NFL · resolved market
Seahawks Team Total: O/U 22.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd23abc715f3c4399c77b69fa8dbbb71d260170b6643f7e4bede4fc7b6c167d33
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $153,695
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $157,333
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $153,695 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 65c | 80,169$52,308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,861.1 | 758 | 52.5%398 W · 360 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…d24dbacked Under | 35c | 60,949$21,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,326.28 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Under | 34c | 13,833$4,703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,703.1 | 81 | 56.8%46 W · 35 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc44d…935cbacked Under | 33c | 5,800$1,914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,913.99 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee8…7336backed Over | 68c | 5,549$3,773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,775.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b60…c2b9backed Under | 32c | 5,463$1,748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,748.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87bc…179bbacked Over | 68c | 4,036$2,745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,291.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdcb…81dbbacked Under | 32c | 3,973$1,271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,271.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0901…47b2backed Over | 67c | 3,831$2,567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,264.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd442…4280backed Under | 33c | 3,754$1,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,238.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Over | 68c | 2,954$2,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$932.12 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0cd…ad30backed Over | 67c | 2,587$1,733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$853.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe9…0e43backed Under | 33c | 2,568$848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$847.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad39…9c25backed Over | 68c | 2,437$1,657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98eb…3d02backed Under | 32c | 2,411$772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$771.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c0a…03f0backed Under | 32c | 2,159$691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$691 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47cd…f0d9backed Over | 68c | 2,124$1,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f53…6f12backed Under | 33c | 1,889$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b2…3650backed Over | 67c | 1,879$1,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf32e…3030backed Under | 32c | 1,766$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27ad…3f0ebacked Over | 68c | 1,745$1,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb350…3523backed Under | 32c | 1,661$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9548…8d96backed Over | 68c | 1,660$1,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…fa68backed Over | 67c | 1,419$951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24e5…91a9backed Under | 33c | 1,394$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62a9…fa83backed Over | 68c | 1,332$905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…256bbacked Under | 32c | 1,283$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00e4…49cabacked Under | 32c | 1,215$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x985c…1277backed Over | 68c | 1,209$822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 66c | 1,000$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345 | 98 | 55.1%54 W · 44 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c02…7cf6backed Under | 32c | 728.45$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519b…0b8dbacked Over | 68c | 611.72$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf30…3ccfbacked Under | 33c | 608.62$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed48…6a71backed Over | 67c | 497.76$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3b…1d77backed Under | 35c | 371$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.85 | 55 | 30.9%17 W · 38 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Over | 65c | 310$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.5 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a01…01cebacked Under | 35c | 272.9$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b2…58b0backed Under | 32c | 159.97$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a76…b30fbacked Over | 71c | 141.46$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.02 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab25…715abacked Under | 34c | 130$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Under | 29c | 128.7$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.18 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -4.3wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0b34…ffc3backed Under | 31c | 121.23$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.17 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -50%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3e…873bbacked Over | 68c | 117.02$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Over | 72c | 112.93$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.49 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Under | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00b9…4ca6backed Under | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under | 33c | 98$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.91 | 488 | 47.5%232 W · 256 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f80…d0d5backed Over | 70c | 81.43$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00b9…60d0backed Under | 34c | 75.66$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.67 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Over | 63c | 60.91$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.54 | 152 | 52.6%80 W · 72 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b4b…688dbacked Under | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x239b…f8bfbacked Over | 66c | 52$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.68 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Under | 39c | 50.87$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.91 | 107 | 31.8%34 W · 73 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -44%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb705…db7abacked Under | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32f4…c885backed Under | 34c | 44.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 310 | 32.6%101 W · 209 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2c…dac5backed Over | 58c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.96 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Under | 38c | 27.49$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.33 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Under | 72c | 17.86$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.86 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +5.9wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe05c…951ebacked Under | 67c | 17.78$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…36cdbacked Over | 71c | 14.03$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.03 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 85. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Seahawks Team Total: O/U 22.5this page
- 1H Spread: Seahawks (-2.5)Seahawks won
- 1H Spread: Seahawks (-3.5)Seahawks won
- AJ Barner: Anytime TouchdownYes won
- AJ Barner: First TouchdownAJ Barner won
- AJ Barner: Rushing Yards O/U 0.5Under won
- Cooper Kupp: Anytime TouchdownNo won
- Cooper Kupp: First TouchdownNo Touchdown won
- Cooper Kupp: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5Over won
- Drake Maye: Rushing Yards O/U 29.5Over won
- Hunter Henry: Anytime TouchdownNo won
- Hunter Henry: First TouchdownNo Touchdown won
- Hunter Henry: Receiving Yards O/U 37.5Under won
- Jaxon Smith-Njigba: Anytime TouchdownNo won
- Jaxon Smith-Njigba: First TouchdownNo Touchdown won
- Jaxon Smith-Njigba: Receiving Yards O/U 90.5Under won
- Kayshon Boutte: Anytime TouchdownNo won
- Kayshon Boutte: Receiving Yards O/U 0.5Over won
- Kenneth Walker III: Anytime TouchdownNo won
- Kenneth Walker III: First TouchdownNo Touchdown won
- Kenneth Walker III: Receiving Yards O/U 101.5Under won
- Kenneth Walker III: Rushing Yards O/U 80.5Over won
- Mack Hollins: Anytime TouchdownYes won
- Mack Hollins: First TouchdownNo Touchdown won
- Mack Hollins: Receiving Yards O/U 28.5Over won
- Patriots Team Total: O/U 10.5Over won
- Patriots Team Total: O/U 15.5Under won
- Patriots Team Total: O/U 16.5Under won
- Patriots Team Total: O/U 17.5Under won
- Patriots Team Total: O/U 20.5Under won
- Patriots Team Total: O/U 21.5Under won
- Patriots Team Total: O/U 23.5Under won
- Patriots Team Total: O/U 29.5Under won
- Rashid Shaheed: Anytime TouchdownNo won
- Rashid Shaheed: First TouchdownNo Touchdown won
- Rashid Shaheed: Receiving Yards O/U 22.5Over won
- Rhamondre Stevenson: Anytime TouchdownYes won
- Rhamondre Stevenson: First TouchdownNo Touchdown won
- Rhamondre Stevenson: Receiving Yards O/U 20.5Over won
- Rhamondre Stevenson: Rushing Yards O/U 56.5Under won
- Sam Darnold: Rushing Yards O/U 239.5Under won
- Seahawks Team Total: O/U 17.5Over won
- Seahawks Team Total: O/U 20.5Over won
- Seahawks Team Total: O/U 23.5Over won
- Seahawks Team Total: O/U 24.5Over won
- Seahawks Team Total: O/U 25.5Over won
- Seahawks Team Total: O/U 26.5Over won
- Seahawks vs. PatriotsSeahawks won
- Seahawks vs. Patriots: 1H MoneylineSeahawks won
- Seahawks vs. Patriots: 1H O/U 21.5Under won
- Seahawks vs. Patriots: 1H O/U 22.5Under won
- Seahawks vs. Patriots: 1H O/U 23.5Under won
- Seahawks vs. Patriots: O/U 22.5Over won
- Seahawks vs. Patriots: O/U 24.5Over won
- Seahawks vs. Patriots: O/U 27.5Over won
- Seahawks vs. Patriots: O/U 29.5Over won
- Seahawks vs. Patriots: O/U 30.5Over won
- Seahawks vs. Patriots: O/U 31.5Over won
- Seahawks vs. Patriots: O/U 32.5Over won
- Seahawks vs. Patriots: O/U 35.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.