Tennis · resolved market
Royan: Max Alcala Gurri vs Andres Santamarta
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x84d299f6cf1e1fc98f173aec6095b4fd824f98dc92b5c44018ae41c30d258407
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Max Alcala Gurriof Max Alcala Gurri, Andres Santamarta
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,197
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,909
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,197 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Andres Santamarta | 27c | 2,202$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.6 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Max Alcala Gurri | 73c | 1,798$1,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.37 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Andres Santamarta | 40c | 1,164$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.62 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Andres Santamarta | 15c | 1,034$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.13 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Max Alcala Gurri | 47c | 981.88$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.22 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Andres Santamarta | 14c | 569.27$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Andres Santamarta | 26c | 430.4$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.29 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed Andres Santamarta | 33c | 316.44$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.44 | 1,429 | 44.2%631 W · 798 L | -23.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Andres Santamarta | 12c | 280$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 920 | 46.6%429 W · 491 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Max Alcala Gurri | 74c | 266.66$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.33 | 1,458 | 54%787 W · 671 L | -33.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec3…e330backed Max Alcala Gurri | 56c | 263.57$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.25 | 433 | 47.3%205 W · 228 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a51…a98fbacked Andres Santamarta | 39c | 255.54$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Max Alcala Gurri | 73c | 184.58$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.84 | 1,021 | 57.8%590 W · 431 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Andres Santamarta | 29c | 167.4$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.2 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe134…f6dabacked Max Alcala Gurri | 67c | 153.2$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.96 | 239 | 54.8%131 W · 108 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Max Alcala Gurri | 72c | 149.99$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Max Alcala Gurri | 61c | 142.28$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.49 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c97…5c66backed Max Alcala Gurri | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 483 | 55.1%266 W · 217 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e38…1b52backed Andres Santamarta | 28c | 111.92$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.34 | 619 | 24.4%151 W · 468 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…8048backed Max Alcala Gurri | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 412 | 72.8%300 W · 112 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Andres Santamarta | 28c | 90$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Max Alcala Gurri | 67c | 86.87$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.67 | 2,418 | 51.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L | +10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2814…b0ccbacked Max Alcala Gurri | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb70…52c0backed Max Alcala Gurri | 71c | 63.38$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.38 | 394 | 69%272 W · 122 L | +27.8wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed Andres Santamarta | 26c | 48.07$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 1,300 | 36.9%480 W · 820 L | -34.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…6d66backed Max Alcala Gurri | 49c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54d1…13f4backed Andres Santamarta | 50c | 29.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 737 | 48%354 W · 383 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc15c…a6b0backed Max Alcala Gurri | 73c | 28.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.57 | 287 | 58.5%168 W · 119 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdff6…0918backed Max Alcala Gurri | 73c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.64 | 498 | 57%284 W · 214 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb514…0e4ebacked Max Alcala Gurri | 73c | 22.85$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65ec…a2f9backed Andres Santamarta | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 450 | 53.3%240 W · 210 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…36b8backed Max Alcala Gurri | 64c | 17.43$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.23 | 391 | 61.4%240 W · 151 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Royan: Max Alcala Gurri vs Andres Santamartathis page
- Set Handicap: Gurri (-1.5) vs Santamarta (+1.5)Gurri won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.