab6…50a2backed Under | 66c | 1,076$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707.87 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 26c | 857.87$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.77 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd604…cb5fbacked Under | 57c | 467.75$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.62 | 335 | 55.5%186 W · 149 L | +19.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 55c | 366.14$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.06 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 62c | 334.93$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.82 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked Over | 43c | 300$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 1,206 | 50.2%606 W · 600 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…870cbacked Over | 43c | 269.99$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.1 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.18per pick | 39cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 74c | 259.47$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.27 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb980…73b0backed Over | 45c | 238.29$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.42 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +7.7wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 55c | 177.33$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.53 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a51…a98fbacked Over | 55c | 162.93$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.93 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Over | 29c | 161$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.31 | 770 | 51.3%395 W · 375 L | +29.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…0482backed Over | 43c | 154.54$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.58 | 265 | 37.7%100 W · 165 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 71c | 152.19$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.23 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Over | 30c | 148.02$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103 | 791 | 49.2%389 W · 402 L | +28.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Over | 29c | 125$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.75 | 275 | 54.5%150 W · 125 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 54c | 120.35$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.23 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 45c | 84.93$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.72 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc162…40bbbacked Under | 59c | 84.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 29c | 74$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.54 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 45c | 72$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed Over | 44c | 58.92$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 572 | 52.4%300 W · 272 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc54…db0ebacked Under | 56c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 196 | 53.6%105 W · 91 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 41c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 1,669 | 41.6%694 W · 975 L | +15.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Over | 41c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 481 | 47.8%230 W · 251 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…0308backed Under | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 470 | 49.4%232 W · 238 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 44c | 41.74$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8a…a117backed Over | 29c | 38.03$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 88 | 63.6%56 W · 32 L | +10.2wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 55c | 33$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.15 | 765 | 51.6%395 W · 370 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6e…6e40backed Under | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3b…cea6backed Over | 45c | 23$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.65 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…d7eabacked Under | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Belgium vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 3.5 Cornersthis page
- Belgium vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- Belgium vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Belgium vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Belgium vs. Egypt: Belgium O/U 5.5 CornersUnder won
- Belgium vs. Egypt: Belgium O/U 6.5 CornersUnder won
- Belgium vs. Egypt: Belgium O/U 7.5 CornersUnder won
- Belgium vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 2.5 CornersOver won
- Belgium vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 4.5 CornersOver won
- Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 10.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 13.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 6.5 Total CornersOver won
- Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 7.5 Total CornersOver won
- Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 8.5 Total CornersOver won
- Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 9.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Belgium vs. Egypt: Team to Take First CornerEgypt won
- Belgium vs. Egypt: Total Corners Odd or Even?Odd won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.