TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Seahawks Team Total: O/U 25.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$10,237
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$10,121

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,237 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2b46…684dbacked Under13c4,065$532 inLost-$532.363655.6%20 W · 16 L+3.9wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+52.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4c0f…f4e1backed Over48c476.44$229 inWon+$247.761070%7 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+14.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1fb5…cabdbacked Under53c375.56$200 inLost-$2001060%6 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+19.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over45c352.57$159 inWon+$193.9113756.2%77 W · 60 L+8.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x373a…f4c1backed Over47c300$142 inWon+$15810346.6%48 W · 55 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over48c296$143 inWon+$153.1148847.5%232 W · 256 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-8.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x007b…adc6backed Over49c204.08$100 inWon+$104.0813641.9%57 W · 79 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Under77c165$126 inLost-$126.4513065.4%85 W · 45 L+17.2wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+37.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Under51c149.97$76 inLost-$76.4913844.9%62 W · 76 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x00b9…60d0backed Over49c148.44$73 inWon+$75.12475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+41.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7e52…0693backed Over40c124.81$50 inWon+$74.81560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+45.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf92…4bfdbacked Under54c109.78$59 inLost-$59.276124.6%15 W · 46 L-5.4wins-0.09per pick33cpaid-43.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfdee…b0d0backed Over49c102.04$50 inWon+$52.04250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb98b…7e18backed Under52c100$52 inLost-$5227835.3%98 W · 180 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6149…8a58backed Over46c100$46 inWon+$548535.3%30 W · 55 L-7.8wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-35.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6df7…afb0backed Over51c100$51 inWon+$49248.3%2 W · 22 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick11cpaid+51.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xed18…86e4backed Over49c97.49$48 inWon+$49.49475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+40.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x00b9…4ca6backed Under51c80$41 inLost-$40.82931%9 W · 20 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x82fa…d857backed Over49c55$27 inWon+$28.051560%9 W · 6 L+2.5wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+16.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9b29…8373backed Under52c49$25 inLost-$25.4812842.2%54 W · 74 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86c8…c867backed Under42c48.89$21 inLost-$20.531330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-42.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0b34…ffc3backed Over51c31.88$16 inWon+$15.572119%4 W · 17 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-50%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1b0…fd60backed Over50c25$13 inWon+$12.53450%17 W · 17 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd3a…9993backed Over49c23.4$11 inWon+$11.99785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.24per pick61cpaid+38.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfe93…8d0ebacked Under54c21$11 inLost-$11.342360.9%14 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick61cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 85. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.