TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Rhamondre Stevenson: Rushing Yards O/U 56.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,660
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,591

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,660 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1d1a…0df6backed Under59c1,149$675 inWon+$474.2116860.7%102 W · 66 L+18.7wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+21.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under60c460$276 inWon+$1848551.8%44 W · 41 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed Over39c399.99$156 inLost-$15620650.5%104 W · 102 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3613…79e1backed Over42c300$126 inLost-$12619436.6%71 W · 123 L-14.8wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-29.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8c6c…ce09backed Over41c243.9$100 inLost-$10014951%76 W · 73 L-0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x022a…df5ebacked Over41c243.9$100 inLost-$10018843.1%81 W · 107 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-10.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0cb9…e983backed Over41c243.9$100 inLost-$1003231.3%10 W · 22 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick36cpaid+1.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0138…8451backed Over40c177.5$71 inLost-$716521.5%14 W · 51 L-9.5wins-0.15per pick36cpaid-57.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xa527…1994backed Over40c150$60 inLost-$60728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-46.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2fb0…7263backed Under61c134.94$82 inWon+$52.63540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x695d…a96dbacked Over41c97.56$40 inLost-$401827.8%5 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-39.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb2be…0dd3backed Under74c74.08$55 inWon+$19.081127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.16per pick43cpaid-39.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1c74…e9b7backed Over40c62.5$25 inLost-$25933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-39.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e3c…7efbbacked Over40c62.5$25 inLost-$255635.7%20 W · 36 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-25.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb98b…7e18backed Under52c49.99$26 inWon+$2427835.3%98 W · 180 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x103e…6ac6backed Over48c41.41$20 inLost-$2060%0 W · 6 L-3.3wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xa1b0…fd60backed Over39c35$14 inLost-$13.653450%17 W · 17 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6757…7ecebacked Over33c34$11 inLost-$11.22666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+21.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…4da2backed Under61c32.79$20 inWon+$12.79560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+18.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbbdc…5d81backed Under61c32.79$20 inWon+$12.792548%12 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-4.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x40a7…ecb7backed Under59c25$15 inWon+$10.255850%29 W · 29 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 85. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.