TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Lin Zhu vs Sinja Kraus

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Lin Zhuof Lin Zhu, Sinja Kraus
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$90,491
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$86,573

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $90,491 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Sinja Kraus35c21,049$7,385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,384.9593740.6%380 W · 557 L-32.2wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-24.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Sinja Kraus17c11,477$1,923 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,922.698,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Lin Zhu71c7,150$5,077 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,073.161,19348.9%583 W · 610 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa82a…a759backed Lin Zhu56c6,978$3,903 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,074.1633955.2%187 W · 152 L+18.2wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5c50…e0c9backed Sinja Kraus29c6,854$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00042131.6%133 W · 288 L-10.7wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Lin Zhu70c4,462$3,133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,329.6511,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Lin Zhu70c3,579$2,508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,071.016,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Lin Zhu61c3,153$1,933 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,219.894,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x459e…7dd1backed Sinja Kraus47c3,100$1,457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,456.9910642.5%45 W · 61 L-0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf44…71a4backed Lin Zhu51c3,036$1,559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,476.569532.6%31 W · 64 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Lin Zhu78c1,990$1,547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.154,18544.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L+14.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91b6…4b40backed Sinja Kraus14c1,741$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25030625.8%79 W · 227 L-28.6wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-29.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc3df…9945backed Lin Zhu46c1,522$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$821.7426847.8%128 W · 140 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Lin Zhu52c1,343$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$643.121,86544.7%834 W · 1,031 L+36.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9def…6eacbacked Sinja Kraus47c1,311$616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6162536%9 W · 16 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Lin Zhu61c1,293$789 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503.415,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa43a…1475backed Sinja Kraus34c1,183$404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4043116.1%5 W · 26 L-5.7wins-0.18per pick35cpaid-71.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xcb45…0cadbacked Lin Zhu73c1,059$772 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.3511963.9%76 W · 43 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick63cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5098…48debacked Sinja Kraus25c1,002$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.392147.6%10 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+28.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd034…eecebacked Sinja Kraus49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4902,73534%931 W · 1,804 L-13.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Lin Zhu53c945.86$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.871,86545.6%851 W · 1,014 L+50.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x05a8…9c7fbacked Lin Zhu58c683.22$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.95333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-42.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5cbb…75a1backed Sinja Kraus12c622.91$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7611338.9%44 W · 69 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7736…6f6abacked Sinja Kraus21c607.39$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1307716.9%13 W · 64 L-7.6wins-0.10per pick27cpaid-54.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x26a7…4fbabacked Sinja Kraus20c591.73$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.367428.4%21 W · 53 L-4.7wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-28.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Sinja Kraus58c567.02$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.381,44648.8%706 W · 740 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6712…a95bbacked Sinja Kraus23c478.74$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.1114146.1%65 W · 76 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Lin Zhu61c451.12$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.774,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba3e…4cbcbacked Lin Zhu51c424.75$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.133063.3%19 W · 11 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick72cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Lin Zhu61c421.07$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.121,65550.1%829 W · 826 L+30.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x28e0…2e6bbacked Sinja Kraus45c400$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18051744.7%231 W · 286 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec5a…cd56backed Sinja Kraus10c400$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404841.7%20 W · 28 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-27.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4232…d505backed Sinja Kraus24c397.04$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.2937235.2%131 W · 241 L-12.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Sinja Kraus46c377.52$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.995,26128.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L-19.4wins0.00per pick29cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb1a0…fb89backed Sinja Kraus16c362.78$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.0418741.2%77 W · 110 L+0.9wins0.00per pick41cpaid+13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Lin Zhu73c315$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.12,06148.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L+35.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e27…ca89backed Sinja Kraus28c300$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x041b…d3ebbacked Lin Zhu75c280.69$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.6915752.2%82 W · 75 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe857…7b3bbacked Sinja Kraus19c268.42$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5083823.2%194 W · 644 L-58.0wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-26.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc4b1…10f8backed Sinja Kraus46c257.81$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.861442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid+6.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5404…5e58backed Sinja Kraus19c249.97$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.7968430%205 W · 479 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa44a…88ecbacked Lin Zhu56c243.21$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.0152557%299 W · 226 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d29…f683backed Sinja Kraus44c239.99$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.633647.3%159 W · 177 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6f2e…7c7bbacked Lin Zhu53c235.75$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.51,06557.4%611 W · 454 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf876…1deebacked Sinja Kraus44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005947.5%28 W · 31 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Lin Zhu65c214.02$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.963,06857.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L+173.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Sinja Kraus28c207.55$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.981,87016%299 W · 1,571 L-314.3wins-0.17per pick33cpaid-65.6%equal weight32-0.17 edge/pick
0x8ae3…3c15backed Sinja Kraus46c184.78$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8568350.1%342 W · 341 L-25.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4d1c…8408backed Sinja Kraus34c170.59$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5819048.4%92 W · 98 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Lin Zhu66c170.59$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$584,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Sinja Kraus30c167.79$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.978,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Sinja Kraus17c162.09$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.2395050.1%476 W · 474 L-10.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07cd…fbebbacked Lin Zhu57c140.28$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.3213243.9%58 W · 74 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72a0…9bc4backed Lin Zhu79c132.3$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.7847274.4%351 W · 121 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick73cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16c8…1badbacked Sinja Kraus19c131.58$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257041.4%29 W · 41 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-17%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Sinja Kraus46c127$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.793,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe897…0b3bbacked Lin Zhu75c119.94$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.0218855.3%104 W · 84 L-10.9wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-13.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb5e7…2008backed Lin Zhu57c115.79$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.792100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Sinja Kraus43c115.79$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.797,04939.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L-20.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36b4…d723backed Sinja Kraus44c100$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4419146.6%89 W · 102 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Lin Zhu73c97.09$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.593,66145.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L-8.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5a6…08bfbacked Sinja Kraus20c95.59$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.065633.9%19 W · 37 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-17.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f1d…2fb6backed Sinja Kraus48c90$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.21,55642.4%660 W · 896 L+20.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2725…e7d1backed Sinja Kraus46c90$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.2243952.4%230 W · 209 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x43f3…293cbacked Sinja Kraus21c87.68$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.4111133.3%37 W · 74 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-13.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a51…a98fbacked Sinja Kraus60c83.3$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502944.8%13 W · 16 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x54d1…3abfbacked Sinja Kraus50c82$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4126734.1%91 W · 176 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d9a…05e6backed Lin Zhu74c81.81$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.362,08544.5%928 W · 1,157 L-51.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x167a…d542backed Lin Zhu64c76$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.361,83759.2%1,088 W · 749 L+8.4wins0.00per pick59cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2077…8161backed Lin Zhu51c75.96$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.221,02157.8%590 W · 431 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Sinja Kraus47c74.47$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353,22040.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L+28.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Sinja Kraus47c74.47$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353,42439.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L-12.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x530b…244fbacked Lin Zhu42c71.43$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.433735.1%13 W · 24 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8706…008cbacked Lin Zhu69c70.03$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.865072%36 W · 14 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick68cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Lin Zhu53c68.99$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.097,13949.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L+109.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb911…d6d0backed Sinja Kraus19c68.42$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132948.3%14 W · 15 L-4.5wins-0.16per pick64cpaid-29.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9740…8609backed Lin Zhu76c68.42$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.421100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfffa…17c5backed Lin Zhu72c67.47$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.7336545.2%165 W · 200 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-20.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Sinja Kraus23c65.76$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.941,06242%446 W · 616 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb77…1c78backed Sinja Kraus47c63.83$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302,15137.3%802 W · 1,349 L-27.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe901…3139backed Sinja Kraus48c62.63$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3023832.4%77 W · 161 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-24%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3cf…2147backed Sinja Kraus46c58$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.822360.9%14 W · 9 L+4.1wins+0.18per pick43cpaid+65.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x17f7…a181backed Sinja Kraus44c54.55$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2451347%241 W · 272 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x985d…33c9backed Sinja Kraus47c53.21$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251,30036.9%480 W · 820 L-34.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe4ab…7d30backed Sinja Kraus27c52.07$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.061020%2 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.19per pick39cpaid-62.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x097c…630abacked Lin Zhu79c50.63$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.6321052.4%110 W · 100 L-12.1wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-12.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x626d…e570backed Sinja Kraus44c50$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2252035.2%183 W · 337 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1486…cef3backed Sinja Kraus21c49.86$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.476045%27 W · 33 L+0.3wins0.00per pick45cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a48…e3a8backed Lin Zhu72c48.25$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.6619459.3%115 W · 79 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00b4…87bfbacked Lin Zhu57c43.86$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.864763.8%30 W · 17 L+5.2wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+19.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9ee0…1006backed Lin Zhu79c37.78$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.937462.2%46 W · 28 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0ee…8067backed Lin Zhu56c35.71$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.7149955.1%275 W · 224 L-7.4wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5820…b6f6backed Sinja Kraus45c33.33$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158959.6%53 W · 36 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x13cc…962bbacked Lin Zhu64c31.25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.254746.8%22 W · 25 L+4.4wins+0.09per pick37cpaid+9.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x90e0…ff4cbacked Lin Zhu54c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.839851%203 W · 195 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb70…52c0backed Lin Zhu63c30$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.139469%272 W · 122 L+27.8wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+10.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2965…0dedbacked Lin Zhu54c26.86$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.3658539.5%231 W · 354 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5151…fba8backed Lin Zhu77c26.68$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.1438074.5%283 W · 97 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick73cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x476e…cfb9backed Lin Zhu65c26$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.135060.9%213 W · 137 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x629c…3f90backed Lin Zhu79c25.32$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.3215570.3%109 W · 46 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick66cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.