NFL · resolved market
Hunter Henry: Anytime Touchdown
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2a470d73e24cba18ae73c3c070f2a5e3f44a02444951eff27c8eb80030e1c6ee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,054
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,984
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,054 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 69c | 20,000$13,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,099.93 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 31c | 8,837$2,735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,734.65 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e8…196bbacked Yes | 31c | 2,358$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked No | 80c | 1,951$1,557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.58 | 127 | 48%61 W · 66 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb9…e983backed Yes | 30c | 1,726$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.82 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b88…5d08backed Yes | 30c | 1,675$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +9.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61b4…c559backed Yes | 23c | 1,292$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd953…3d97backed Yes | 30c | 933.33$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed No | 78c | 829.83$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.42 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +4.4wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x12dc…f3dfbacked No | 73c | 800.67$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5cf…7b4cbacked Yes | 30c | 666.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -63.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Yes | 25c | 650$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.5 | 105 | 37.1%39 W · 66 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Yes | 19c | 461.01$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.88 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -4.3wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Yes | 27c | 444.66$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.06 | 137 | 56.2%77 W · 60 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 30c | 408.81$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.64 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c0f…f4e1backed No | 69c | 389$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.59 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2123…8d70backed Yes | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 117 | 40.2%47 W · 70 L | -10.0wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf326…52f9backed Yes | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa313…e124backed Yes | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 166 | 48.2%80 W · 86 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x195a…0679backed Yes | 31c | 322.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65e3…76bdbacked No | 70c | 300$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f60…bbccbacked Yes | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9038…f74cbacked Yes | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf73e…18a2backed Yes | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac71…d8c6backed Yes | 30c | 190.25$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3582…8fc6backed Yes | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 81 | 30.9%25 W · 56 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c6c…ce09backed Yes | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 149 | 51%76 W · 73 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacd9…cb54backed Yes | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0196…b9c3backed Yes | 31c | 157.74$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.9 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed No | 67c | 144.12$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 103 | 46.6%48 W · 55 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf36f…e5b8backed Yes | 30c | 133.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83c1…32f7backed Yes | 30c | 133.3$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb299…4a62backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 375 | 56.3%211 W · 164 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x729e…1a7abacked Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 33cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0047…1655backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0138…8451backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 65 | 21.5%14 W · 51 L | -9.5wins | -0.15per pick | 36cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x85a1…a640backed Yes | 29c | 86.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 69c | 84.37$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.44 | 342 | 47.4%162 W · 180 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 20c | 79.95$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 34cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e98…b2a4backed Yes | 30c | 70$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e00…9e93backed Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3299…c118backed Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd6d…c17fbacked Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x621e…471fbacked Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.31per pick | 29cpaid | +255.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd84f…2256backed Yes | 31c | 65.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb740…2422backed Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 162 | 43.8%71 W · 91 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 24c | 62.58$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 107 | 31.8%34 W · 73 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -44%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdc…5d81backed Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84e0…439abacked Yes | 30c | 60$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2961…cfcfbacked Yes | 30c | 60$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed No | 69c | 53.44$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c10…4e76backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebd2…0d5dbacked Yes | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -76%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 73c | 48$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.01 | 488 | 47.5%232 W · 256 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5452…d448backed No | 69c | 44.86$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd730…1948backed No | 72c | 44.64$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.58 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -3.6wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8656…bd69backed Yes | 34c | 44.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x867f…2bbbbacked Yes | 32c | 43.75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 68c | 43.75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 276 | 44.2%122 W · 154 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c7d…5a4fbacked Yes | 30c | 42.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x435e…9d87backed Yes | 31c | 34.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.69 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7fe…1e42backed No | 71c | 22.06$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 54 | 79.6%43 W · 11 L | +8.1wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +26%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 85. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hunter Henry: Anytime Touchdownthis page
- 1H Spread: Seahawks (-2.5)Seahawks won
- 1H Spread: Seahawks (-3.5)Seahawks won
- AJ Barner: Anytime TouchdownYes won
- AJ Barner: First TouchdownAJ Barner won
- AJ Barner: Rushing Yards O/U 0.5Under won
- Cooper Kupp: Anytime TouchdownNo won
- Cooper Kupp: First TouchdownNo Touchdown won
- Cooper Kupp: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5Over won
- Drake Maye: Rushing Yards O/U 29.5Over won
- Hunter Henry: First TouchdownNo Touchdown won
- Hunter Henry: Receiving Yards O/U 37.5Under won
- Jaxon Smith-Njigba: Anytime TouchdownNo won
- Jaxon Smith-Njigba: First TouchdownNo Touchdown won
- Jaxon Smith-Njigba: Receiving Yards O/U 90.5Under won
- Kayshon Boutte: Anytime TouchdownNo won
- Kayshon Boutte: Receiving Yards O/U 0.5Over won
- Kenneth Walker III: Anytime TouchdownNo won
- Kenneth Walker III: First TouchdownNo Touchdown won
- Kenneth Walker III: Receiving Yards O/U 101.5Under won
- Kenneth Walker III: Rushing Yards O/U 80.5Over won
- Mack Hollins: Anytime TouchdownYes won
- Mack Hollins: First TouchdownNo Touchdown won
- Mack Hollins: Receiving Yards O/U 28.5Over won
- Patriots Team Total: O/U 10.5Over won
- Patriots Team Total: O/U 15.5Under won
- Patriots Team Total: O/U 16.5Under won
- Patriots Team Total: O/U 17.5Under won
- Patriots Team Total: O/U 20.5Under won
- Patriots Team Total: O/U 21.5Under won
- Patriots Team Total: O/U 23.5Under won
- Patriots Team Total: O/U 29.5Under won
- Rashid Shaheed: Anytime TouchdownNo won
- Rashid Shaheed: First TouchdownNo Touchdown won
- Rashid Shaheed: Receiving Yards O/U 22.5Over won
- Rhamondre Stevenson: Anytime TouchdownYes won
- Rhamondre Stevenson: First TouchdownNo Touchdown won
- Rhamondre Stevenson: Receiving Yards O/U 20.5Over won
- Rhamondre Stevenson: Rushing Yards O/U 56.5Under won
- Sam Darnold: Rushing Yards O/U 239.5Under won
- Seahawks Team Total: O/U 17.5Over won
- Seahawks Team Total: O/U 20.5Over won
- Seahawks Team Total: O/U 22.5Over won
- Seahawks Team Total: O/U 23.5Over won
- Seahawks Team Total: O/U 24.5Over won
- Seahawks Team Total: O/U 25.5Over won
- Seahawks Team Total: O/U 26.5Over won
- Seahawks vs. PatriotsSeahawks won
- Seahawks vs. Patriots: 1H MoneylineSeahawks won
- Seahawks vs. Patriots: 1H O/U 21.5Under won
- Seahawks vs. Patriots: 1H O/U 22.5Under won
- Seahawks vs. Patriots: 1H O/U 23.5Under won
- Seahawks vs. Patriots: O/U 22.5Over won
- Seahawks vs. Patriots: O/U 24.5Over won
- Seahawks vs. Patriots: O/U 27.5Over won
- Seahawks vs. Patriots: O/U 29.5Over won
- Seahawks vs. Patriots: O/U 30.5Over won
- Seahawks vs. Patriots: O/U 31.5Over won
- Seahawks vs. Patriots: O/U 32.5Over won
- Seahawks vs. Patriots: O/U 35.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.