TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Open Sud de France: Ugo Humbert vs Adrian Mannarino

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Mannarinoof Humbert, Mannarino
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$537,861
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$567,303

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $537,861 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 219 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5877…d894backed Mannarino11c131,638$14,942 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116,696.6311633.6%39 W · 77 L-7.1wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Mannarino24c41,204$9,928 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,276.272,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd995…2b51backed Mannarino16c16,885$2,770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,115.273417.6%6 W · 28 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick16cpaid-12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2727…eef4backed Mannarino10c14,466$1,491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,975.1219134%65 W · 126 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Humbert72c10,705$7,729 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,728.9411,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Mannarino19c9,883$1,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,002.9976140.6%309 W · 452 L-15.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Humbert70c9,000$6,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,259.9734047.4%161 W · 179 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed Humbert67c7,424$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00048851.6%252 W · 236 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Humbert80c7,159$5,722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,722.058,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c2e…9e01backed Mannarino12c6,520$809 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,711.338040%32 W · 48 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid+13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Mannarino19c6,220$1,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,039.2765647.6%312 W · 344 L+17.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0113…6f26backed Mannarino15c5,977$907 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,069.6412949.6%64 W · 65 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe5c1…7487backed Mannarino17c5,952$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,952.387630.3%23 W · 53 L+0.2wins0.00per pick30cpaid+10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77f6…6be9backed Humbert1c5,685$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x583f…2dabbacked Mannarino65c5,405$3,510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,895.433336.4%12 W · 21 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01b4…372ebacked Humbert2c5,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100755.3%4 W · 71 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick2cpaid+33.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Humbert72c4,318$3,123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,123.380938.8%314 W · 495 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-23.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Humbert75c4,010$3,009 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,009.1211242.9%48 W · 64 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-22.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Mannarino19c3,800$722 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,077.9612147.1%57 W · 64 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7297…814ebacked Humbert58c3,696$2,132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,132.41070%7 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick54cpaid+40.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Mannarino34c3,161$1,079 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,081.637,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2dc3…9d67backed Mannarino23c3,095$708 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,387.2639431%122 W · 272 L-11.0wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Humbert80c3,000$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,4005354.7%29 W · 24 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Mannarino17c2,864$487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,376.9410443.3%45 W · 59 L+8.4wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+26.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x78e0…375bbacked Mannarino36c2,812$1,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,809.652055%11 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Mannarino24c2,753$671 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,081.651,00846%464 W · 544 L-19.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe167…03a1backed Mannarino23c2,729$637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,091.4831647.8%151 W · 165 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Mannarino25c2,661$653 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,008.4197046.6%452 W · 518 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Mannarino37c2,419$889 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,530.21,10641%454 W · 652 L+2.5wins0.00per pick41cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb589…33d4backed Humbert5c2,400$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12010815.7%17 W · 91 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick13cpaid+248.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x06af…11cbbacked Humbert60c2,341$1,394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3942334.8%8 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-18%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Mannarino51c2,332$1,191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,141.121,10742.8%474 W · 633 L-20.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Mannarino33c2,307$759 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,547.932,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Humbert53c2,256$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2001,44648.8%706 W · 740 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4042…0bdabacked Mannarino16c2,194$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,841.5598240.1%394 W · 588 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed Humbert69c2,173$1,499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,499.2521147.9%101 W · 110 L-16.5wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-13.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Mannarino12c2,122$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,868.036,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x903f…de5fbacked Mannarino33c2,116$689 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,426.9716830.4%51 W · 117 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2575…bf1ebacked Mannarino17c2,043$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,703.052634.6%9 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick34cpaid+20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked Mannarino18c1,980$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,625.7527836.3%101 W · 177 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4fab…708bbacked Mannarino12c1,908$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,687.821,27630.4%388 W · 888 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d3d…189dbacked Humbert65c1,825$1,193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,192.814351.2%22 W · 21 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3302…5397backed Humbert73c1,644$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2004158.5%24 W · 17 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick67cpaid-10.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1e33…afb3backed Humbert63c1,587$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00062061.9%384 W · 236 L-18.7wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9346…cb76backed Mannarino38c1,579$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$978.95580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+79.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x57ba…d369backed Humbert69c1,449$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0008053.8%43 W · 37 L-5.3wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-13.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4173…d3edbacked Mannarino17c1,424$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,181.5355646.4%258 W · 298 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1574…64c9backed Humbert50c1,410$712 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$711.5947639.1%186 W · 290 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf71a…fa40backed Humbert68c1,405$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$960.262231.8%7 W · 15 L-4.4wins-0.20per pick52cpaid-51.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x05f9…f351backed Mannarino13c1,150$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$999.018445.2%38 W · 46 L+0.3wins0.00per pick45cpaid+8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2020…7e22backed Mannarino26c1,060$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$785.74055%22 W · 18 L+5.8wins+0.15per pick40cpaid+25.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Humbert67c1,036$699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.022,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Humbert71c1,034$733 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$733.3238348%184 W · 199 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ba6…0f07backed Mannarino19c1,000$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81066949.6%332 W · 337 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30ae…4318backed Mannarino72c1,000$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2807375.3%55 W · 18 L+5.4wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb893…bf4bbacked Mannarino31c824$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$566.363247.6%301 W · 331 L-15.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Mannarino28c815.91$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$585.962,06834.9%721 W · 1,347 L-44.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8bfa…a8debacked Mannarino25c785.6$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$589.235951.3%184 W · 175 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d1d…4773backed Mannarino20c758.6$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$607.4850%4 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+39.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfcf1…99d3backed Mannarino34c743.03$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490.1938652.3%202 W · 184 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8e5…9401backed Humbert69c721.36$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003050%15 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7be1…200ebacked Mannarino35c693.93$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447.9325152.6%132 W · 119 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0354…2913backed Mannarino69c688.92$476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.251154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Humbert73c683.24$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.493,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbff9…009dbacked Mannarino39c677.08$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$412.084250%21 W · 21 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Mannarino15c645.58$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$548.464,42651.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L+136.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0424…cba8backed Humbert59c639.67$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.05250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+37.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec06…9d24backed Mannarino15c638.42$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$542.821546.7%7 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+29.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf606…440abacked Mannarino16c625$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5252556%14 W · 11 L+5.5wins+0.22per pick34cpaid+86.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x49ed…a2fbbacked Mannarino19c613$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$496.5320043.5%87 W · 113 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x46f1…7295backed Humbert63c586.05$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.2118663.4%118 W · 68 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Mannarino17c582.76$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$483.1924846%114 W · 134 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7972…594fbacked Humbert69c579.71$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40013260.6%80 W · 52 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e28…df76backed Mannarino19c526.32$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.326835.3%24 W · 44 L-3.9wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-16.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb1a0…c18cbacked Mannarino10c498.42$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$448.412033.3%40 W · 80 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed Mannarino21c488.89$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.6625542%107 W · 148 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-14.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Mannarino27c478.48$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.5475748.6%368 W · 389 L+16.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ab0…b46abacked Mannarino12c476.92$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.6923735%83 W · 154 L+0.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26fb…67b8backed Humbert68c475.52$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.6165157.1%372 W · 279 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ca1…ddcdbacked Humbert60c467.2$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.6618337.7%69 W · 114 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Mannarino18c412$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.8421338.5%82 W · 131 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+15.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x35ea…99bcbacked Humbert77c400$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30924060.8%146 W · 94 L-0.5wins0.00per pick61cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1dd6…8577backed Humbert72c398.54$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.9510943.1%47 W · 62 L-9.0wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-17.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9f0f…a571backed Mannarino32c390.63$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.6337339.1%146 W · 227 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Mannarino17c381$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.4625428%71 W · 183 L-13.4wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-24.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe611…b0b4backed Mannarino49c377.29$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.131428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick40cpaid-35.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x93c8…adffbacked Mannarino16c375$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31526847%126 W · 142 L-8.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x48ee…0db4backed Mannarino19c345.74$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.0554547.9%261 W · 284 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0ac…fd51backed Mannarino29c344.83$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.8328444.7%127 W · 157 L+13.7wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+13.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Mannarino32c323.36$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.8452037.7%196 W · 324 L-30.8wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-27.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2c89…526abacked Mannarino10c323.06$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.0624638.2%94 W · 152 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked Humbert66c301.52$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19928952.6%152 W · 137 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd08…0635backed Humbert70c300$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21170465.2%459 W · 245 L+29.1wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdac1…c3e1backed Mannarino17c300$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2496839.7%27 W · 41 L+6.8wins+0.10per pick30cpaid+2.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Mannarino14c299.98$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.9829636.8%109 W · 187 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19f8…98f9backed Humbert70c285.71$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010862%67 W · 41 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba58…28c2backed Humbert73c276.61$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20365652.1%342 W · 314 L+7.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5acf…0df2backed Mannarino36c264.89$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.424242.9%18 W · 24 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x41da…0b58backed Mannarino8c262.5$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.512722%28 W · 99 L+9.9wins+0.08per pick14cpaid+55.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x640b…ec00backed Mannarino46c260$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.19738.1%37 W · 60 L-4.9wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.