Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Humbert (-1.5) vs Mannarino (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbf1254c08503a698b71b376593b46f54bc905987634aadc4e808b85adfcc91e0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mannarinoof Humbert, Mannarino
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,090
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,755
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,090 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9dea…3792backed Humbert | 67c | 1,487$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 369 | 68%251 W · 118 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Mannarino | 41c | 1,188$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.91 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Mannarino | 36c | 1,111$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711.1 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c2e…9e01backed Mannarino | 45c | 794.43$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.13 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed9…9949backed Humbert | 61c | 649.98$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.49 | 465 | 53.8%250 W · 215 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…583abacked Humbert | 64c | 537.45$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.59 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Humbert | 63c | 462.7$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.87 | 632 | 47.6%301 W · 331 L | -15.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4173…d3edbacked Mannarino | 50c | 425.26$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.69 | 556 | 46.4%258 W · 298 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x007c…82fdbacked Humbert | 50c | 390$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…f1f3backed Humbert | 62c | 300$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Humbert | 67c | 287.67$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.3 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Mannarino | 36c | 257.94$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa373…b6dcbacked Mannarino | 39c | 256.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.67 | 543 | 48.1%261 W · 282 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Mannarino | 28c | 196.64$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.77 | 278 | 36.3%101 W · 177 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1985…8cbdbacked Humbert | 63c | 159.94$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4794…d6e5backed Mannarino | 37c | 148.65$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.65 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Mannarino | 48c | 135$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.27 | 520 | 37.7%196 W · 324 L | -30.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…df56backed Mannarino | 36c | 124$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.36 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Mannarino | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 328 | 42.7%140 W · 188 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Humbert | 59c | 85.93$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.36 | 884 | 46.8%414 W · 470 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Mannarino | 39c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Mannarino | 39c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 275 | 43.3%119 W · 156 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9209…dc9bbacked Mannarino | 45c | 48.89$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.89 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Mannarino | 32c | 46.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.82 | 348 | 42.2%147 W · 201 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25bb…6069backed Humbert | 68c | 46.79$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.82 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd4…7696backed Humbert | 64c | 43.75$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 437 | 49%214 W · 223 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Mannarino | 38c | 42.42$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.18 | 884 | 55%486 W · 398 L | +37.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d43…fc99backed Humbert | 62c | 40.46$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe575…8b12backed Mannarino | 45c | 40.42$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.42 | 79 | 41.8%33 W · 46 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38d0…0671backed Mannarino | 36c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.6 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Mannarino | 37c | 39.04$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.59 | 1,245 | 33.9%422 W · 823 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6525…c12cbacked Humbert | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Mannarino | 46c | 29.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.3 | 248 | 46%114 W · 134 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dae…a50bbacked Humbert | 76c | 26.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.51 | 157 | 52.2%82 W · 75 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Humbert (-1.5) vs Mannarino (+1.5)this page
- Humbert vs. Mannarino: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Humbert vs. Mannarino: Match O/U 22.5Over won
- Humbert vs. Mannarino: Match O/U 23.5Over won
- Humbert vs. Mannarino: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Over won
- Humbert vs. Mannarino: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
- Open Sud de France: Ugo Humbert vs Adrian MannarinoMannarino won
- Set 1 Winner: Humbert vs MannarinoHumbert won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.