TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Seahawks Team Total: O/U 20.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$10,118
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$10,292

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,118 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc44d…935cbacked Under26c3,512$908 inLost-$907.65261.5%32 W · 20 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+7.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb781…9ba9backed Over75c2,534$1,900 inWon+$634.184845.8%22 W · 26 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-8.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Over42c1,872$786 inWon+$1,085.73655.6%20 W · 16 L+3.9wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+52.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x52b4…34a8backed Under54c1,142$612 inLost-$612.4619651.5%101 W · 95 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecaa…77a9backed Over72c868.87$626 inWon+$243.285276.9%40 W · 12 L+8.7wins+0.17per pick60cpaid+21.6%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x24d3…30abbacked Under58c667.86$387 inLost-$386.683850%19 W · 19 L-3.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-16.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xef50…fddcbacked Over72c138.89$100 inWon+$38.89450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-21.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00b9…4ca6backed Under24c116.76$28 inLost-$28.152931%9 W · 20 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf7f9…21e4backed Over73c68.49$50 inWon+$18.49425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-65.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Under26c68$18 inLost-$17.685679.9%56 W · 511 L-1.3wins0.00per pick10cpaid-39.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07a6…5638backed Over73c48.08$35 inWon+$13.095100%5 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3008…2489backed Over80c31.25$25 inWon+$6.252100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf54b…8a63backed Under58c27$16 inLost-$15.66812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.5wins-0.32per pick44cpaid-75%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xeee7…3019backed Over50c23.32$12 inWon+$11.66450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bab…2022backed Over73c20.55$15 inWon+$5.554100%4 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+42.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd676…4c79backed Over74c20.27$15 inWon+$5.28366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick60cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5afa…3dd1backed Over75c19.99$15 inWon+$5540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-41.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x57c1…04a2backed Over80c12.5$10 inWon+$2.52100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+36%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 85. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.