NFL · resolved market
1H Spread: Seahawks (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x18e2a39a3beb7d6699de8f18f943534d864e18b3f88f31488ae800aebba7797f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Seahawksof Seahawks, Patriots
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $57,267
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $60,020
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,267 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9a06…3800backed Patriots | 57c | 13,671$7,818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,817.82 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -24%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Seahawks | 44c | 10,000$4,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,600 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66b6…159dbacked Seahawks | 45c | 4,444$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,444.44 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.32per pick | 55cpaid | +64.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6165…db3cbacked Patriots | 56c | 3,586$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Patriots | 57c | 3,365$1,905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,904.72 | 106 | 48.1%51 W · 55 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad13…0cedbacked Patriots | 55c | 3,343$1,839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,838.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb751…bd8bbacked Seahawks | 45c | 3,311$1,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,821.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac49…6e44backed Patriots | 55c | 2,901$1,595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,595.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b35…5c83backed Seahawks | 45c | 2,860$1,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,572.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x642e…b15dbacked Seahawks | 45c | 2,330$1,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,281.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a98…bf3bbacked Patriots | 55c | 2,328$1,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,280.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Seahawks | 42c | 2,182$916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,265.3 | 120 | 55.8%67 W · 53 L | +9.0wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b29…8373backed Seahawks | 44c | 1,992$868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,123.29 | 128 | 42.2%54 W · 74 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Seahawks | 41c | 1,860$764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,096.77 | 758 | 52.5%398 W · 360 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6da3…c856backed Patriots | 55c | 1,852$1,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,018.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Seahawks | 44c | 1,834$805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,028.42 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x81ce…c8b8backed Seahawks | 45c | 1,733$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$953.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Seahawks | 41c | 1,537$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$901.09 | 194 | 39.2%76 W · 118 L | -11.5wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Seahawks | 45c | 1,483$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815.72 | 187 | 45.5%85 W · 102 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab56…ebb7backed Seahawks | 45c | 1,349$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b03…c8f6backed Patriots | 55c | 1,160$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Seahawks | 43c | 1,043$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.28 | 239 | 37.7%90 W · 149 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa09d…f311backed Patriots | 57c | 960.08$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.13 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 29cpaid | -44%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5f…39c7backed Seahawks | 46c | 780.76$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.83 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked Patriots | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 84 | 54.8%46 W · 38 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Patriots | 55c | 536$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.8 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -4.3wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Seahawks | 41c | 500$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295 | 103 | 53.4%55 W · 48 L | +7.9wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Seahawks | 43c | 350$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.5 | 276 | 33.3%92 W · 184 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f9…8d2dbacked Seahawks | 47c | 334.89$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.53 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 35cpaid | +393%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9de4…7f2ebacked Seahawks | 46c | 299.11$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.61 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Patriots | 55c | 298.59$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.22 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Patriots | 55c | 280$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Patriots | 54c | 244.99$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.29 | 98 | 55.1%54 W · 44 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9386…cfe5backed Seahawks | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Patriots | 53c | 179.62$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.99 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -63%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf104…d34cbacked Patriots | 57c | 135.08$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Patriots | 55c | 120$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 182 | 45.6%83 W · 99 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8598…49ebbacked Seahawks | 47c | 119$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.07 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b8…a6c2backed Seahawks | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd869…7a08backed Patriots | 57c | 105.26$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.24per pick | 33cpaid | -84%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Seahawks | 56c | 104$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.76 | 488 | 47.5%232 W · 256 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Seahawks | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 130 | 65.4%85 W · 45 L | +17.2wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5d56…d62ebacked Patriots | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe43b…f955backed Patriots | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33c8…68d7backed Seahawks | 48c | 96.27$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.62 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Seahawks | 41c | 76.13$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.92 | 137 | 56.2%77 W · 60 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Patriots | 54c | 47.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.48 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd62d…02ccbacked Patriots | 54c | 45.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.84 | 199 | 54.8%109 W · 90 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Patriots | 52c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69b6…a5f3backed Seahawks | 48c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +5.7wins | +0.26per pick | 42cpaid | +60%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Seahawks | 42c | 38.77$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.57 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 34cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Patriots | 57c | 37$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.09 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce7…dd41backed Patriots | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2af…28c3backed Patriots | 47c | 33.96$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc911…01f7backed Patriots | 57c | 33.33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Seahawks | 44c | 29.11$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.3 | 368 | 26.9%99 W · 269 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa6c…a67dbacked Patriots | 56c | 28.56$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Patriots | 50c | 27.11$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.56 | 159 | 52.2%83 W · 76 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Patriots | 58c | 26.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.43 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a17…c6cdbacked Seahawks | 46c | 23.52$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.7 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd730…1948backed Seahawks | 46c | 23.23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.54 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -3.6wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ca…3d64backed Patriots | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -4.5wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 85. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- 1H Spread: Seahawks (-3.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Seahawks (-2.5)Seahawks won
- AJ Barner: Anytime TouchdownYes won
- AJ Barner: First TouchdownAJ Barner won
- AJ Barner: Rushing Yards O/U 0.5Under won
- Cooper Kupp: Anytime TouchdownNo won
- Cooper Kupp: First TouchdownNo Touchdown won
- Cooper Kupp: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5Over won
- Drake Maye: Rushing Yards O/U 29.5Over won
- Hunter Henry: Anytime TouchdownNo won
- Hunter Henry: First TouchdownNo Touchdown won
- Hunter Henry: Receiving Yards O/U 37.5Under won
- Jaxon Smith-Njigba: Anytime TouchdownNo won
- Jaxon Smith-Njigba: First TouchdownNo Touchdown won
- Jaxon Smith-Njigba: Receiving Yards O/U 90.5Under won
- Kayshon Boutte: Anytime TouchdownNo won
- Kayshon Boutte: Receiving Yards O/U 0.5Over won
- Kenneth Walker III: Anytime TouchdownNo won
- Kenneth Walker III: First TouchdownNo Touchdown won
- Kenneth Walker III: Receiving Yards O/U 101.5Under won
- Kenneth Walker III: Rushing Yards O/U 80.5Over won
- Mack Hollins: Anytime TouchdownYes won
- Mack Hollins: First TouchdownNo Touchdown won
- Mack Hollins: Receiving Yards O/U 28.5Over won
- Patriots Team Total: O/U 10.5Over won
- Patriots Team Total: O/U 15.5Under won
- Patriots Team Total: O/U 16.5Under won
- Patriots Team Total: O/U 17.5Under won
- Patriots Team Total: O/U 20.5Under won
- Patriots Team Total: O/U 21.5Under won
- Patriots Team Total: O/U 23.5Under won
- Patriots Team Total: O/U 29.5Under won
- Rashid Shaheed: Anytime TouchdownNo won
- Rashid Shaheed: First TouchdownNo Touchdown won
- Rashid Shaheed: Receiving Yards O/U 22.5Over won
- Rhamondre Stevenson: Anytime TouchdownYes won
- Rhamondre Stevenson: First TouchdownNo Touchdown won
- Rhamondre Stevenson: Receiving Yards O/U 20.5Over won
- Rhamondre Stevenson: Rushing Yards O/U 56.5Under won
- Sam Darnold: Rushing Yards O/U 239.5Under won
- Seahawks Team Total: O/U 17.5Over won
- Seahawks Team Total: O/U 20.5Over won
- Seahawks Team Total: O/U 22.5Over won
- Seahawks Team Total: O/U 23.5Over won
- Seahawks Team Total: O/U 24.5Over won
- Seahawks Team Total: O/U 25.5Over won
- Seahawks Team Total: O/U 26.5Over won
- Seahawks vs. PatriotsSeahawks won
- Seahawks vs. Patriots: 1H MoneylineSeahawks won
- Seahawks vs. Patriots: 1H O/U 21.5Under won
- Seahawks vs. Patriots: 1H O/U 22.5Under won
- Seahawks vs. Patriots: 1H O/U 23.5Under won
- Seahawks vs. Patriots: O/U 22.5Over won
- Seahawks vs. Patriots: O/U 24.5Over won
- Seahawks vs. Patriots: O/U 27.5Over won
- Seahawks vs. Patriots: O/U 29.5Over won
- Seahawks vs. Patriots: O/U 30.5Over won
- Seahawks vs. Patriots: O/U 31.5Over won
- Seahawks vs. Patriots: O/U 32.5Over won
- Seahawks vs. Patriots: O/U 35.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.