TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Hunter Henry: Receiving Yards O/U 37.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,382
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,418

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,382 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1341…0853backed Under45c821.56$369 inWon+$452.888164.2%52 W · 29 L+12.1wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+137.5%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x08ce…f301backed Under44c440.84$192 inWon+$248.853625%9 W · 27 L-4.3wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-54.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xacd9…cb54backed Over55c271.29$149 inLost-$149.211338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2123…8d70backed Over55c255.18$140 inLost-$14011740.2%47 W · 70 L-10.0wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-17.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x04a7…164bbacked Over54c190$103 inLost-$102.630%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xeff8…68ebbacked Over53c188.68$100 inLost-$100944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+12%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbbf2…31f0backed Over55c100$55 inLost-$55728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick41cpaid-47.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd3b…c3e2backed Over56c100$56 inLost-$564334.9%15 W · 28 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-26.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Over53c95.32$51 inLost-$50.8355345%249 W · 304 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x373a…f4c1backed Under40c38.65$16 inWon+$23.0410346.6%48 W · 55 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50c8…70bbbacked Over55c36.36$20 inLost-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x435e…9d87backed Over59c33.61$20 inLost-$19.9930%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x50f6…b8c6backed Under46c32.61$15 inWon+$17.611100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa1b0…fd60backed Over55c25$14 inLost-$13.753450%17 W · 17 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6894…59d8backed Over55c20$11 inLost-$1117255.2%95 W · 77 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd7e1…0422backed Over60c16.79$10 inLost-$1020%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 85. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.