Fifa International · resolved market
Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 12.5 Total Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5681bf16565e4c8233e4cf848411bfa2f7e099d80d0804ea5d2b51dc1735766f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,612
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,576
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,612 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Over | 25c | 811.13$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 894 | 43.4%388 W · 506 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6db…cdd2backed Over | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 145 | 8.3%12 W · 133 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 76c | 433.68$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.63 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26eb…22d0backed Over | 18c | 419.6$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.53 | 291 | 54%157 W · 134 L | +21.1wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…0550backed Over | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 356 | 14.3%51 W · 305 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 76c | 332.99$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.52 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 76c | 332.25$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.25 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16e7…3925backed Under | 77c | 249.99$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.5 | 98 | 38.8%38 W · 60 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 49c | 231.15$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.24 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e78…3945backed Over | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 195 | 29.7%58 W · 137 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1f…08a6backed Over | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 252 | 21.4%54 W · 198 L | -15.6wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ab…bbdcbacked Under | 78c | 166.4$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.61 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.16per pick | 63cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d5e…b7e4backed Under | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36d7…e9ecbacked Under | 77c | 38.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26e8…1c01backed Under | 80c | 20.96$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.19 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d54…6022backed Under | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 128 | 71.9%92 W · 36 L | +14.6wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 12.5 Total Cornersthis page
- Belgium vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- Belgium vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Belgium vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Belgium vs. Egypt: Belgium O/U 5.5 CornersUnder won
- Belgium vs. Egypt: Belgium O/U 6.5 CornersUnder won
- Belgium vs. Egypt: Belgium O/U 7.5 CornersUnder won
- Belgium vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 2.5 CornersOver won
- Belgium vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 3.5 CornersOver won
- Belgium vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 4.5 CornersOver won
- Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 10.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 13.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 6.5 Total CornersOver won
- Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 7.5 Total CornersOver won
- Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 8.5 Total CornersOver won
- Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 9.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Belgium vs. Egypt: Team to Take First CornerEgypt won
- Belgium vs. Egypt: Total Corners Odd or Even?Odd won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.