NFL · resolved market
Drake Maye: Rushing Yards O/U 29.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xda18ed6536b8a4a4fb342e07eacbd1dbc86057d71375a9d4530ab9cc40b8a9a0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,882
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,440
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,882 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2cfe…e4debacked Under | 35c | 2,250$787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$787.3 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked Over | 65c | 2,222$1,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$777.7 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Under | 52c | 1,351$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695.87 | 130 | 65.4%85 W · 45 L | +17.2wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x63bf…e319backed Over | 59c | 1,119$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.28 | 87 | 29.9%26 W · 61 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Under | 32c | 916.03$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.13 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa9a…a377backed Over | 67c | 753.41$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed Under | 32c | 694.97$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.4 | 103 | 46.6%48 W · 55 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Under | 40c | 599.07$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.68 | 107 | 31.8%34 W · 73 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -44%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Under | 36c | 499.95$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.98 | 415 | 40.2%167 W · 248 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Under | 50c | 348$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72b8…684bbacked Over | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under | 38c | 283$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.56 | 488 | 47.5%232 W · 256 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04a7…164bbacked Under | 42c | 220.02$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.51 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5010…6ca3backed Over | 69c | 172.54$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.94 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -63.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x195a…0679backed Over | 60c | 167.18$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.18 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Over | 62c | 164.94$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.98 | 553 | 45%249 W · 304 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b96…b053backed Over | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9038…f74cbacked Over | 64c | 155.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.12 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52e4…1a80backed Over | 68c | 147.46$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.46 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Under | 39c | 141.32$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.67 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -4.3wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb299…4a62backed Over | 67c | 117.82$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.34 | 375 | 56.3%211 W · 164 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 35c | 113.78$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.82 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf15…2f3dbacked Over | 66c | 100.86$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.86 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2afd…deb4backed Under | 36c | 98.47$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.49 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Over | 58c | 93.78$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.39 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…ccfabacked Over | 70c | 80$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97c9…5010backed Under | 37c | 80$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf57a…73ecbacked Over | 61c | 79.91$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Under | 37c | 79.15$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.39 | 567 | 9.9%56 W · 511 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac71…d8c6backed Over | 68c | 66.18$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.18 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Under | 51c | 60.22$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.71 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9519…e0bcbacked Over | 63c | 59.99$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.2 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64ee…26babacked Over | 34c | 58.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.51 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a7f…d731backed Over | 70c | 57.14$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.14 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +156.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Under | 37c | 56$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.72 | 207 | 57.5%119 W · 88 L | +17.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb2be…0dd3backed Under | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb98b…7e18backed Under | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 278 | 35.3%98 W · 180 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fd…edadbacked Over | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…000bbacked Over | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +62.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a72…03dabacked Over | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 42cpaid | -77.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x399d…bf83backed Over | 67c | 46.27$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.27 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7fe…1e42backed Under | 36c | 44.89$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.28 | 54 | 79.6%43 W · 11 L | +8.1wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +26%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…d101backed Over | 63c | 42.98$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 33cpaid | +181.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd934…a590backed Over | 60c | 42$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 33cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2965…5afabacked Under | 35c | 38.81$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.57 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff0b…befabacked Over | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x737c…a65dbacked Over | 62c | 34.04$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.93 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3299…c118backed Over | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f09…1516backed Over | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +64.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02f7…b17abacked Over | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00be…5acabacked Over | 63c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…36cdbacked Over | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x711a…9240backed Over | 62c | 29.04$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.05 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 53cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d7…2b16backed Under | 39c | 27.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3a…4d28backed Under | 39c | 26.64$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…1618backed Under | 39c | 26.49$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66f3…bde4backed Over | 58c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40a7…ecb7backed Over | 63c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0881…0fd1backed Over | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x035f…b2ccbacked Over | 64c | 23.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x695d…a96dbacked Over | 67c | 22.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1529…41e4backed Over | 64c | 21.88$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.88 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1e…bb0fbacked Over | 67c | 21.03$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.94 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa527…1994backed Over | 63c | 20.63$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.63 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6894…59d8backed Over | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 172 | 55.2%95 W · 77 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0504…9d2fbacked Over | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.07 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 62cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x31d7…42c1backed Under | 57c | 17.65$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 85. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Drake Maye: Rushing Yards O/U 29.5this page
- 1H Spread: Seahawks (-2.5)Seahawks won
- 1H Spread: Seahawks (-3.5)Seahawks won
- AJ Barner: Anytime TouchdownYes won
- AJ Barner: First TouchdownAJ Barner won
- AJ Barner: Rushing Yards O/U 0.5Under won
- Cooper Kupp: Anytime TouchdownNo won
- Cooper Kupp: First TouchdownNo Touchdown won
- Cooper Kupp: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5Over won
- Hunter Henry: Anytime TouchdownNo won
- Hunter Henry: First TouchdownNo Touchdown won
- Hunter Henry: Receiving Yards O/U 37.5Under won
- Jaxon Smith-Njigba: Anytime TouchdownNo won
- Jaxon Smith-Njigba: First TouchdownNo Touchdown won
- Jaxon Smith-Njigba: Receiving Yards O/U 90.5Under won
- Kayshon Boutte: Anytime TouchdownNo won
- Kayshon Boutte: Receiving Yards O/U 0.5Over won
- Kenneth Walker III: Anytime TouchdownNo won
- Kenneth Walker III: First TouchdownNo Touchdown won
- Kenneth Walker III: Receiving Yards O/U 101.5Under won
- Kenneth Walker III: Rushing Yards O/U 80.5Over won
- Mack Hollins: Anytime TouchdownYes won
- Mack Hollins: First TouchdownNo Touchdown won
- Mack Hollins: Receiving Yards O/U 28.5Over won
- Patriots Team Total: O/U 10.5Over won
- Patriots Team Total: O/U 15.5Under won
- Patriots Team Total: O/U 16.5Under won
- Patriots Team Total: O/U 17.5Under won
- Patriots Team Total: O/U 20.5Under won
- Patriots Team Total: O/U 21.5Under won
- Patriots Team Total: O/U 23.5Under won
- Patriots Team Total: O/U 29.5Under won
- Rashid Shaheed: Anytime TouchdownNo won
- Rashid Shaheed: First TouchdownNo Touchdown won
- Rashid Shaheed: Receiving Yards O/U 22.5Over won
- Rhamondre Stevenson: Anytime TouchdownYes won
- Rhamondre Stevenson: First TouchdownNo Touchdown won
- Rhamondre Stevenson: Receiving Yards O/U 20.5Over won
- Rhamondre Stevenson: Rushing Yards O/U 56.5Under won
- Sam Darnold: Rushing Yards O/U 239.5Under won
- Seahawks Team Total: O/U 17.5Over won
- Seahawks Team Total: O/U 20.5Over won
- Seahawks Team Total: O/U 22.5Over won
- Seahawks Team Total: O/U 23.5Over won
- Seahawks Team Total: O/U 24.5Over won
- Seahawks Team Total: O/U 25.5Over won
- Seahawks Team Total: O/U 26.5Over won
- Seahawks vs. PatriotsSeahawks won
- Seahawks vs. Patriots: 1H MoneylineSeahawks won
- Seahawks vs. Patriots: 1H O/U 21.5Under won
- Seahawks vs. Patriots: 1H O/U 22.5Under won
- Seahawks vs. Patriots: 1H O/U 23.5Under won
- Seahawks vs. Patriots: O/U 22.5Over won
- Seahawks vs. Patriots: O/U 24.5Over won
- Seahawks vs. Patriots: O/U 27.5Over won
- Seahawks vs. Patriots: O/U 29.5Over won
- Seahawks vs. Patriots: O/U 30.5Over won
- Seahawks vs. Patriots: O/U 31.5Over won
- Seahawks vs. Patriots: O/U 32.5Over won
- Seahawks vs. Patriots: O/U 35.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.